nobody thought we’d win 6 out of 6, confident We’ll do it but they’ll be a few more nervy moments yet
Match Thread Swansea City- Coventry City 21st March 17.15ko (18 Viewers)
- Thread starter Para1140
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never knew that thanks
it’ll be tighter than some think
Ccfcisparks
Well-Known Member
Which out of Boro and Millwall is getting 89 points?never knew that thanks
fernandopartridge
Well-Known Member
Oh god. One defeat and the doom mongers are out.
Ccfcisparks
Well-Known Member
He is a constant doom monger. I've never noticed him before but hes been rife recently.
they both could ?
Ccfcisparks
Well-Known Member
The max that Milwall can get is 92 and thats with games against Boro and Ipswich.
If they win those then Boro need to go faultless to get to 89. They have Ipswich.
Its extremely unlikely and just silly.
Didn’t we just win 6 out of 6. you’re right probably unlikely but until it’s mathematically done not getting carried away,
Ccfcisparks
Well-Known Member
If Ipswich win their game in hand then they are on 71 and can reach 95 if they beat Ipswich.
If Milwall beat both of them then Milwall can reach 92.
That would mean Boro could get max 91, if they beat Ipswich.]
It would take 2 teams going near faultless to get 89.
If Milwall beat both of them then Milwall can reach 92.
That would mean Boro could get max 91, if they beat Ipswich.]
It would take 2 teams going near faultless to get 89.
Ccfcisparks
Well-Known Member
How are they going to win 8 out of 8 when they're all playing each other
now who’s being silly
Ccfcisparks
Well-Known Member
they don’t need to win 8 out of 8 if Mboro and Ipswich beat milwall they can both get to 89 points even though they still have to play each other. dont need to be good at maths to understand that, shall I put it simpler for you ?
Ccfcisparks
Well-Known Member
Yes by going faultless. Like I said. Thanks for proving my point.
Otis
Well-Known Member
Hopefully we can do that by Saturday evening (yeah, maths ISN'T my strong point)
Lamps
Well-Known Member
They have to play each other again. That's 3 games...2 each... where a draw is a right bonus for us. No draws? 6 points for one, 3 points for another leaving 0 points for the 3rd team.....or 3 points each for all 3 sides from 2 games.
So in reality unless Middlesbrough draw both games with Millwall and Ipswich would be 2 points each from their 2 games and then the 3 sides win every other game. It isn't happening. If anything the 3 more wins for us could well be more than enough for promotion.
They don’t need to be faultless ? all I’ve said is we can still come 3rd, which we can, relax mate and enjoy it
Ccfcisparks
Well-Known Member
Yes exactly my point.
Careful he’ll be along and try and force his argument on you, don’t think he realises that other people on here can be right. not just him
Ccfcisparks
Well-Known Member
Charity bet that two of the 3 dont make 89 points?
not what I said 
StrettoBoy
Well-Known Member
We are clearly strong favourites for at least second place but this isn’t done yet.
If we lost away to Swansea and Hull and drew at home with Derby - all possible results - then we would have one point from four games. We might not still be top then and the players may start to get the jitters, as would the fans.
Don’t get me wrong, I think we will do better than that in the next three games and I do believe we will be promoted. However a short bad run like that, coupled with two of the other promotion-chasing teams going on the sort of good runs they have done before, and it will start getting very tight.
Six points from the next three matches would put us on 83 points with five matches to go and I will start to feel more comfortable
If we lost away to Swansea and Hull and drew at home with Derby - all possible results - then we would have one point from four games. We might not still be top then and the players may start to get the jitters, as would the fans.
Don’t get me wrong, I think we will do better than that in the next three games and I do believe we will be promoted. However a short bad run like that, coupled with two of the other promotion-chasing teams going on the sort of good runs they have done before, and it will start getting very tight.
Six points from the next three matches would put us on 83 points with five matches to go and I will start to feel more comfortable
Lamps
Well-Known Member
The most probable from the remaining games is one of them mid to high 80's, one low to mid 80's and the other about 80 points.
Even better is that the pressure is on all 3 sides. Win every game or fall behind the others. Millwall have to play both of them away in their next 2 games, and if they don't manage to win at least 1 of them the race would be down to 3 sides.....and they still would have to play each other.
I believe many haven't grasped how important the 3 of them playing each other in what is a quarter of their remaining games. Advantage to Ipswich presently because of the game in hand.
Ccfcisparks
Well-Known Member
Exactly, either all 3 of them are dropping 4 points or 2 of them at least 3 points due to those games.
Ipswich don’t have the luxury of a sheffield wednesday game to go either
clint van damme
Well-Known Member
I disagree sbout Ipswich, though appreciate you're basing that on them having a game in hand.
Their April set of fixtures is horrendous, both for congestion, and the difficulty of some of the games they have, I expect them to miss out.
Ccfcisparks
Well-Known Member
some expect them to win every game
Doesn’t matter what happens , we need to get enough points to get it done, but we’ve had our wobble, we’ll be fine 94 points
skybluelee
Well-Known Member
Ipswich with the advantage? - possibly, but their April run of fixtures looks hideous. If they average over 2ppg from that lot then fair play to them. Don't see it though.
Boicey
Well-Known Member
It's a bit sad that our set piece threat has largely evaporated, it was based mainly around Thomas and even he was on a lean spell.
It's surprising that MVE, JDS, Lati, Kitch, Woolfy, the Tank and Grimes don't really score goals including around set pieces, could do with them chipping in a few.
Hopefully Simms can quickly find form and provide a real threat at Swansea.
It's surprising that MVE, JDS, Lati, Kitch, Woolfy, the Tank and Grimes don't really score goals including around set pieces, could do with them chipping in a few.
Hopefully Simms can quickly find form and provide a real threat at Swansea.
Umm…not really. Just stating that I think away at Swansea who have been good at home will be a tricky match.
Largely agree with this. We’ll likely get promoted, but not impossible that we muck up. Somewhere in between planning the promotion party/saying we couldn’t lose and deciding it’s all going to go wrong.We are clearly strong favourites for at least second place but this isn’t done yet.
If we lost away to Swansea and Hull and drew at home with Derby - all possible results - then we would have one point from four games. We might not still be top then and the players may start to get the jitters, as would the fans.
Don’t get me wrong, I think we will do better than that in the next three games and I do believe we will be promoted. However a short bad run like that, coupled with two of the other promotion-chasing teams going on the sort of good runs they have done before, and it will start getting very tight.
Six points from the next three matches would put us on 83 points with five matches to go and I will start to feel more comfortable
Lamps
Well-Known Member
Basing it both on game in hand and current form.
Last 6
Middlesbrough W2 D3 L1 9.points
Ipswich W4 D2 14 points
Millwall W2 L2 12 points.
Ipswich 14 league games so far this year. W9 D3 L2. That's 2.14 points a game. 1 more game then they get a break.
Have a day off, youre the only one who’s said that.
Lamps
Well-Known Member
As in the post above Ipswich have averaged over 2 points a game since the start of the year. Their tails are up and they have the squad to go with the confidence.
Not too bothered myself. 2nd, 3rd and 4th have to play each other twice. Whoever comes out of these games with 2 wins will probably finish 2nd.....or 1st if everything goes against us.