Just did some number crunching on how promoted teams fare in their first PL season since 1992...
It was a 56% survival rate - basically a coin flip
Looked at all 32 seasons, 96 promoted teams total:
54 stayed up
42 went straight back down
What usually happens:
2 out of 3 survive (most common - happened 15 times)
1 out of 3 survive (12 times)
All 3 survive (only twice! 2001-02 and 2022-23)
All 3 relegated (4 times including this season

)
Odds would suggest 1 stops up this season and I would suspect Leeds stand the best chance.