Championship thread 25/26! (76 Viewers)

[Briles]

We just need to take care of business. Ipswitch have sheff wed soon as well so that's 3 points and 7 goals on their goals added

So do we

 

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[Ccfcsj]

The odds that we’ll go up is comfortably 90% from this point, I don’t know why so many people panic like sheep.

I think it's because we've followed Coventry for so long pessimism is engrained in us

 

[Terry_dactyl]

I think it's because we've followed Coventry for so long pessimism is engrained in us

And that we’ve fucked it up once already this season.

 

[Ccfcisparks]

Imagine if we were in Boro’s position… Only 3 points ahead and Ipswich have a game in hand whilst they still need to go Portman Road.

The odds that we’ll go up is comfortably 90% from this point, I don’t know why so many people panic like sheep.

Highly unlikely its comfortably 90%

 

[Terry_dactyl]

Highly unlikely its comfortably 90%

We’re potentially 2 defeats from being in 3rd, right?

 

[Terry_dactyl]

I think people like to reassure themselves with these stats and percentages etc.

The truth is a lot more harrowing…we might go up automatically, and we’re in the best position (ignoring our earlier season point margin) than we’ve ever been.
Or we might right royally fuck it up again and lose to Wrexham at Wembley (or something).
Either way we are all likely to be shitting ourselves for next few weeks.*


*in my case I have literally been shitting my self since about 3am**.Thanks in no small part to this food poisoning/tummy bug I have picked up.
**Except at 5am when I thought it was a good idea to eat an orange, so mixed it up with some projectile vomitting.
Fun times at Casa Dactyl.

Enjoy the ride folks!

 

[Terry_dactyl]

I think people like to reassure themselves with these stats and percentages etc.

The truth is a lot more harrowing…we might go up automatically, and we’re in the best position (ignoring our earlier season point margin) than we’ve ever been.
Or we might right royally fuck it up again and lose to Wrexham at Wembley (or something).
Either way we are all likely to be shitting ourselves for next few weeks.*


*in my case I have literally been shitting my self since about 3am**.Thanks in no small part to this food poisoning/tummy bug I have picked up.
**Except at 5am when I thought it was a good idea to eat an orange, so mixed it up with some projectile vomitting.
Fun times at Casa Dactyl.

Enjoy the ride folks!

@Hutch11 I dream that it were the consistency of that emoji.

 

[Brighton Sky Blue]

Imagine if we were in Boro’s position… Only 3 points ahead and Ipswich have a game in hand whilst they still need to go Portman Road.

The odds that we’ll go up is comfortably 90% from this point, I don’t know why so many people panic like sheep.

Because things in this league can shift very quickly. In the space of not even two weeks we went from being 2 points behind Boro to 5 ahead.

 

[TomRad85]

Ipswich have 3 winnable looking games, after that it starts to look rough! If we're still above them in 3, we'll be fine.

 

[Major Tom]

Don't blame me

 

[Mucca Mad Boys]

And that we’ve fucked it up once already this season.

We had a bad run which happens to most teams, even at the top of this run. We’ve pretty much boxed off all the tough away games and at home we’ve got a 75% win record and have lost a handful of games at home under Lampard. Home form was never an issue during the time we ‘fucked it up’.

 

[Mucca Mad Boys]

Highly unlikely its comfortably 90%

If you understand odds, it’s 70-75% we win the league, 90% we finish top 2. Boro and Ipswich play each other so someone will drop points in that game.

With 11 games left to play, 6 are at home where our win % is 75% and we’ve lost 3 games in 32 under Lampard. Maintaining home and away PPG takes us to 93-94 points which Ipswich and Boro have to be near perfect to achieve, which given that they play each other, is unlikely.

They both also play Millwall who are one of the best away teams in the division.

 

[Sick Boy]

Interesting fixtures. Us at Brizzle, Ipswich have Leicester and Boro at QPR. Should be 3 wins but you never know.

Hull v Millwall too

Leicester have to win at some point, don't they?!

 

[Brighton Sky Blue]

If you understand odds, it’s 70-75% we win the league, 90% we finish top 2. Boro and Ipswich play each other so someone will drop points in that game.

With 11 games left to play, 6 are at home where our win % is 75% and we’ve lost 3 games in 32 under Lampard. Maintaining home and away PPG takes us to 93-94 points which Ipswich and Boro have to be near perfect to achieve, which given that they play each other, is unlikely.

They both also play Millwall who are one of the best away teams in the division.

All 3 teams play Sheffield Wednesday in the run-in, which means one less game for them to gain points. If we then win 6 of the other 10 games, both those sides need to win 8.