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Goals scored (1 Viewer)

  • Thread starter JSL
  • Start date Yesterday at 3:33 PM
Forums New posts

Can we score 100+ goals in a season?

  • Yes

    Votes: 7 12.7%
  • No

    Votes: 48 87.3%

  • Total voters
    55

JSL

Well-Known Member
  • Yesterday at 3:33 PM
  • #1
We are on 72 goals scored with 11 games to go. 28 goals needed to break 100 goals. Yes or No?
 
M

Macca1987

Well-Known Member
  • Yesterday at 3:35 PM
  • #2
Think we will be low 90's
 

Ccfcisparks

Well-Known Member
  • Yesterday at 3:39 PM
  • #3

Can we get to 100 goals

30 goals from 12 games Big ask
www.skybluestalk.co.uk
 

JSL

Well-Known Member
  • Yesterday at 3:40 PM
  • #4
Ccfcisparks said:

Can we get to 100 goals

30 goals from 12 games Big ask
www.skybluestalk.co.uk
Click to expand...
Oh dear
 
Reactions: Sky Blue Pete

fatso

Well-Known Member
  • Yesterday at 3:44 PM
  • #5
A more realistic poll would be "will we get another penalty before the end of the season"
Or "will Haji Wright go 90 minutes without being caught offside" or "will Thomas score from a corner ever again"
 
Reactions: JSL and Sky Blue Pete

rob9872

Well-Known Member
  • Yesterday at 4:54 PM
  • #6
JSL said:
Oh dear
Click to expand...
Vote for the opposite and then you can point out to the thread that you were right on.
 

Old Warwickshire lad

Well-Known Member
  • Yesterday at 4:56 PM
  • #7
fatso said:
A more realistic poll would be "will we get another penalty before the end of the season"
Or "will Haji Wright go 90 minutes without being caught offside" or "will Thomas score from a corner ever again"
Click to expand...
Mabee the last one.
 

Skybluedownunder

Well-Known Member
  • Yesterday at 8:03 PM
  • #8
Other than Sheff Wed there are no easy games, don’t see us getting close to nearly 3 goals a game as an average, tough fixtures


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 

rob9872

Well-Known Member
  • Yesterday at 8:47 PM
  • #9
Skybluedownunder said:
Other than Sheff Wed there are no easy games, don’t see us getting close to nearly 3 goals a game as an average, tough fixtures


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Click to expand...
8 v Wednesday and then only need 2 per game.
 
Reactions: Sky Blue Pete

mrfr

Well-Known Member
  • Yesterday at 10:59 PM
  • #10
Using the same model I built to project final league positions, this is how it sees our final goal tally. Only a 1.3% chance of scoring 100 goals.

Code:
Current:   72 goals in 35 games  (2.06 per game)
Remaining: 11 fixtures

Projected final total:
  Central estimate:   89 goals  (median)
  Mean:               89.5
  Range:              ±4.2 goals (1 standard deviation)

Distribution:
  80–84 goals   10.8%  ████
  85–89 goals   40.3%  ████████████████
  90–94 goals   36.5%  ██████████████
  95–99 goals   10.7%  ████
  100+ goals     1.3%


Per fixture expected goals:
  Sat 7 Mar   (A) Bristol City    1.49
  Wed 11 Mar  (H) Preston         1.56
  Sat 14 Mar  (H) Southampton     1.63
  Sat 21 Mar  (A) Swansea         1.47
  Fri 3 Apr   (H) Derby           1.63
  Mon 6 Apr   (A) Hull            1.56
  Sat 11 Apr  (H) Sheff Wed       1.94  ← highest
  Sat 18 Apr  (A) Blackburn       1.52
  Tue 21 Apr  (H) Portsmouth      1.62
  Sat 25 Apr  (H) Wrexham         1.62
  Sat 2 May   (A) Watford         1.44  ← lowest
 
Last edited: Yesterday at 11:09 PM
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