| Coventry Norwich (A) QPR (A) Oxford (H) Boro (H) WBA (A) Sheff U (A) Expected points ~10 Leaves around ~68pts | Ipswich Sheff U (A) Preston (H) Pompey (A) Derby (A) Wrexham (A) Watford (A) Expected points ~11 Leaves around ~61pts | M’boro Preston (H) Norwich (H) Sheff U (A) Coventry (A) Oxford (H) Leicester (H) Expected points ~9 Leaves around ~61pts |
Surely Boro would be 7 points behind based on those expected points?The next six games for us, Ipswich and Boro, it seems like we’ll be the 3 at the top. When we come through this period there will only be 12 games left (other than Ipswich’s postponed game vs Hull) so thats why Im doing next 6 setting it into 3 blocks:
(Colours represent W,D,L in reverse fixture)
(Expected points is my guess how many each team will get from these fixtures)
Coventry
Norwich (A)
QPR (A)
Oxford (H)
Boro (H)
WBA (A)
Sheff U (A)
Expected points ~10
Leaves around ~65ptsIpswich
Sheff U (A)
Preston (H)
Pompey (A)
Derby (A)
Wrexham (A)
Watford (A)
Expected points ~11
Leaves around ~61ptsM’boro
Preston (H)
Norwich (H)
Sheff U (A)
Coventry (A)
Oxford (H)
Leicester (H)
Expected points ~9
Leaves around ~61pts
Deducted 3 from us by accident! Whoops will ammend at onceSurely Boro would be 7 points behind based on those expected points?
Colours is revers fixture, expected points is what I think they’ll get in the next 6, total is current + expected points10 puts us on 68
the points for the others is ok, but ipswich still have the game in hand
Also the colours v points makes no sense - versus the totals
Ipswich to only get 11 points from 6 fixtures? That's only 3 wins out of 6 games. .The next six games for us, Ipswich and Boro, it seems like we’ll be the 3 at the top. When we come through this period there will only be 12 games left (other than Ipswich’s postponed game vs Hull) so thats why Im doing next 6 setting it into 3 blocks:
(Colours represent W,D,L in reverse fixture)
(Expected points is my guess how many each team will get from these fixtures)
Coventry
Norwich (A)
QPR (A)
Oxford (H)
Boro (H)
WBA (A)
Sheff U (A)
Expected points ~10
Leaves around ~68ptsIpswich
Sheff U (A)
Preston (H)
Pompey (A)
Derby (A)
Wrexham (A)
Watford (A)
Expected points ~11
Leaves around ~61ptsM’boro
Preston (H)
Norwich (H)
Sheff U (A)
Coventry (A)
Oxford (H)
Leicester (H)
Expected points ~9
Leaves around ~61pts
Its just an estimate, and being more optimisticIpswich to only get 11 points from 6 fixtures? That's only 3 wins out of 6 games. .
They've just won 5 in a row haven't they?
Well, I hope you are right, because another 6 games scratched off and still 7 points ahead, would be fantastic.
They have won 4 in a row and it's the first time they have managed to string together more than 2 back to back wins all season. They are incredibly inconsistent, especially away from home and they have about 5 back to back away fixtures in Feb (including the cup which they were stupid enough to not get themselves knocked out of).Ipswich to only get 11 points from 6 fixtures? That's only 3 wins out of 6 games. .
They've just won 5 in a row haven't they?
Well, I hope you are right, because another 6 games scratched off and still 7 points ahead, would be fantastic.
Yeah, 5 wins in a row, including the cup win. That's what I meant.They have won 4 in a row and it's the first time they have managed to string together more than 2 back to back wins all season. They are incredibly inconsistent, especially away from home and they have about 5 back to back away fixtures in Feb (including the cup which they were stupid enough to not get themselves knocked out of).
4 of those 5 games were at home to be fair Otis.Yeah, 5 wins in a row, including the cup win. That's what I meant.
They WERE incredibly inconsistent. For sure they were, especially earlier in the season. but this is a different Ipswich team now and they finally seek to have got their act together and got into gear.
I expect them now to win the league.
The fixture pattern is odd this season we seem to be playing two home games followed by two aways quite oftenIn that spell, interesting to see that Boro have four out of six at home - including the next two.
While we have four out of six away!!
Average league position of these 6 games for us is 14th, no idea what theirs is. Yes these are 4 away games, but 3 against the bottom half and one against mid table.In that spell, interesting to see that Boro have four out of six at home - including the next two.
While we have four out of six away!!
Colours is revers fixtures not what I think will happenIpswich to lose at home to PNE is an interesting take I’ll give you that. As is us failing to beat Oxford at home while beating Sheff Utd away.
Anyway, I’d be cautiously optimistic over getting 12 points from the 6 games and so being on 70 from 34 overall.
would bite your hand off for thatThis is what I think:
Norwich (A) - W
QPR (A) - D
Oxford (H) - W
Boro (H) - W
WBA (A) - D
Sheff U (A) - L
11 points from 18 which would put us on 69 points
would bite your hand off for that
We also have a nice end to the season and would expect at least 10 points from the last 5 games
Wednesday H
Blackburn A
Portsmouth H
Wrexham H
Watford A
20 points from the next 13 games ahead of the last 5 I think will be enough especially with a win v Boro as we then go into the last 5 needing 10 or so more points which i cant see them beating
A win V Boro and hitting those 20 points sees us go into the last 5 on 78 points
For Boro to get to 79 before the last 5 they would need 27 points from the other 12 which is 8 wins and 3 draws with 1 defeat Whilst in the same period we would need 5 wins 2 draws and 5 defeats (weve lost 4 all season and 2 of those were v Ipswich, along with 2 3-2 away defeats)
Their last 5 are then as follows and for them a max 10 points
Portsmouth H
Ipswich A
Wednesday H
Watford H
Wrexham A
Boro at home is absolutely massive and unless we totally collapse a win there should be enough
We have 7 of our last 12 at home i beleive and one of those away is the last game.In that spell, interesting to see that Boro have four out of six at home - including the next two.
While we have four out of six away!!
We could really do with matching what Boro have just done and win our consecutive away games.Got to fancy Boro closing right in on us with their run of winnable homes games
The pundits were putting a lot on our ‘declining’ away record but didn’t really account for the difficult games we had. We’ve played 8 of the top 12 teams away from home. By contrast, we’ve still got to play 2 of the worst teams at home (Norwich & Blackburn), and teams like Bristol City, WBA home form is in decline and finally you had Sheff U who have been crap all year.Average league position of these 6 games for us is 14th, no idea what theirs is. Yes these are 4 away games, but 3 against the bottom half and one against mid table.
I disagree about them winning the league.Yeah, 5 wins in a row, including the cup win. That's what I meant.
They WERE incredibly inconsistent. For sure they were, especially earlier in the season. but this is a different Ipswich team now and they finally seek to have got their act together and got into gear.
I expect them now to win the league.
Hope that Norwich boot the ball into their own goal and QPR miss sitters from a few yards out then.We could really do with matching what Boro have just done and win our consecutive away games.
Norwich are now performing far far better than previously, I'd take a point but actually expecting to lose it.The pundits were putting a lot on our ‘declining’ away record but didn’t really account for the difficult games we had. We’ve played 8 of the top 12 teams away from home. By contrast, we’ve still got to play 2 of the worst teams at home (Norwich & Blackburn), and teams like Bristol City, WBA home form is in decline and finally you had Sheff U who have been crap all year.
Ironically, our two most difficult away games between now and Watford is not Hull. It’s Swansea and then QPR.
I’m sure if we had Sheff W, Derby, Blackburn and so on away in December, we probably win most of them.
Our away games all look winnable and on home form, Swansea looks like our most difficult away games until the final day. QPR
We have a run of favourable home games, including playing BoroGot to fancy Boro closing right in on us with their run of winnable homes games
Yes, but their best results have been away from home. Their home record under the new manager is 3-0-2, having lost v Stoke and Watford in their last 2.Norwich are now performing far far better than previously, I'd take a point but actually expecting to lose it.
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