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The EU: In, out, shake it all about.... (10 Viewers)

  • Thread starter jimmyhillsfanclub
  • Start date Jun 8, 2016
Forums New posts

As of right now, how are thinking of voting? In or out

  • Remain

    Votes: 23 37.1%
  • Leave

    Votes: 35 56.5%
  • Undecided

    Votes: 3 4.8%
  • Not registered or not intention to vote

    Votes: 1 1.6%

  • Total voters
    62
  • Poll closed Jun 15, 2016.
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M

martcov

Well-Known Member
  • Oct 10, 2017
  • #6,826
Astute said:
Of course it is 500m. And 65.6m of them already live here. That 65.6m also has the choice of anywhere in the EU.
Click to expand...

Not if you block the rest from the UK.
 

Sick Boy

Super Moderator
  • Oct 10, 2017
  • #6,827
martcov said:
Not if you block the rest from the UK.
Click to expand...

Or strip UK citizens' of their rights to travel freely and live and work in the EU.
 

Astute

Well-Known Member
  • Oct 10, 2017
  • #6,828
martcov said:
Not if you block the rest from the UK.
Click to expand...
I don't get what you mean.

Were you surprised that our population had shot up to 65.6m considering you stated it as 60m?
 

Astute

Well-Known Member
  • Oct 10, 2017
  • #6,829
Sick Boy said:
Or strip UK citizens' of their rights to travel freely and live and work in the EU.
Click to expand...
Where you would prefer our population to continue to be out of control when you are planning to leave because you prefer Verona.
 

Sick Boy

Super Moderator
  • Oct 10, 2017
  • #6,830
Astute said:
Where you would prefer our population to continue to be out of control when you are planning to leave because you prefer Verona.
Click to expand...

In reality I will be moving to a country with an actual problem with refugees entering the country as opposed to economic migrants who benefit the country.
 
Reactions: Deleted member 5849 and martcov
M

martcov

Well-Known Member
  • Oct 10, 2017
  • #6,831
Astute said:
I don't get what you mean.

Were you surprised that our population had shot up to 65.6m considering you stated it as 60m?
Click to expand...

No, but I did Geography a long while ago.
 

Astute

Well-Known Member
  • Oct 10, 2017
  • #6,832
Sick Boy said:
In reality I will be moving to a country with an actual problem with refugees entering the country as opposed to economic migrants who benefit the country.
Click to expand...
Tell that to the millions of homeless people here.
 

Astute

Well-Known Member
  • Oct 10, 2017
  • #6,833
martcov said:
No, but I did Geography a long while ago.
Click to expand...
Meaning what?

Germanys population has gone up by less than half a million in the last 17 years.

The UK population was well below the 60m you stated for now 17 years ago.
 

Sick Boy

Super Moderator
  • Oct 10, 2017
  • #6,834
Astute said:
Tell that to the millions of homeless people here.
Click to expand...

Even with the hidden homeless there are not millions of homeless people in the UK.
 
Reactions: martcov

clint van damme

Well-Known Member
  • Oct 10, 2017
  • #6,835
Astute said:
So what about the Canada thing you stated?
Click to expand...

it's an indication that our standing in the world isn't as high as we think.
The 2nd round of tariffs are an indication that a threat from May is seen as nothing but bluster.
The US could have taken our so called special relationship into account and given dispensation to airplanes made in Northern Ireland.

Same as the very luke warm response May got in India, (another one of our target markets for one of these super new trade deals), it's worrying.
 
Reactions: martcov

Astute

Well-Known Member
  • Oct 10, 2017
  • #6,836
Sick Boy said:
Even with the hidden homeless there are not millions of homeless people in the UK.
Click to expand...
Of course there is. And you went quiet last time I showed the proof on here. Just like you go quiet each time I show you to be wrong.

You tried to show social housing waiting lists to show the homeless situation. But most people these days are not allowed to join social housing waiting lists as they don't have young kids or special needs. Then you have those counted as intentionally homeless for not paying rent in their last hime. And this could be because they lost their job and couldn't afford the rent. And just about every local council has massive waiting lists. Then you have to multiply these numbers as each single number covers a whole family and not each homeless person.

But you already know this.
 

Sick Boy

Super Moderator
  • Oct 10, 2017
  • #6,837
Astute said:
Of course there is. And you went quiet last time I showed the proof on here. Just like you go quiet each time I show you to be wrong.

You tried to show social housing waiting lists to show the homeless situation. But most people these days are not allowed to join social housing waiting lists as they don't have young kids or special needs. Then you have those counted as intentionally homeless for not paying rent in their last hime. And this could be because they lost their job and couldn't afford the rent. And just about every local council has massive waiting lists. Then you have to multiply these numbers as each single number covers a whole family and not each homeless person.

But you already know this.
Click to expand...

Sorry I actually think you're confusing me with another poster, I have not posted a graph. Let's just say there are millions, so 2 million, that would mean that 1 in 35 people are homeless.
 
Last edited: Oct 10, 2017

Astute

Well-Known Member
  • Oct 10, 2017
  • #6,838
clint van damme said:
it's an indication that our standing in the world isn't as high as we think.
The 2nd round of tariffs are an indication that a threat from May is seen as nothing but bluster.
The US could have taken our so called special relationship into account and given dispensation to airplanes made in Northern Ireland.

Same as the very luke warm response May got in India, (another one of our target markets for one of these super new trade deals), it's worrying.
Click to expand...
America and Canada normally have a good relationship. The Canadians broke state funding rules. Were they supposed to forget it as we are involved?

We already do a lot of trade with India.
 

Astute

Well-Known Member
  • Oct 10, 2017
  • #6,839
Sick Boy said:
Sorry I actually think you're accusing me with another poster, I have not posted a graph. Let's just say there are millions, so 2 million, that would mean that 1 in 35 people are homeless.
Click to expand...
Who mentioned a graph?

Some areas are much worse than others. You like to count those having temporary accommodation as having a home. You try bringing up a family in 1 room.
 

Astute

Well-Known Member
  • Oct 10, 2017
  • #6,840
Sick Boy said:
Sorry I actually think you're accusing me with another poster, I have not posted a graph. Let's just say there are millions, so 2 million, that would mean that 1 in 35 people are homeless.
Click to expand...
Reality Check: How many people are homeless in England?
 

clint van damme

Well-Known Member
  • Oct 10, 2017
  • #6,841
Astute said:
America and Canada normally have a good relationship. The Canadians broke state funding rules. Were they supposed to forget it as we are involved?

We already do a lot of trade with India.
Click to expand...

It all indicates to me that our world standing, or at least, the world standing of this government, isn't quite what they think it is.
Whatever trade we do with India, this government is relying on us doing a lot more, the Indians weren't won over by Mays visit. They want easier access to the UK for Indian students as part of a deal, I'm sure that will go down well.
Are you saying you have faith in this Government to deliver both Brexit and post Brexit trade deals that will be beneficial for this country?
 

Astute

Well-Known Member
  • Oct 10, 2017
  • #6,842
clint van damme said:
It all indicates to me that our world standing, or at least, the world standing of this government, isn't quite what they think it is.
Whatever trade we do with India, this government is relying on us doing a lot more, the Indians weren't won over by Mays visit. They want easier access to the UK for Indian students as part of a deal, I'm sure that will go down well.
Are you saying you have faith in this Government to deliver both Brexit and post Brexit trade deals that will be beneficial for this country?
Click to expand...
The EU needs us as much as we need the EU. 12.5% of what we make goes to the EU. Many EU countries rely on the UK.

Your guess is good as mine. But mine isn't biased. We will see once the posturing ends and negotiations start.

Students from all over the world already come here to study including from India.
 

Sick Boy

Super Moderator
  • Oct 10, 2017
  • #6,843
Astute said:
Reality Check: How many people are homeless in England?
Click to expand...

Thanks for sharing. I will look into it more later but I'd be interested to know what % of them are migrants themselves. If the 3.5m is correct then that is shocking and a stain on successive governments. We are never going to agree on the root cause of it though.
 
Last edited: Oct 10, 2017
Reactions: martcov and Astute

clint van damme

Well-Known Member
  • Oct 10, 2017
  • #6,844
Astute said:
The EU needs us as much as we need the EU. 12.5% of what we make goes to the EU. Many EU countries rely on the UK.

Your guess is good as mine. But mine isn't biased. We will see once the posturing ends and negotiations start.

Students from all over the world already come here to study including from India.
Click to expand...

see the problem I'm starting to have with the EU needs us as much as we need them argument is I am seeing more and more evidence that leads me to believe that there are many politicians and organisations that are prepared to take a hit on their economy to preserve the EU project, (the latest statement from the BDI for example).
Now that stance may seem ridiculous to me and you but if both sides cut off their nose to spite their face then we're all going to suffer.
If we go into a recession over this the fact that the rest of Europe are as well will be of little consolation to me.
And by me, I'm talking about my youngest who leaves school next year, I wan't him to come out to a country and economy that's thriving, sadly my faith in that happening is diminishing.
 
Reactions: martcov and Astute

Astute

Well-Known Member
  • Oct 10, 2017
  • #6,845
Sick Boy said:
Thanks for sharing. I will look into it more lately but I'd be interested to know what % of them are migrants themselves. If the 3.5m is correct then that is shocking and a stain on successive governments. We are never going to agree on the root cause of it though.
Click to expand...
Exactly.

Each government has had a hand in it. And yes there are a lot of people that have come here to live that are homeless. Then you have houses where about 25 or more share. That isn't good enough either. They expected so much more than they got. But they get treated like we are a 3rd world country.

But those who do have a proper home take up a home that would be available if they were not here.

Here is a link I put up a couple of days ago that got ignored as usual

Homes target may never be met, warns housing guru
 
Reactions: martcov and Sick Boy

Astute

Well-Known Member
  • Oct 10, 2017
  • #6,846
clint van damme said:
see the problem I'm starting to have with the EU needs us as much as we need them argument is I am seeing more and more evidence that leads me to believe that there are many politicians and organisations that are prepared to take a hit on their economy to preserve the EU project, (the latest statement from the BDI for example).
Now that stance may seem ridiculous to me and you but if both sides cut off their nose to spite their face then we're all going to suffer.
If we go into a recession over this the fact that the rest of Europe are as well will be of little consolation to me.
And by me, I'm talking about my youngest who leaves school next year, I wan't him to come out to a country and economy that's thriving, sadly my faith in that happening is diminishing.
Click to expand...
Which is exactly what I have been saying.

We buy twice from the EU than the EU buys from us. The EU is already going to suffer with the billions each year we won't be putting in. Travel for holidays shouldn't be a problem as we keep many countries going by visiting them. Just a few points out of many.

But we have posturing and threats. This is on both sides. I don't expect us to get everything. But I also don't expect us to get nothing. But I also don't trust politicians. Most are in it for what they can get out of it personally.

At the worse we will get nothing. There will be tariffs on everything. It will cost us more to go to the EU on holiday. But the world is a big place. And there are nicer places than in the EU. Those who love Spain will find somewhere much better.

If our sales go down in the EU it will be tricky for a few years. Many of those who came here to work will leave. But as we are not in the Euro the £ will devalue. That will make our goods cheaper and we will sell more. This is the big advantage we have of not being in the Euro.

A soft landing would be best all round. But we are too strong to crash and burn like some say.
 
M

martcov

Well-Known Member
  • Oct 10, 2017
  • #6,847
Astute said:
Exactly.

Each government has had a hand in it. And yes there are a lot of people that have come here to live that are homeless. Then you have houses where about 25 or more share. That isn't good enough either. They expected so much more than they got. But they get treated like we are a 3rd world country.

But those who do have a proper home take up a home that would be available if they were not here.

Here is a link I put up a couple of days ago that got ignored as usual

Homes target may never be met, warns housing guru
Click to expand...

The non EU migrants make up a large %.
 
M

martcov

Well-Known Member
  • Oct 10, 2017
  • #6,848
Astute said:
Which is exactly what I have been saying.

We buy twice from the EU than the EU buys from us. The EU is already going to suffer with the billions each year we won't be putting in. Travel for holidays shouldn't be a problem as we keep many countries going by visiting them. Just a few points out of many.

But we have posturing and threats. This is on both sides. I don't expect us to get everything. But I also don't expect us to get nothing. But I also don't trust politicians. Most are in it for what they can get out of it personally.

At the worse we will get nothing. There will be tariffs on everything. It will cost us more to go to the EU on holiday. But the world is a big place. And there are nicer places than in the EU. Those who love Spain will find somewhere much better.

If our sales go down in the EU it will be tricky for a few years. Many of those who came here to work will leave. But as we are not in the Euro the £ will devalue. That will make our goods cheaper and we will sell more. This is the big advantage we have of not being in the Euro.

A soft landing would be best all round. But we are too strong to crash and burn like some say.
Click to expand...

Yes, but the whole point of doing something of this magnitude is to put us in a better position than we were. Not crashing and burning is not the aim of the population. We want a better standard of living and freedoms. I don't see Brexit acheiving that. At the moment not crashing and burning seems like it would be a result...
 

Astute

Well-Known Member
  • Oct 10, 2017
  • #6,849
martcov said:
The non EU migrants make up a large %.
Click to expand...
Yes they do.

But they can't come here just because they want to. They are mainly students, joining family/partner or have the skills we need. Most come from countries we emigrate to like Australia or America for those without family.
 
Reactions: Kingokings204

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • Oct 10, 2017
  • #6,850
clint van damme said:
see the problem I'm starting to have with the EU needs us as much as we need them argument is I am seeing more and more evidence that leads me to believe that there are many politicians and organisations that are prepared to take a hit on their economy to preserve the EU project, (the latest statement from the BDI for example).
Now that stance may seem ridiculous to me and you but if both sides cut off their nose to spite their face then we're all going to suffer.
If we go into a recession over this the fact that the rest of Europe are as well will be of little consolation to me.
And by me, I'm talking about my youngest who leaves school next year, I wan't him to come out to a country and economy that's thriving, sadly my faith in that happening is diminishing.
Click to expand...

Surely if the first paragraph is true that's exactly why we have to leave! Unelected federalist with snouts in the trough sticking two fingers up at the countries economies they are there to support!
 

Astute

Well-Known Member
  • Oct 10, 2017
  • #6,851
martcov said:
Yes, but the whole point of doing something of this magnitude is to put us in a better position than we were. Not crashing and burning is not the aim of the population. We want a better standard of living and freedoms. I don't see Brexit acheiving that. At the moment not crashing and burning seems like it would be a result...
Click to expand...
Like I continually say we are in a period of posturing. The EU wants to look strong. We don't want to look weak. The EU isn't as strong as it wants you to believe. The UK isn't as weak as it wants you to believe. Juncker still thinks he can get us to stay. He desperately needs us to stay. Hopefully his days are numbered now the EU are looking into the tax dodges that he was a part of. Then hopefully he will be replaced with someone who wants what is best for the people of the EU and not himself and the country he is from. If he wasn't such a twat we wouldn't be in this situation. If the bigger countries that put billions into the EU had a bigger say than those who are the same size of a city here we wouldn't be in this situation.
 
K

Kingokings204

Well-Known Member
  • Oct 10, 2017
  • #6,852
Did anyone listen/ watch Teresa May on LBC today for the first time?

A fantastic interview by Iain Dale at 5pm and very revealing.
 
M

martcov

Well-Known Member
  • Oct 10, 2017
  • #6,853
Astute said:
Like I continually say we are in a period of posturing. The EU wants to look strong. We don't want to look weak. The EU isn't as strong as it wants you to believe. The UK isn't as weak as it wants you to believe. Juncker still thinks he can get us to stay. He desperately needs us to stay. Hopefully his days are numbered now the EU are looking into the tax dodges that he was a part of. Then hopefully he will be replaced with someone who wants what is best for the people of the EU and not himself and the country he is from. If he wasn't such a twat we wouldn't be in this situation. If the bigger countries that put billions into the EU had a bigger say than those who are the same size of a city here we wouldn't be in this situation.
Click to expand...

The bigger countries have more say in the parliament, but the problem is when as with Brexit the whole lot has to agree.
 
Reactions: Astute

Astute

Well-Known Member
  • Oct 10, 2017
  • #6,854
martcov said:
The bigger countries have more say in the parliament, but the problem is when as with Brexit the whole lot has to agree.
Click to expand...
Which can be a major problem.

The only way to change this would be to get everyone to vote on losing the vote to be able to stop what they want. It isn't going to happen. And the more countries that join the EU the more difficult it will get.
 
M

martcov

Well-Known Member
  • Oct 10, 2017
  • #6,855
Astute said:
Which can be a major problem.

The only way to change this would be to get everyone to vote on losing the vote to be able to stop what they want. It isn't going to happen. And the more countries that join the EU the more difficult it will get.
Click to expand...

Well it will be difficult, but it has to happen. Money talks, so I am sure the people paying in can use that weapon.

BTW
The DSI has calculated what Brexit could cost Germany on a yearly basis. The EU would lose 10bn and Germany would have to cover 3 bn Euro. The negotiations for the 2020 EU budget start 2018. the hope is that there will be more financial discipline and that cuts will be made to reduce the 3 bn figure. In real terms 3 bn at the moment is not the end of the world for Germany anyway.
 

Astute

Well-Known Member
  • Oct 11, 2017
  • #6,856
martcov said:
Well it will be difficult, but it has to happen. Money talks, so I am sure the people paying in can use that weapon.

BTW
The DSI has calculated what Brexit could cost Germany on a yearly basis. The EU would lose 10bn and Germany would have to cover 3 bn Euro. The negotiations for the 2020 EU budget start 2018. the hope is that there will be more financial discipline and that cuts will be made to reduce the 3 bn figure. In real terms 3 bn at the moment is not the end of the world for Germany anyway.
Click to expand...
So where would the other 7b come from?

And if cuts could be made have they been wasting the money we have been putting in?

No need to answer that.

The talk now is how much the tariffs would be if no deal is made. Most are not massive. Cars should be 10%. Industrial products between 2 and 3%. But the big one is agricultural goods. 20% to 40%.

Reality Check: What would 'no Brexit deal' look like?
 

clint van damme

Well-Known Member
  • Oct 11, 2017
  • #6,857
Grendel said:
Surely if the first paragraph is true that's exactly why we have to leave! Unelected federalist with snouts in the trough sticking two fingers up at the countries economies they are there to support!
Click to expand...

it depends how worried you are about the alternative.
 

Sick Boy

Super Moderator
  • Oct 11, 2017
  • #6,858
Astute said:
Yes they do.

But they can't come here just because they want to. They are mainly students, joining family/partner or have the skills we need. Most come from countries we emigrate to like Australia or America for those without family.
Click to expand...

Do you have evidence of this? I thought that a lot had come from south America in recent years.
 
Reactions: martcov
M

martcov

Well-Known Member
  • Oct 11, 2017
  • #6,859
Astute said:
So where would the other 7b come from?

And if cuts could be made have they been wasting the money we have been putting in?

No need to answer that.

The talk now is how much the tariffs would be if no deal is made. Most are not massive. Cars should be 10%. Industrial products between 2 and 3%. But the big one is agricultural goods. 20% to 40%.

Reality Check: What would 'no Brexit deal' look like?
Click to expand...

The other 7 bn would come from the other net payers - I presume. The article I read was from a German tax payers point of view.

I was at a parents evening last night. The school used to do exchange visits with Cardinal Wiseman. Now they go to near Madrid and say that if Brexit comes, exchange visits with the UK probably won’t happen because they will not get an EU contribution.

The main theme in English this year is Ireland. I asked if this was because of Brexit, but it isn’t - apparently.

As regards both sides suffering negative effects, then that shows what Brexit voters have done to millions of people. If they think that would be a win, that would be like having a fight: you break my nose and claim a win and I knock your teeth out and claim a win. We are both bragging about our win and everyone else can see what tossers we actually are.
 
M

martcov

Well-Known Member
  • Oct 11, 2017
  • #6,860
Kingokings204 said:
Did anyone listen/ watch Teresa May on LBC today for the first time?

A fantastic interview by Iain Dale at 5pm and very revealing.
Click to expand...

Yes, she doesn’t know what would happen to over 1 million British Citizens living abroad if she cannot satisfy the EU that EU citizens would keep their rights. This after months of talks.
 
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