22 points from 11 is a big ask, but it’s doable. Under Lampard, the CBS has been a fortress so 3-1-1 gets us 10 points, then there is 12 points from 24 available to make 22, something like 4-0-2.
As you point out, it’s only 16 points to maintain the 2 point PPG so a 1-3-2 away form gives us 16...