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New Stadium financial viability. (1 Viewer)

  • Thread starter dongonzalos
  • Start date Feb 27, 2014
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dongonzalos

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 27, 2014
  • #36
Hobo said:
Jr is their last throw of dice? However cant decipher your post, probably due to spellcheck interference?
Click to expand...

Sorry, they will not be allowed to liquidate the club. Without it first going up for sale, surely?
 

Moff

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 27, 2014
  • #37
dongonzalos said:
SISU know the answer that's the point. Have they been asked and pinned down on it.
If not has anyone got access to them who can
Click to expand...

You would be a better person than the rest of us if you could get that information out of them.
They never let anything slip.
 

Hobo

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 27, 2014
  • #38
The Gentleman said:
But wasn't that part of the prerequisite of the stuff they had to show the FL, so they must have some idea or otherwise all they said to the FL was we're going to build a stadium, we don't know where, we don't know how much it'll cost and we don't know when, but it will happen, honest guv.
Click to expand...

Or having already threatened the FL with legal action over a possible move on ownership of the share to play in the league; did they just show some evidence of finances and say see you in court if you want to get embroiled in this legal mess we are contesting?

Let's face it the FL gave them a 5 year ticket, at least hoping they will either go away, or resolve the differences?
 

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 27, 2014
  • #39
dongonzalos said:
Exactly they intend to sell

The top will need to cover somewhere between 50-100 million depending in which debt figures SISU release that is true.

Is it feasible that CCFC, lets humour them and say in the championship plus a 12k capacity stadium will sell for 50-100 million.
Click to expand...

Everyone accepts the real debt to be a lot less so shy keep saying something everyone knows is not really correct?
 

skybluefred

New Member
  • Feb 27, 2014
  • #40
Grendel said:
Everyone accepts the real debt to be a lot less so shy keep saying something everyone knows is not really correct?
Click to expand...

Proof please.
 

Hobo

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 27, 2014
  • #41
Grendel said:
Everyone accepts the real debt to be a lot less so shy keep saying something everyone knows is not really correct?
Click to expand...

Because SISU do and with no published accounts they must know best? Surely we have to use the figures they have alluded to?
 
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dongonzalos

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 27, 2014
  • #42
Grendel said:
Everyone accepts the real debt to be a lot less so shy keep saying something everyone knows is not really correct?
Click to expand...

Do you know what the debt is?

If so please enlighten me.

As far as I am aware SISU have at one point said around 30 million.

Then during the administration the administrator said near 70 million.

I am been kind and working off the 30 million figure. What would you prefer?
 

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 27, 2014
  • #43
dongonzalos said:
Do you know what the debt is?

If so please enlighten me.

As far as I am aware SISU have at one point said around 30 million.

Then during the administration the administrator said near 70 million.

I am been kind and working off the 30 million figure. What would you prefer?
Click to expand...

How much of the debt is in the Avro fund?
 
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dongonzalos

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 27, 2014
  • #44
Grendel said:
How much of the debt is in the Avro fund?
Click to expand...

Thought you were about to provide answers not questions
 

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 27, 2014
  • #45
dongonzalos said:
Thought you were about to provide answers not questions
Click to expand...

You area king an assumption they want to recover circa £100 million of debt. This will not be what they want to do at all. The football related to their own fund will be a lot less.

How much - no one knows and no one will ever know. There is clearly an agreed strategy which will involve ultimately a sale but what their target return is no one will ever know until the time comes.
 

Hobo

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 27, 2014
  • #46
Grendel said:
How much of the debt is in the Avro fund?
Click to expand...

That no one knows? Also how much of it is to give them SISU a revenue stream? Let's pool debt and siphon off profit for ourselves. Profit from failing businesses is their expertise after all!

It is curious why debt rocketed during administration is it not? I know it would not have escaped your attention Grendel.
 
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DaleM

New Member
  • Feb 27, 2014
  • #47
OK so lets say the debt at the moment is £30 million ( Grendel we don't actually know so I am assuming it is a lot less than the £70 million)
Then lets add on the estimated £30 million cost of a new 12000 seater stadium somewhere in the Coventry area.
Then lets say they fill the ground every week at an average of , after tax , freebies etc. £15 a head.
So they recoup £180,000 per game.
Add in say , as a higher estimate £ 5 a head F & B revenue on which , I will be generous £3 is profit, an extra £36000 a week.

Now that comes to £216,000 per game at maximum revenue.

Multiply that by 23 games a season and you get £4,968,000. So just shy of £5 million. Add cup games etc as you will , depending on how we do.

So without paying staff,players,matchday costs etc,etc,etc, It would take 12 fucking years just to clear the debt.

Now I have gone on the top end of the scale with full houses every week and people having a pie and a pint every game.

It doesn,t make any sense to me whatsoever.

By the time this thing is built ( I don't believe for one second it ever will be ) CCFC will be a lot more in debt and potentially playing at a lower level than what we are now.
 

Hobo

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 27, 2014
  • #48
DaleM it doesn't make sense, SISU don't make sense...they have made mistakes but other people are to blame..don't forge that!
 
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DaleM

New Member
  • Feb 27, 2014
  • #49
Hobo said:
DaleM it doesn't make sense, SISU don't make sense...they have made mistakes but other people are to blame..don't forge that!
Click to expand...

According to Labovich yes.
 
G

Godiva

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 27, 2014
  • #50
dongonzalos said:
Do you know what the debt is?

If so please enlighten me.

As far as I am aware SISU have at one point said around 30 million.

Then during the administration the administrator said near 70 million.

I am been kind and working off the 30 million figure. What would you prefer?
Click to expand...

Much of the debts will have been written off with limited and holding being liquidated. That's the debts that was kept on the books from before sisu took over.
OSB made a post a month ago about it.
The debt left that is actually making an impact is the debt to ARVO as that is carrying interest. I think that amounts to some £12m.
JS said the debts to the original funds had been written of in the funds accounts, which means that can be bought at a much reduced value.
 
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DaleM

New Member
  • Feb 27, 2014
  • #51
Godiva said:
Much of the debts will have been written off with limited and holding being liquidated. That's the debts that was kept on the books from before sisu took over.
OSB made a post a month ago about it.
The debt left that is actually making an impact is the debt to ARVO as that is carrying interest. I think that amounts to some £12m.
JS said the debts to the original funds had been written of in the funds accounts, which means that can be bought at a much reduced value.
Click to expand...

Serious question now . Do you actually believe them ?

Their track record of us being declared debt free in the past doesn't actually inspire me.
 

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 27, 2014
  • #52
DaleM said:
Serious question now . Do you actually believe them ?

Their track record of us being declared debt free in the past doesn't actually inspire me.
Click to expand...

I thought the football related debt was around £10 million. The rest will have been written off.
 

chiefdave

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 27, 2014
  • #53
DaleM said:
Serious question now . Do you actually believe them ?

Their track record of us being declared debt free in the past doesn't actually inspire me.
Click to expand...

I suspect the 'real' debt figure prior to admin was around £30m, then some old debt which had been kept on the books from the pre-SISU days (but not actually money they'd paid out) suddenly appeared and the figure shot up to £60m meaning they could happily write off £30m as part of the administration / liquidation proceedings and still retain the same level of 'real' debt as before they started.
 
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dongonzalos

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 27, 2014
  • #54
Grendel said:
You area king an assumption they want to recover circa £100 million of debt. This will not be what they want to do at all. The football related to their own fund will be a lot less.

How much - no one knows and no one will ever know. There is clearly an agreed strategy which will involve ultimately a sale but what their target return is no one will ever know until the time comes.
Click to expand...

I said 50 million
30 million debt plus 20 million borrowed to build a stadium. I was been very kind

Can you see a football club with a 12k capacity stadium selling for 50 million?
 
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DaleM

New Member
  • Feb 27, 2014
  • #55
So are CCFC £10,£12 or £30 Million in debt . Or does anyone really know for sure ?

It doesn't matter anyway because add in the cost of a new stadium , of reduced capacity etc. etc. and the debt will be astronomical again.
 
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dongonzalos

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 27, 2014
  • #56
DaleM said:
OK so lets say the debt at the moment is £30 million ( Grendel we don't actually know so I am assuming it is a lot less than the £70 million)
Then lets add on the estimated £30 million cost of a new 12000 seater stadium somewhere in the Coventry area.
Then lets say they fill the ground every week at an average of , after tax , freebies etc. £15 a head.
So they recoup £180,000 per game.
Add in say , as a higher estimate £ 5 a head F & B revenue on which , I will be generous £3 is profit, an extra £36000 a week.

Now that comes to £216,000 per game at maximum revenue.

Multiply that by 23 games a season and you get £4,968,000. So just shy of £5 million. Add cup games etc as you will , depending on how we do.

So without paying staff,players,matchday costs etc,etc,etc, It would take 12 fucking years just to clear the debt.

Now I have gone on the top end of the scale with full houses every week and people having a pie and a pint every game.

It doesn,t make any sense to me whatsoever.

By the time this thing is built ( I don't believe for one second it ever will be ) CCFC will be a lot more in debt and potentially playing at a lower level than what we are now.
Click to expand...

You forgot paying interest in borrowed debt as well. It won't take 12 years. That debt will not be touched year after year. So it will be all down to the sale price
 

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 27, 2014
  • #57
For goodness sake the debt is considerably less about £10 million is the recoverable debt.
 

oldskyblue58

CCFC Finance Director
  • Feb 27, 2014
  • #58
Godiva said:
Much of the debts will have been written off with limited and holding being liquidated. That's the debts that was kept on the books from before sisu took over.
OSB made a post a month ago about it.
The debt left that is actually making an impact is the debt to ARVO as that is carrying interest. I think that amounts to some £12m.
JS said the debts to the original funds had been written of in the funds accounts, which means that can be bought at a much reduced value.
Click to expand...

The debt has never been about what is in CCFC Ltd or CCFC H. The debt owed sits in what is owed by SBS&L to SISU investors and the amount owed to ARVO. The Interest charged by ARVO is a significant cost to the business possibly pushing £1m pa. The SBS&L loans carry no interest but are a significant obstacle to any third party investors or lenders

After loan conversions and exchanges I am not sure the loan stands at 12m but the filed accounts tomorrow will possibly clear that up (if they are filed)

The debts in the original funds were written down not off there is a difference. If written off then they wont be recovered, if written down then the current value is nil but the full amount is still due
 
R

RoboCCFC90

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 27, 2014
  • #59
I remember Tim Fisher saying something about equity and loans I think but I am not 100% sure on that..
 
Last edited: Feb 27, 2014

señor Santiago

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 27, 2014
  • #60
skybluetom said:
It goes back to why not offer the council that kind of money for the Ricoh though? While the Council have said it's not for sale you suspect they'd have to consider any reasonable offer.
Click to expand...
Because we dont want these crooks/con artists to get the Ricoh!!!!!
 
D

dongonzalos

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 27, 2014
  • #61
oldskyblue58 said:
The debt has never been about what is in CCFC Ltd or CCFC H. The debt owed sits in what is owed by SBS&L to SISU investors and the amount owed to ARVO. The Interest charged by ARVO is a significant cost to the business possibly pushing £1m pa. The SBS&L loans carry no interest but are a significant obstacle to any third party investors or lenders

After loan conversions and exchanges I am not sure the loan stands at 12m but the filed accounts tomorrow will possibly clear that up (if they are filed)

The debts in the original funds were written down not off there is a difference. If written off then they wont be recovered, if written down then the current value is nil but the full amount is still due
Click to expand...

Thanks OSB

Interesting about the 1 million a year interest. The stadium will never make any profit to chip away at the debt.

So if a new stadium costs 20-30 million what will SISU need to sell the lot for in order to walk away not writing off any loses?
 
D

DaleM

New Member
  • Feb 27, 2014
  • #62
dongonzalos said:
You forgot paying interest in borrowed debt as well. It won't take 12 years. That debt will not be touched year after year. So it will be all down to the sale price
Click to expand...

I included that in the etc.etc.etc. bit . I also forgot to state the management fees charged and potentially CCFC having to pay rent to Otium.

Whichever way you look at it it really is a clusterfuck and no one in their right minds qould invest so much money for so little return.

There won't be enough left over after paying everything out for even a half decent playing squad.
 

oldskyblue58

CCFC Finance Director
  • Feb 27, 2014
  • #63
2012 accounts showed 28.55m owing to SISU investors by way of loans and loans outstanding to ARVO of 8.025m. So far there is nothing to say any has been repaid and therefore the debt I would expect to be at least 36m
 
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DaleM

New Member
  • Feb 27, 2014
  • #64
DaleM said:
So are CCFC £10,£12 or £30 Million in debt . Or does anyone really know for sure ?

It doesn't matter anyway because add in the cost of a new stadium , of reduced capacity etc. etc. and the debt will be astronomical again.
Click to expand...

So now add £36 million into the mix
 

oldskyblue58

CCFC Finance Director
  • Feb 27, 2014
  • #65
RoboCCFC90 said:
I remember Tim Fisher saying something about equity I think but I am not 100% sure on that.
Click to expand...

I think Mr Fisher has said a lot of things Robbo. When he said that I think he meant it was debt owed to the owners and associates not third parties (ie more in house) not that he meant shares. More playing with words in my opinion
 
R

RoboCCFC90

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 27, 2014
  • #66
oldskyblue58 said:
2012 accounts showed 28.55m owing to SISU investors by way of loans and loans outstanding to ARVO of 8.025m. So far there is nothing to say any has been repaid and therefore the debt I would expect to be at least 36m
Click to expand...

So where the has £70,000,000 come from OSB?
 
G

Godiva

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 27, 2014
  • #67
oldskyblue58 said:
The debt has never been about what is in CCFC Ltd or CCFC H. The debt owed sits in what is owed by SBS&L to SISU investors and the amount owed to ARVO. The Interest charged by ARVO is a significant cost to the business possibly pushing £1m pa. The SBS&L loans carry no interest but are a significant obstacle to any third party investors or lenders

After loan conversions and exchanges I am not sure the loan stands at 12m but the filed accounts tomorrow will possibly clear that up (if they are filed)

The debts in the original funds were written down not off there is a difference. If written off then they wont be recovered, if written down then the current value is nil but the full amount is still due
Click to expand...

Written DOWN, not off. My mistake. The point is a buyer can probably get that debt at a much reduced price.
And that debt I am sure is still in SBS&L at nominal value, so the books will not show £12m, but more likely around £40m.

Even if the accounts are filed tomorrow, won't it be another couple of weeks before we can access them?
 
D

dongonzalos

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 27, 2014
  • #68
Right so Grendal's 8-10 million is way off the mark.

36 million will do for me. If we go for a middle figure in stadium cost 25 million.

60 million to sell the lot to walk away without any loses.

At the moment we pay 1 million a year interest on the debt. This could feasibly double to 2 million.

Is it correct we pay over a million on management fees.

So we need to clear 3 million a year profit before we can consider paying staff.

Awesome
 
R

RoboCCFC90

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 27, 2014
  • #69
oldskyblue58 said:
I think Mr Fisher has said a lot of things Robbo. When he said that I think he meant it was debt owed to the owners and associates not third parties (ie more in house) not that he meant shares. More playing with words in my opinion
Click to expand...

That sounds familiar OSB, ah word play now that's an unfamiliar circumstance in this situation
 
D

dongonzalos

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 27, 2014
  • #70
Godiva said:
Written DOWN, not off. My mistake. The point is a buyer can probably get that debt at a much reduced price.
And that debt I am sure is still in SBS&L at nominal value, so the books will not show £12m, but more likely around £40m.

Even if the accounts are filed tomorrow, won't it be another couple of weeks before we can access them?
Click to expand...

Can you see how they can recoup 60 million in the long run Godiva?

Do you know if they have ever been asked this?
 
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