Championship thread 25/26! (24 Viewers)

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Bugsy

Bugsy

Well-Known Member
Leicester are appealing the decision but the PL are counter appealing that it should be more,
I would piss myself if they get an extra 3 to 6 points on top of what they have 🤣


Leicester City FC appeal six-point deduction as Premier League launches counter appeal | ITV News Central https://share.google/OMPwobEBmFFhM1rTM
 
shmmeee

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
HadjiChippo said:
It’s already rare for a team to win 7 on the bounce in this league, let alone 7 in basically 3 weeks.

think the best we managed was 6 earlier in the season, and Middlesbrough were probably on for 7 before we beat them.
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TBF “unbeaten” doesn’t mean you win every game.
 
Q

quinn1971

Well-Known Member
Just looked at Ipswich’s fixtures 7 games in 22 days, that’s some ask even with they’re squad, still think they’ll be up there with us at the end, they were miles above Mboro
 
Y

Yorkshire SB

Well-Known Member
Big old nonsense, what if, hypothetical, predictor of predictors.

I think 13 points is pretty conceivable for them, condensed timings but they've got a good squad. They play Wednesday which is 3 points, so then it's 10 from 6.

Sat 21 Feb – Wrexham vs Ipswich - 1 point
Tue 24 Feb – Watford vs Ipswich - 1 point
Sat 28 Feb – Ipswich vs Swansea City - 3 points
Tue 3 Mar – Ipswich vs Hull City - 1 point
Sat 7 Mar – Ipswich vs Leicester City - 3 points
Tue 10 Mar – Stoke City vs Ipswich - 1 point
Sat 14 Mar – Sheffield Wednesday vs Ipswich - 3 points

Let's say after this they get 13 points and they're on 67 points after 37 games.

Our five fixtures to take us to 37 games are

Sat 21 Feb – West Brom vs Coventry - 1 points
Wed 25 Feb – Sheffield United vs Coventry - 0 points
Sat 28 Feb – Coventry vs Stoke - 3 points
Sat 7 Mar – Bristol vs Coventry - 1 point
Weds 11 Mar – Coventry vs Preston - 3 points

Let's say we get 8 points, which I'd say is at the lower end of what we'd hope for. We come out on 70 points, so we'd maintain a 3 point lead.

After that they play

Millwall (H)
Southampton (A)
Birmingham (H)
Norwich (A)
Boro (H)

We have

Southampton (H)
Swansea (A)
Derby (H)
Hull (A)
Wednesday (H)

Considering we have Wednesday in there too, it looks pretty favourable. Let's say 8 points again. It means they have to get 11 from their 5 to get level with us.

TLDR - they have to get very good results in difficult circumstances, we have to be average for that lead to go. If we can put any sort of run together and pick up a couple of away wins in the next 5 away games then we're likely to be very close.
 
H

Hincha

Well-Known Member
Blackburn vs Preston tonight. Seems fairly meaningless but:

- We want Blackburn to be clear of relegation when we play them (we also want Portsmouth, Wrexham & Watford on the beach - so support them/their opposition accordingly)
- We play Preston in 4 games time, so a winless run & out of the play-off running would be nice

Anybody joining me on the 4D chess route of hoping Blackburn win?
 
covcity4life

covcity4life

Well-Known Member
Hincha said:
Blackburn vs Preston tonight. Seems fairly meaningless but:

- We want Blackburn to be clear of relegation when we play them (we also want Portsmouth, Wrexham & Watford on the beach - so support them/their opposition accordingly)
- We play Preston in 4 games time, so a winless run & out of the play-off running would be nice

Anybody joining me on the 4D chess route of hoping Blackburn win?
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I want blackburn to win cos I want Leicester to go down and I want Preston to drop pts just incase cov got pulled into danger of missing out on playoff spots.

Can't say it's 4d though lol
 
Sky Blue Harry H

Sky Blue Harry H

Well-Known Member
Hincha said:
Blackburn vs Preston tonight. Seems fairly meaningless but:

- We want Blackburn to be clear of relegation when we play them (we also want Portsmouth, Wrexham & Watford on the beach - so support them/their opposition accordingly)but
- We play Preston in 4 games time, so a winless run & out of the play-off running would be nice

Anybody joining me on the 4D chess route of hoping Blackburn win?
Click to expand...
You sound very much like me. I look at teams thinking ' I want them to have a couple of players crocked before we play them' then I think - 'oh, they're playing Millwall/ Ipswich etc soon, so I want them as strong as possible for those games' It can drive you mad, but I do get a guilty pleasure out of hearing ' Philogene has got hamstring problems, so could be out for a while' etc. Every little helps, and all that.
 
S

skybluebristol

Well-Known Member
Yorkshire SB said:
Big old nonsense, what if, hypothetical, predictor of predictors.

I think 13 points is pretty conceivable for them, condensed timings but they've got a good squad. They play Wednesday which is 3 points, so then it's 10 from 6.

Sat 21 Feb – Wrexham vs Ipswich - 1 point
Tue 24 Feb – Watford vs Ipswich - 1 point
Sat 28 Feb – Ipswich vs Swansea City - 3 points
Tue 3 Mar – Ipswich vs Hull City - 1 point
Sat 7 Mar – Ipswich vs Leicester City - 3 points
Tue 10 Mar – Stoke City vs Ipswich - 1 point
Sat 14 Mar – Sheffield Wednesday vs Ipswich - 3 points

Let's say after this they get 13 points and they're on 67 points after 37 games.

Our five fixtures to take us to 37 games are

Sat 21 Feb – West Brom vs Coventry - 1 points
Wed 25 Feb – Sheffield United vs Coventry - 0 points
Sat 28 Feb – Coventry vs Stoke - 3 points
Sat 7 Mar – Bristol vs Coventry - 1 point
Weds 11 Mar – Coventry vs Preston - 3 points

Let's say we get 8 points, which I'd say is at the lower end of what we'd hope for. We come out on 70 points, so we'd maintain a 3 point lead.

After that they play

Millwall (H)
Southampton (A)
Birmingham (H)
Norwich (A)
Boro (H)

We have

Southampton (H)
Swansea (A)
Derby (H)
Hull (A)
Wednesday (H)

Considering we have Wednesday in there too, it looks pretty favourable. Let's say 8 points again. It means they have to get 11 from their 5 to get level with us.

TLDR - they have to get very good results in difficult circumstances, we have to be average for that lead to go. If we can put any sort of run together and pick up a couple of away wins in the next 5 away games then we're likely to be very close.
Click to expand...
Good analysis, but I think you're being a bit optimistic re. Ipswich's results.

I think they'll beat either Watford or Wrexham, and I think they'll beat Hull at home as well. I think they could be on 71 points after 37 games.

I think we'll beat the Albion tomorrow, and I'd hope for a point in Sheffield on Wednesday (to give us an extra 3 points).

It's also likely that our game v. BCFC will be moved to the 17th March, so after the Southampton game. I think we'll beat them, so after 37 games, I reckon we'll be on 75 points.

I agree with all your other points though, especially that I think we'll still have a lead after 37 games
 
covcity4life

covcity4life

Well-Known Member
skybluebristol said:
Good analysis, but I think you're being a bit optimistic re. Ipswich's results.

I think they'll beat either Watford or Wrexham, and I think they'll beat Hull at home as well. I think they could be on 71 points after 37 games.

I think we'll beat the Albion tomorrow, and I'd hope for a point in Sheffield on Wednesday (to give us an extra 3 points).

It's also likely that our game v. BCFC will be moved to the 17th March, so after the Southampton game. I think we'll beat them, so after 37 games, I reckon we'll be on 75 points.

I agree with all your other points though, especially that I think we'll still have a lead after 37 games
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Yeah I expect them to win 5 of the 7 probably but welcome any dropped pts!
 
shepardo01

shepardo01

Well-Known Member
skybluebristol said:
I agree with all your other points though, especially that I think we'll still have a lead after 37 games
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You just talking about Ipswich here?

Boro's next two are home Vs Oxford and Leicester.
We have two away games where we traditionally don't do well + one of them against one of the best sides over the last 15 games.

Boro "could" open up a few points lead over us in the next week or so.
 
S

skybluebristol

Well-Known Member
shepardo01 said:
You just talking about Ipswich here?

Boro's next two are home Vs Oxford and Leicester.
We have two away games where we traditionally don't do well + one of them against one of the best sides over the last 15 games.

Boro "could" open up a few points lead over us in the next week or so.
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Yeah, I was just responding to Yorkshire SB and his post / topic on Ipswich's run of 7 games in 3 weeks.

Fwiw, I think we'll win tomorrow and draw at SU - I think Boro will likely win both of theirs, so I think they *might* be a point ahead after Wednesday. They then have Brum away on a Monday night, and we have Stoke at home. So after that I think we'll be back 1 oe 2 points ahead.
 
S

sc1940

Well-Known Member
I don't think anything has changed much as regards points required for promotion, so I'm just ticking off the points from now on, without bothering too much about individual results, ours or our rivals. It's much less stressful that way. If we get to 90 and don't get automatic promotion it will be because other teams have played better, and there's no point now looking back on previous results in a "what if" scenario. I have said consistently I think 87 will be enough, but I'm confident 90 will do it.
 
CCFC96

CCFC96

Well-Known Member
Quite funny how this run-in is similar to last season. I remember lots on here last year saying things like "we'll need 74 points for play-offs". Reality of the league this year is we'll likely need around 86 to get autos with the nature of how tight the league is, everyone will likely drop points. Ipswich need to hit 2 PPG from here on out to get to 86 and they've got a tough congested set of fixtures. Just don't think they'll have enough to keep up.
 
Lamps

Lamps

Well-Known Member
CCFC96 said:
Quite funny how this run-in is similar to last season. I remember lots on here last year saying things like "we'll need 74 points for play-offs". Reality of the league this year is we'll likely need around 86 to get autos with the nature of how tight the league is, everyone will likely drop points. Ipswich need to hit 2 PPG from here on out to get to 86 and they've got a tough congested set of fixtures. Just don't think they'll have enough to keep up.
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They haven't done very well away from home either.
 
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