nobody thought we’d win 6 out of 6, confident We’ll do it but they’ll be a few more nervy moments yet
nobody thought we’d win 6 out of 6, confident We’ll do it but they’ll be a few more nervy moments yetI genuinely think 85 will do it. That means two of the following need to happen:
Ipswich18 from 9
Middlesbrough 16 from 8
Millwall 18 from 8
If you think we need 12 then the two of the following following needs to happen:
Ipswich 22 from 9 (7 wins and a draw)
Middlesbrough 20 from 8 (6 wins and 2 draws)
Millwall 22 from 8 (7 wins and 1 draw)
None are in exceptional from, all have to play each other, Middlesbrough have just failed to beat Charlton, Oxford, Leicester and Bristol C in consecutive home games, Ipswich's April looks hideous.
I could see one going on a run and taking the title off us if we fuck about but I simply don't see a world where we don't finish top 2.
never knew that thanksHow many have Ipswich got on their last run?
You do know to finish 3rd two teams have to finish above you.
Which out of Boro or Millwall is getting 89 points?
Which out of Boro and Millwall is getting 89 points?never knew that thanksit’ll be tighter than some think
Oh god. One defeat and the doom mongers are out.I think Wright, Rudoni and Thomas missing makes this v tough. Hoping we can shithouse to a point or win, but a defeat feels likely.
He is a constant doom monger. I've never noticed him before but hes been rife recently.Oh god. One defeat and the doom mongers are out.
they both could ?Which out of Boro and Millwall is getting 89 points
The max that Milwall can get is 92 and thats with games against Boro and Ipswich.they both could ?
Didn’t we just win 6 out of 6. you’re right probably unlikely but until it’s mathematically done not getting carried away,The max that Milwall can get is 92 and thats with games against Boro and Ipswich.
If they win those then Boro need to go faultless to get to 89. They have Ipswich.
Its extremely unlikely and just silly.
How are they going to win 8 out of 8 when they're all playing each otherDidn’t we just win 6 out of 6. you’re right probably unlikely but until it’s mathematically done not getting carried away
now who’s being sillyHow are they going to win 8 out of 8 when they're all playing each other
You are.now who’s being silly
they don’t need to win 8 out of 8 if Mboro and Ipswich beat milwall they can both get to 89 points even though they still have to play each other. dont need to be good at maths to understand that, shall I put it simpler for you ?You are.
I take it maths isnt your strong suit.
Yes by going faultless. Like I said. Thanks for proving my point.they don’t need to win 8 out of 8 if Mboro and Ipswich beat milwall they can both get to 89 points even though they still have to play each other. dont need to be good at maths to understand that, shall I put it simpler for you ?
Hopefully we can do that by Saturday evening (yeah, maths ISN'T my strong point)Anyway, we’ve got to to get to 88 first
They have to play each other again. That's 3 games...2 each... where a draw is a right bonus for us. No draws? 6 points for one, 3 points for another leaving 0 points for the 3rd team.....or 3 points each for all 3 sides from 2 games.I genuinely think 85 will do it. That means two of the following need to happen:
Ipswich18 from 9
Middlesbrough 16 from 8
Millwall 18 from 8
If you think we need 12 then the two of the following following needs to happen:
Ipswich 22 from 9 (7 wins and a draw)
Middlesbrough 20 from 8 (6 wins and 2 draws)
Millwall 22 from 8 (7 wins and 1 draw)
None are in exceptional from, all have to play each other, Middlesbrough have just failed to beat Charlton, Oxford, Leicester and Bristol C in consecutive home games, Ipswich's April looks hideous.
I could see one going on a run and taking the title off us if we fuck about but I simply don't see a world where we don't finish top 2.
They don’t need to be faultless ? all I’ve said is we can still come 3rd, which we can, relax mate and enjoy itYes by going faultless. Like I said. Thanks for proving my point.
Yes exactly my point.They have to play each other again. That's 3 games...2 each... where a draw is a right bonus for us. No draws? 6 points for one, 3 points for another leaving 0 points for the 3rd team.....or 3 points each for all 3 sides from 2 games.
So in reality unless Middlesbrough draw both games with Millwall and Ipswich would be 2 points each from their 2 games and then the 3 sides win every other game. It isn't happening. If anything the 3 more wins for us could well be more than enough for promotion.
Careful he’ll be along and try and force his argument on you, don’t think he realises that other people on here can be right. not just himHopefully we can do that by Saturday evening (yeah, maths ISN'T my strong point)
Charity bet that two of the 3 dont make 89 points?Careful he’ll be along and try and force his argument on you, don’t think he realises that other people on here can be right. not just him
Ok I’ll have £200 they don’t aswellCharity bet that two of the 3 dont make 89 points?
The most probable from the remaining games is one of them mid to high 80's, one low to mid 80's and the other about 80 points.Charity bet that two of the 3 dont make 89 points?
Exactly, either all 3 of them are dropping 4 points or 2 of them at least 3 points due to those games.The most probable from the remaining games is one of them mid to high 80's, one low to mid 80's and the other about 80 points.
Even better is that the pressure is on all 3 sides. Win every game or fall behind the others. Millwall have to play both of them away in their next 2 games, and if they don't manage to win at least 1 of them the race would be down to 3 sides.....and they still would have to play each other.
I believe many haven't grasped how important the 3 of them playing each other in what is a quarter of their remaining games. Advantage to Ipswich presently because of the game in hand.
The most probable from the remaining games is one of them mid to high 80's, one low to mid 80's and the other about 80 points.
Even better is that the pressure is on all 3 sides. Win every game or fall behind the others. Millwall have to play both of them away in their next 2 games, and if they don't manage to win at least 1 of them the race would be down to 3 sides.....and they still would have to play each other.
I believe many haven't grasped how important the 3 of them playing each other in what is a quarter of their remaining games. Advantage to Ipswich presently because of the game in hand.
some expect them to win every gameI disagree sbout Ipswich, though appreciate you're basing that on them having a game in hand.
Their April set of fixtures is horrendous, both for congestion, and the difficulty of some of the games they have, I expect them to miss out.
Doesn’t matter what happens , we need to get enough points to get it done, but we’ve had our wobble, we’ll be fine 94 pointsThe most probable from the remaining games is one of them mid to high 80's, one low to mid 80's and the other about 80 points.
Even better is that the pressure is on all 3 sides. Win every game or fall behind the others. Millwall have to play both of them away in their next 2 games, and if they don't manage to win at least 1 of them the race would be down to 3 sides.....and they still would have to play each other.
I believe many haven't grasped how important the 3 of them playing each other in what is a quarter of their remaining games. Advantage to Ipswich presently because of the game in hand.
Ipswich with the advantage? - possibly, but their April run of fixtures looks hideous. If they average over 2ppg from that lot then fair play to them. Don't see it though.The most probable from the remaining games is one of them mid to high 80's, one low to mid 80's and the other about 80 points.
Even better is that the pressure is on all 3 sides. Win every game or fall behind the others. Millwall have to play both of them away in their next 2 games, and if they don't manage to win at least 1 of them the race would be down to 3 sides.....and they still would have to play each other.
I believe many haven't grasped how important the 3 of them playing each other in what is a quarter of their remaining games. Advantage to Ipswich presently because of the game in hand.
Umm…not really. Just stating that I think away at Swansea who have been good at home will be a tricky match.Oh god. One defeat and the doom mongers are out.
Largely agree with this. We’ll likely get promoted, but not impossible that we muck up. Somewhere in between planning the promotion party/saying we couldn’t lose and deciding it’s all going to go wrong.We are clearly strong favourites for at least second place but this isn’t done yet.
If we lost away to Swansea and Hull and drew at home with Derby - all possible results - then we would have one point from four games. We might not still be top then and the players may start to get the jitters, as would the fans.
Don’t get me wrong, I think we will do better than that in the next three games and I do believe we will be promoted. However a short bad run like that, coupled with two of the other promotion-chasing teams going on the sort of good runs they have done before, and it will start getting very tight.
Six points from the next three matches would put us on 83 points with five matches to go and I will start to feel more comfortable
Basing it both on game in hand and current form.I disagree sbout Ipswich, though appreciate you're basing that on them having a game in hand.
Their April set of fixtures is horrendous, both for congestion, and the difficulty of some of the games they have, I expect them to miss out.
Have a day off, youre the only one who’s said that.some expect them to win every game
As in the post above Ipswich have averaged over 2 points a game since the start of the year. Their tails are up and they have the squad to go with the confidence.Ipswich with the advantage? - possibly, but their April run of fixtures looks hideous. If they average over 2ppg from that lot then fair play to them. Don't see it though.
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