Match Thread Swansea City- Coventry City 21st March 17.15ko (29 Viewers)

[COVKIDSNEVERQUIT]

Swansea’s home form is the sixth best in the division, they’re just absolutely horrendous away. Their last six home form is second only to Norwich and above ours. The idea that just cos they’re midtable they’ll be an easy win is for the birds.

Out of interest Where Do We Stand in the away form League.

 

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[StrettoBoy]

Basing it both on game in hand and current form.

Last 6

Middlesbrough W2 D3 L1 9.points

Ipswich W4 D2 14 points

Millwall W2 L2 12 points.

Ipswich 14 league games so far this year. W9 D3 L2. That's 2.14 points a game. 1 more game then they get a break.

The problem is that recent past form isn’t always an accurate guide as to how you will do in the next few matches.

If we had performed as well in December and January as we did in October and November we would probably have been promoted already.

I still think we’ll do it. I have the champagne (metaphorical champagne because I don’t drink) on ice but I’m not popping the cork until it’s certain.

 

[prufrock]

Out of interest Where Do We Stand in the away form League.

 

[StrettoBoy]

This prediction would likely mean that it will be a tight race:



I think it’s bordering on nonsense though. I’d be shocked if we only picked up another five points, as this means we couldn’t win more than one of our remaining eight fixtures. That’s relegation form!

 

[Captain Dart]

This prediction would likely mean that it will be a tight race:

View attachment 49973

I think it’s bordering on nonsense though. I’d be shocked if we only picked up another five points, as this means we couldn’t win more than one of our remaining eight fixtures. That’s relegation form!

Supercomputer says no, I say yes & screw you Opta.

 

[clint van damme]

Basing it both on game in hand and current form.

Last 6

Middlesbrough W2 D3 L1 9.points

Ipswich W4 D2 14 points

Millwall W2 L2 12 points.

Ipswich 14 league games so far this year. W9 D3 L2. That's 2.14 points a game. 1 more game then they get a break.

But if you break Ipswichs form down in to home and away they're only at 1.44 PPG away over the season.

If they replicate that then they won't hit 88 even if they win all their home games.

 

[Ccfcisparks]

This prediction would likely mean that it will be a tight race:

View attachment 49973

I think it’s bordering on nonsense though. I’d be shocked if we only picked up another five points, as this means we couldn’t win more than one of our remaining eight fixtures. That’s relegation form!

Opta's super computer has us finishing with 91 points so this is nonsense.

 

[StrettoBoy]

Opta's super computer has us finishing with 91 points so this is nonsense.

I said it was nonsense but that’s what it came up with about half an hour ago

I reckon we will get 88-92, which is certainly enough for promotion and gives us a great chance of the title as well

 

[coop]

Wright not called up for USA so Definitely injured fucking typical our luck Wright,Rudi and Thomas out now we need Simms and BTA from the start of the season to turn up for this game.

 

[COVKIDSNEVERQUIT]

Wright not called up for USA so Definitely injured fucking typical our luck Wright,Rudi and Thomas out now we need Simms and BTA from the start of the season to turn up for this game.

Every f****** season.

 

[Lamps]

But if you break Ipswichs form down in to home and away they're only at 1.44 PPG away over the season.

If they replicate that then they won't hit 88 even if they win all their home games.

As we all know Ipswich had a poor start to the season. The chase has been on ever since to catch us up.

I'd prefer to look at the form for this year at this point of the season. It's from when clubs were able to sign new players. The sides that brought in what they needed are doing well.

Sticking on the games at the start of the season doesn't show a lot. Just about every side will have different players now and a very good chance a different manager.

 

[clint van damme]

As we all know Ipswich had a poor start to the season. The chase has been on ever since to catch us up.

I'd prefer to look at the form for this year at this point of the season. It's from when clubs were able to sign new players. The sides that brought in what they needed are doing well.

Sticking on the games at the start of the season doesn't show a lot. Just about every side will have different players now and a very good chance a different manager.

They're still only 1.66PPG in their last 6 away, and with trips to Norwich, Southampton and West Brom, ( with their newly found bollocks), I don't expect them to keep that up.

 

[Lamps]

They're still only 1.66PPG in their last 6 away, and with trips to Norwich, Southampton and West Brom, ( with their newly found bollocks), I don't expect them to keep that up.

Only averaging 1.66 ppg in their last 6 away games? Only?

They're capable of winning them games. They have the strongest squad and this is the time of the season where the better squads have an advantage.

We will soon see. Would love to be wrong.

 

[Brighton Sky Blue]

Only averaging 1.66 ppg in their last 6 away games? Only?

They're capable of winning them games. They have the strongest squad and this is the time of the season where the better squads have an advantage.

We will soon see. Would love to be wrong.

Both they and Boro have recently dropped points at home in games where you really wouldn't expect them to. West Brom, Southampton and most of all Norwich are challenging away fixtures where all 3 teams have a huge incentive to get a result.

Ipswich's problem all season has been inconsistency.

 

[skybluelee]

This prediction would likely mean that it will be a tight race:

View attachment 49973

I think it’s bordering on nonsense though. I’d be shocked if we only picked up another five points, as this means we couldn’t win more than one of our remaining eight fixtures. That’s relegation form!

What the fuck is this nonsense?

 

[shmmeee]

This prediction would likely mean that it will be a tight race:

View attachment 49973

I think it’s bordering on nonsense though. I’d be shocked if we only picked up another five points, as this means we couldn’t win more than one of our remaining eight fixtures. That’s relegation form!

What in the Copilot is this?

 

[Mucca Mad Boys]

Both they and Boro have recently dropped points at home in games where you really wouldn't expect them to. West Brom, Southampton and most of all Norwich are challenging away fixtures where all 3 teams have a huge incentive to get a result.

Ipswich's problem all season has been inconsistency.

Norwich have an outside bet of playoffs so that game v Ipswich is huge for them.

We’re in a such a great position and all the teams around the Top 4 will be taking chunks out of one another in the coming weeks so in the end, we’ll chug along and win the league in relative comfort.

With 11 games left, we were projected to lose 1-2 games so Saturday doesn’t really change anything because at least two of Millwall, Ipswich and Boro will drop points over the next 2 games.

 

[Brighton Sky Blue]

Norwich have an outside bet of playoffs so that game v Ipswich is huge for them.

We’re in a such a great position and all the teams around the Top 4 will be taking chunks out of one another in the coming weeks so in the end, we’ll chug along and win the league in relative comfort.

With 11 games left, we were projected to lose 1-2 games so Saturday doesn’t really change anything because at least two of Millwall, Ipswich and Boro will drop points over the next 2 games.

I wasn't expecting us to lose last week, I do have us down to lose this weekend. If we draw it's as you were as far as my prediction's concerned.

I think there's a good chance that second place, the playoffs and relegation will all be in play on the final day, which hasn't been the case for quite some time iirc. Being able to watch that hopefully with promotion already in the bag will be pretty sweet.

 

[Johhny Blue]

I think we need another 3 wins to do it. It's inevitable that the teams below us will drop points.

Not least of all because they all have to play each other

 

[Johhny Blue]

I genuinely think 85 will do it. That means two of the following need to happen:

Ipswich18 from 9
Middlesbrough 16 from 8
Millwall 18 from 8

If you think we need 12 then the two of the following following needs to happen:

Ipswich 22 from 9 (7 wins and a draw)
Middlesbrough 20 from 8 (6 wins and 2 draws)
Millwall 22 from 8 (7 wins and 1 draw)

None are in exceptional from, all have to play each other, Middlesbrough have just failed to beat Charlton, Oxford, Leicester and Bristol C in consecutive home games, Ipswich's April looks hideous.

I could see one going on a run and taking the title off us if we fuck about but I simply don't see a world where we don't finish top 2.

No-one’s taking our title

 

[Johhny Blue]

Which out of Boro and Millwall is getting 89 points?

None of the three will reach 89

 

[clint van damme]

Only averaging 1.66 ppg in their last 6 away games? Only?

They're capable of winning them games. They have the strongest squad and this is the time of the season where the better squads have an advantage.

We will soon see. Would love to be wrong.

For context, Boro and Millwall on 2.5.
We're the worst of the 4 on 1.5 but obviously we have a decent cushion.

 

[Lamps]

For context, Boro and Millwall on 2.5.
We're the worst of the 4 on 1.5 but obviously we have a decent cushion.

Home form next?

Last 4 home games for Middlesbrough were against the sides in 14th, 18th, 22nd and 23rd. Three draws and a defeat. They couldn't even beat Bristol City at home last game. Even Leicester beat Bristol City the game before.

 

[Joe King]

My thoughts are with the SBA who will be travelling to Swansea for a 5.15pm k.o.
Not the easiest places to get to, and a late return home. Thoughts will be with you all and safe journey there and back. X

 

[Skybluekyle]

If Ipswich win their game in hand then they are on 71 and can reach 95 if they beat Ipswich.

 

[David O'Day]

This prediction would likely mean that it will be a tight race:

View attachment 49973

I think it’s bordering on nonsense though. I’d be shocked if we only picked up another five points, as this means we couldn’t win more than one of our remaining eight fixtures. That’s relegation form!

does that say we should be 5 points clear so we are unperforming?

 

[Sick Boy]

This prediction would likely mean that it will be a tight race:

View attachment 49973

I think it’s bordering on nonsense though. I’d be shocked if we only picked up another five points, as this means we couldn’t win more than one of our remaining eight fixtures. That’s relegation form!

Ah yes, the ever reliable Chat GPT.

 

[CCFC96]

Will be a tough game because every game (Wednesday aside) is in the championship. However think Swans recent home form is being a little overplayed: the 10 unbeaten at home is vs the following: Stoke, PNE, Bristol City, Wednesday, Blackburn, Blues, West Brom, Wrexham, Oxford, Derby.

One top 6 side, one play-off challenging team and the rest lower-mid table/relegation fodder.

Think we should be and will win at the weekend, starting XI:

Rushworth

MvE Woolfenden Lati JDS

Onyeka Grimes

Sakamoto Eccles EMC

Simms

I’d really like to see Esse in the 10 at some point this year but don’t think Lampard will do it.

0-2 Cov - Simms and EMC

 

[Sky Blue Pete]

Will be a tough game because every game (Wednesday aside) is in the championship. However think Swans recent home form is being a little overplayed: the 10 unbeaten at home is vs the following: Stoke, PNE, Bristol City, Wednesday, Blackburn, Blues, West Brom, Wrexham, Oxford, Derby.

One top 6 side, one play-off challenging team and the rest lower-mid table/relegation fodder.

Think we should be and will win at the weekend, starting XI:

Rushworth

MvE Woolfenden Lati JDS

Onyeka Grimes

Sakamoto Eccles EMC

Simms

I’d really like to see Esse in the 10 at some point this year but don’t think Lampard will do it.

0-2 Cov - Simms and EMC

Can’t see Wolfy and Kitching playing
Be great if Bobby is fit and everyone will need to be on their game
Think we may see the return of bta and Simms

 

[Gibbo]

Which is why most promoted teams spend £100 million + on players. Also, Wolves are in good form right now.

Wolves also have quite an "easy" run in. Stranger things have happened. But if the BBC is right, they do not have another Premiership fixture until 10th April

 

[Ccfcisparks]

Wolves also have quite an "easy" run in. Stranger things have happened. But if the BBC is right, they do not have another Premiership fixture until 10th April

Wolves are never staying up lol

 

[CovValleyBoy]

I quite like the idea of 5 at the back for this one

Rushworth
Lati Woolfenden Kitching
MVE Onyeka Torp Grimes Dasilva
BTA Simms

only problem is you’re leaving out 2 of our most dangerous and inform attackers in Sakamoto and EMC.

Can't leave EMC out.
Could play him up top in a two ,on the left.
He's made for it.

 

[Sky Blue Pete]

Can't leave EMC out.
Could play him up top in a two ,on the left.
He's made for it.

Yep and the reason last year for the 2 was we didn’t have wingers and we have this year

 

[clint van damme]

Wolves are never staying up lol

No, but they look like they're doing a good job of preparing for next year. Which is why we really need to take this opportunity to get promoted this season.