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SonofErnie · Feb 6, 2026

sc1940 said:
I was just looking at the teams outside current top 2 that pose the most threat to overtaking us, I've consistently thought we will need 90 for top spot and 87 will likely be enough for auto promotion.

To give a flavour of the wildly different path this could take from now. This time last season Sunderland and Burnley were on the same number of points and finished 24 points apart!

I don’t think we’ll do a Sunderland, but can’t see us matching Burnley either given our defensive frailties. For the middle ground, look at Sheff Utd who achieved 28 points from their last 16. It wasn’t good enough for them, but would very likely secure us 2nd spot.

alexccfc99 · Feb 6, 2026

Was Lampard our manager when we played the Baggies last season or was it one of MRs last games? All I remember was it being a Friday night and the Brum Xmas markets had just opened and we put in our usual meek Hawthorns performance

Frank has broke a few hoodoos since he got here let's hope WBA is another one

Brighton Sky Blue · Feb 6, 2026

alexccfc99 said:
Was Lampard our manager when we played the Baggies last season or was it one of MRs last games? All I remember was it being a Friday night and the Brum Xmas markets had just opened and we put in our usual meek Hawthorns performance

Frank has broke a few hoodoos since he got here let's hope WBA is another one

FL's first away game I think

alexccfc99 · Feb 6, 2026

Brighton Sky Blue said:
FL's first away game I think

His first away game was Millwall which we won

Just checked 3rd game in charge and his first defeat

As I said seemed to remember it being one of MRs last or Lampard's first

I remember the performance vividly - I was convinced we were in for a relegation battle over that Nov/Dec/Early Jan spell last season

sc1940 · Feb 6, 2026

SonofErnie said:
To give a flavour of the wildly different path this could take from now. This time last season Sunderland and Burnley were on the same number of points and finished 24 points apart!

I don’t think we’ll do a Sunderland, but can’t see us matching Burnley either given our defensive frailties. For the middle ground, look at Sheff Utd who achieved 28 points from their last 16. It wasn’t good enough for them, but would very likely secure us 2nd spot.

Yes, I think mid 80's gives us a realistic chance, 90 I think will almost certainly be enough.
Our run in gives us a great chance, it's all according whether FL can address our recent frailties, we should soon find that out.

Brighton Sky Blue · Feb 7, 2026

Brighton Sky Blue said:
Oxford W
Boro L
WBA L
Sheff Utd L
Stoke W

Boro will tear us to pieces, narrow defeat at a dreadful West Brom, torn apart at Sheff Utd then should see off Stoke. I can’t see any better than that, we are not getting out of this rut as the manager refuses to adapt and the players look devoid of confidence and energy.

Looks like this was the optimistic prediction.

Macca · Feb 7, 2026

There is no bloody chance. Problem is that back at the turn of the year whilst we looked ropey we only needed lower end play off form to make it. Now with lead virtually eradicated we need more like top 3 form to get there, and we are playing like bottom 6. I'm struggling to see anything that suggests we are about to reverse that

AFCCOVENTRY · Feb 7, 2026

We need 30 points from 15. 10 wins or 9 wins 3 draws.

Macca · Feb 7, 2026

AFCCOVENTRY said:
We need 30 points from 15. 10 wins or 9 wins 3 draws.

Yep 2pts per game, genuine top 2 form

AFCCOVENTRY · Feb 8, 2026

Our last 5 ppg is 1.4
Boro ppg is 3
Ipswich is 2

In our current block of 5

We’ve collected 1 point. We need to get up to 2ppg which means we need to win 3 out of the next 4 games.

Boro h
WBA a
SU a
Stoke h

sc1940 · Feb 13, 2026

Macca said:
There is no bloody chance. Problem is that back at the turn of the year whilst we looked ropey we only needed lower end play off form to make it. Now with lead virtually eradicated we need more like top 3 form to get there, and we are playing like bottom 6. I'm struggling to see anything that suggests we are about to reverse that

Let's just see how we do with a quality new midfielder, a winger who admittedly is unproven but could be fantastic, and BTA before we write us off.

StrettoBoy · Feb 13, 2026

AFCCOVENTRY said:
Our last 5 ppg is 1.4
Boro ppg is 3
Ipswich is 2

In our current block of 5

We’ve collected 1 point. We need to get up to 2ppg which means we need to win 3 out of the next 4 games.

Boro h
WBA a
SU a
Stoke h

I can see us drawing with Middlesborough, losing away to WBA and the Blades and either drawing with or beating Stoke. That's either half a point or one PPG.

Gynnsthetonic · Feb 13, 2026

StrettoBoy said:
I can see us drawing with Middlesborough, losing away to WBA and the Blades and either drawing with or beating Stoke. That's either half a point or one PPG.

Got to be looking to beat WBA and Stoke, both poor sides we should be beating if we're serious about going up

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