Goals scored (1 Viewer)

Can we score 100+ goals in a season?

  • Yes

    Votes: 7 13.0%
  • No

    Votes: 47 87.0%

  • Total voters
    54

JSL

Well-Known Member
We are on 72 goals scored with 11 games to go. 28 goals needed to break 100 goals. Yes or No?
 

fatso

Well-Known Member
A more realistic poll would be "will we get another penalty before the end of the season"
Or "will Haji Wright go 90 minutes without being caught offside" or "will Thomas score from a corner ever again"
 

Skybluedownunder

Well-Known Member
Other than Sheff Wed there are no easy games, don’t see us getting close to nearly 3 goals a game as an average, tough fixtures


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 

mrfr

Well-Known Member
Using the same model I built to project final league positions, this is how it sees our final goal tally. Only a 1.3% chance of scoring 100 goals.

Code:
Current:   72 goals in 35 games  (2.06 per game)
Remaining: 11 fixtures

Projected final total:
  Central estimate:   89 goals  (median)
  Mean:               89.5
  Range:              ±4.2 goals (1 standard deviation)

Distribution:
  80–84 goals   10.8%  ████
  85–89 goals   40.3%  ████████████████
  90–94 goals   36.5%  ██████████████
  95–99 goals   10.7%  ████
  100+ goals     1.3%


Per fixture expected goals:
  Sat 7 Mar   (A) Bristol City    1.49
  Wed 11 Mar  (H) Preston         1.56
  Sat 14 Mar  (H) Southampton     1.63
  Sat 21 Mar  (A) Swansea         1.47
  Fri 3 Apr   (H) Derby           1.63
  Mon 6 Apr   (A) Hull            1.56
  Sat 11 Apr  (H) Sheff Wed       1.94  ← highest
  Sat 18 Apr  (A) Blackburn       1.52
  Tue 21 Apr  (H) Portsmouth      1.62
  Sat 25 Apr  (H) Wrexham         1.62
  Sat 2 May   (A) Watford         1.44  ← lowest
 
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