it guarantees nothing. august 3rd comes and we ko at the ricoh and fisher loses face quicker than the A team at a wife swap
it guarantees nothing. august 3rd comes and we ko at the ricoh and fisher loses face quicker than the A team at a wife swapLike I said this doesn't guarantee we aren't at the Ricoh but it does Guarantee that the football league have made these fixtures believing that we will be playing in walsall.
First three fixtures at least, and at least some others after that. I haven't pulled them all apart, that's true enough. Have you?
is this math correct? normally chance of them being at home when we are on a given saturday 50%, so 0.5. 23 games, 0.5^23 = 0.00000011920928955078125 x 100 =
0.000012%
So nearly 10 million to 1?
It's a 50/50 chance the computer has thrown our fixtures opposite to Walsall. If you look at every other team who are at home on the opening day of the season, throughout the season they are always at home when we are away and vice versa
Does it matter?
Looks likely, however in the past (because of policing) the 6 clubs in WMP's area would often find their fixtures ensured they didn't clash. We usually were at home the same time as Brum and West Brom, with the other 3 being away.
I'm a curious guy who enjoys learning, if I've made a mistake and someone can tell me how to do it better I'd like to know yeah.
it's a 50% chance per game, not overall. the chance of a 50% event happening 23 times in a row is nearly 10 million to 1.
First three fixtures at least, and at least some others after that. I haven't pulled them all apart, that's true enough. Have you?
Presumably therefore the Football League have been aware of and complicit in the Walsall / Sky Blues groundshare proposal for some time ie before the conclusion of the administration "process". This must have been so in order for the fixture computer to avoid clashes
So the FL who are supposedly considering Odious Entertainment as owners have already given de facto approval to their madcap scheme
Far more likely it's due to policing than a conspiracy just as Reg said. Sorry to shatter some of your dreams....
Far more likely it's due to policing than a conspiracy just as Reg said. Sorry to shatter some of your dreams....
yeah it's a good point, birminghams fixtures while still being quite different to ours, are much closer than you'd expect by chance. I still think this is is proof enough though to happily bet your mortgage that this means ccfc have told the football league our planned ground is walsall.
But every team that are at home for the first game are away for the second and this trend continues for all season. For example all season we are always at home when crawley are away.
So this confirms we will either play our home games at Walsall or Crawley as our fixtures are both at odds of 10,000,000/1
Tbf, technically everything is a 50%, it either happens, or it doesn't
THANK YOU Pricey.
Boys, its polcing/safety.
Look at Wolves - apart from when we play them, or either of us play Sheffield United, we our home/away fixtures are identical. What are the odds of that?
Not correct they don't match.
But every team that are at home for the first game are away for the second and this trend continues for all season. For example all season we are always at home when crawley are away.
Of course there is the complication of Wolves this year, and policing issues. Do Wolves/Walsall home fixtures clash?
It was a joke, I was deliberately being awkward.
They are the same except for the 4 times when they arn't you are correct, it's clear that policing has a significant impact and my 10mill to 1 number was obviously wrong. However they are still exactly opposite and none of the other teams are like this and nore have we been like this in the past.
Not according to CWR,who quoted that a league spokesman had told them that CCFC have not yet confirmed a groundshare.If indeed that is true,it implies that the club have not yet got any agreement.However it now puts Walsall in a potentially very strong position to basically give CCFC a take it or leave it offer,knowing the club has now got very limited options.This is the one area where SISU are at the weakest,as they are totally reliant on the goodwill of other clubs.yeah it's a good point, birminghams fixtures while still being quite different to ours, are much closer than you'd expect by chance. I still think this is is proof enough though to happily bet your mortgage that this means ccfc have told the football league our planned ground is walsall.
Noggin, I agree with you re Walsall. I think we're getting all confused with random chance throwing up the fact that Walsall are the opposite to us. Its isn't random, I think that the FL, after consultation with Fisher, have factored in us playing at Walsall. What I'm saying is they will also have to factor in the local policing/safety issues, to ensure there aren't more than 3 local fixtures at any one time. On the few occasions where there are, I suspect some will be moved to a Friday night or Sunday afternoon.
Can you imagine if they allowed us, Wolves, Villa, Blues, and WBA to be at home the same day? The police couldn't cope. I belive teams ARE drawn randomly as to who they play, but weather or not they are at home then must then be looked at by the FL.
I would disagree on none have been like this in the past though - quite often I recall Blues and West Brom shaddowed our home/away games.
This isn't a dig at Noggin btw, as your maths is spot on, but I think there's more to it than you think.
it guarantees nothing. august 3rd comes and we ko at the ricoh and fisher loses face quicker than the A team at a wife swap
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