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EFL to end season this week - City likely to be promoted (7 Viewers)

  • Thread starter @richh87
  • Start date May 8, 2020
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clint van damme

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 3, 2020
  • #3,256
SkyBlueDom26 said:
Feels like this is never gonna end, is it both votes next Tuesday or 1?
Click to expand...

I posted yesterday it was both but Dutchman posted a link to an article which states that may not necessarily be the case. Fuck knows when it will all end. It can't drag on for too much longer surely?
 

bawtryneal

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 3, 2020
  • #3,257
Another comment from yesterdays conversations was that the vast majority of League 1 teams have furloughed players and staff and no way will they un furlough ( unless in play offs) before July 1st. In the case of the two teams I mentioned in earlier post and also my understanding at CCFC is to return to training 3rd week in July, for new season, with a view to new season starting BCD on or around 10th September. Whilst no decision made by EFL this is the general feeling amongst Championship clubs. They are budgeting for BCD until Januray 1st 2021
 

Frostie

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 3, 2020
  • #3,258
chiefdave said:
The problem with her margin of error is they seem to have picked three years as that's how you end up with Tranmere being safe. Only checked a couple of seasons prior to that but that saw the teams in the relegation places at the point at which this season has stopped relegated.

They claimed they had modelled the data multiple times using different years but have failed to provide that data or answer the question of why 3 years.
Click to expand...

I've asked her on Twitter multiple times & best I could get was this:


Smells fishy to me. The competition has been running for 130 years, why pick 3?
Why not go back to introduction of 3 points for a win in 1981?
 

mr_monkey

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 3, 2020
  • #3,259
Frostie said:
I've asked her on Twitter multiple times & best I could get was this:


Smells fishy to me. The competition has been running for 130 years, why pick 3?
Why not go back to introduction of 3 points for a win in 1981?
Click to expand...

She is doing what any owner in her position would and should do and try and get her club to stay up if she has the opportunity to. Is it morally correct or accurate? Absolutely not.... But the way the EFL have been she has every right to give it a go as she has nothing to lose. It's absolute nonsense and will get nowhere but she is just doing whatever she can for her club to stay up
 

Philosoraptor

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 3, 2020
  • #3,260
"Nope. Make it 10 years if you like. It doesn’t change the picture. We had to pick a point to average off and 3 was as good as any. Short enough to be relevant, long enough to be statistically valid. And the methodology was praised by an independent professional statistician"

Someone who should be handing their degree back.

No one with any sense on how to do this would say this is a plausible idea.
 
Last edited: Jun 3, 2020
Reactions: Sky Blue Pete and Frostie

cc84cov

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 3, 2020
  • #3,261
Said it weeks back...

As soon as the EFL know their safe to do so they will end it on PPG
 

Terry_dactyl

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 3, 2020
  • #3,262
mr_monkey said:
She is doing what any owner in her position would and should do and try and get her club to stay up if she has the opportunity to. Is it morally correct or accurate? Absolutely not.... But the way the EFL have been she has every right to give it a go as she has nothing to lose. It's absolute nonsense and will get nowhere but she is just doing whatever she can for her club to stay up
Click to expand...
I might be completely wrong but with the little I’ve read about things, and while it might be frustrating for people, it seems that the EFL are playing this right. It seems that If they came and made a ruling straight away they’d run the risk of leaving themselves open to all sorts of legal ramifications in the future. From what I’ve read it would appear that in order to make things as right as they can be, the decision should come from the clubs. Also, it seems to me the EFL are strong supporters of PPG and are not particularly interested in completing the season.
 
Reactions: RegTheDonk and better days

Ring Of Steel

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 3, 2020
  • #3,263
cc84cov said:
Said it weeks back...

As soon as the EFL know their safe to do so they will end it on PPG
Click to expand...

Yes but you also say that Robins hasn't got a clue what he's doing during most matches, so you understand the nerviness
 
Reactions: Pete Finn

chiefdave

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 3, 2020
  • #3,264
Philosorapter said:
"Nope. Make it 10 years if you like. It doesn’t change the picture. We had to pick a point to average off and 3 was as good as any. Short enough to be relevant, long enough to be statistically valid. And the methodology was praised by an independent professional statistician"

Someone who should be handing their degree back.

No one with any sense on how to do this would say this is a plausible idea.
Click to expand...
If they've run it for 5, 10, 20 years stick the data up and show it doesn't make any difference to shut people up - easy.

Anyway she's created her own problem now. Claimed that was the greatest plan ever and that independent experts agreed. Now they've scrapped that and come up with something else. By definition if she claims the first way proposed was the best possible option then this new option is worse.
 
Reactions: wingy, Colin Steins Smile, mr_monkey and 1 other person

Frostie

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 3, 2020
  • #3,265
Terry_dactyl said:
I might be completely wrong but with the little I’ve read about things, and while it might be frustrating for people, it seems that the EFL are playing this right. It seems that If they came and made a ruling straight away they’d run the risk of leaving themselves open to all sorts of legal ramifications in the future. From what I’ve read it would appear that in order to make things as right as they can be, the decision should come from the clubs. Also, it seems to me the EFL are strong supporters of PPG and are not particularly interested in completing the season.
Click to expand...

Agree completely.
The EFL deserve a lot of stick for a lot of different things but on this scenario it is out of their hands to an extent.

What they definitely could/should have done better was with the timeframe. As soon as it became clear that completing the season was problematic, they should have put forward their PPG framework & asked for suggestions then. This should have been done back in April when National League confirmed their cancellation.
 

Philosoraptor

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 3, 2020
  • #3,266
chiefdave said:
If they've run it for 5, 10, 20 years stick the data up and show it doesn't make any difference to shut people up - easy.

Anyway she's created her own problem now. Claimed that was the greatest plan ever and that independent experts agreed. Now they've scrapped that and come up with something else. By definition if she claims the first way proposed was the best possible option then this new option is worse.
Click to expand...

Just having a wild stab in the dark here on the new proposal.

Does it involve Tranmere staying up and designed to garner as many votes as possible in the league.
 
Reactions: wingy

tisza

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 3, 2020
  • #3,267
Philosorapter said:
Just having a wild stab in the dark here on the new proposal.

Does it involve Tranmere staying up and designed to garner as many votes as possible in the league.
Click to expand...
yep. Tranmere stay up and clubs write a letter to PL asking for 5 million each as a one-off gift
 
Reactions: wingy

MusicDating

Euro 2016 Prediction League Champion!!
  • Jun 3, 2020
  • #3,268
I can just picture the Tranmere board sat there trying to work out what methodology they can propose for them to stay up...
Board - 'What about unweighted PPG?'
Stats guy - 'Nope, still relegated'
Board - 'FM2020?'
Stats guy - 'Nope, still down'
Board - 'Glicko-2?'
Stats guy - 'Couldn't get hold of Philosorapter'
<5 hours later>
Board - 'Monkey tennis results over the last 3 years?'
Stats guy - '<sigh>Let just go with that...'
 
Reactions: Covstar, Esoterica, Earlsdon_Skyblue1 and 4 others
S

Specs WT-R75

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 3, 2020
  • #3,269
chiefdave said:
The problem with her margin of error is they seem to have picked three years as that's how you end up with Tranmere being safe. Only checked a couple of seasons prior to that but that saw the teams in the relegation places at the point at which this season has stopped relegated.

They claimed they had modelled the data multiple times using different years but have failed to provide that data or answer the question of why 3 years.
Click to expand...

Tranmere are 3 points adrift with a game in hand. Pretty much any margin of error is going to make it reasonable that they had a chance of staying up. It's pretty obvious they had a reasonable chance without any statistical models.

They didn't pick 3 years to keep Tranmere up, they picked it as a reasonable number (hard to argue with).

Anyway, all roads lead to us being promoted, I just want this shit show over!
 

Frostie

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 3, 2020
  • #3,270

Updated proposal
 

jordan210

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 3, 2020
  • #3,271
Frostie said:

Updated proposal
Click to expand...

the relevant part

League 1:
The application of the PPG outcome sees Wycombe replace Peterborough in the play-off

positions.

Applying the MFE outcome sees Wycombe in the play offs but along with 3 other Clubs (Rotherham, Peterborough, Sunderland & Doncaster) who are included as potential play-off candidates. This results in 8 Clubs eligible for play-offs for two promotion spots. Coventry City are automatically promoted.

Tranmere would not be relegated.
 

Philosoraptor

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 3, 2020
  • #3,272
MusicDating said:
I can just picture the Tranmere board sat there trying to work out what methodology they can propose for them to stay up...
Board - 'What about unweighted PPG?'
Stats guy - 'Nope, still relegated'
Board - 'FM2020?'
Stats guy - 'Nope, still down'
Board - 'Glicko-2?'
Stats guy - 'Couldn't get hold of Philosorapter'
<5 hours later>
Board - 'Monkey tennis results over the last 3 years?'
Stats guy - '<sigh>Let just go with that...'
Click to expand...

That made me chuckle.

Even when a few or us did all this a decade or two ago, we all had handles rather than using our real names.

Never been one to blow my own trumpet here but not many people can say they ran the internal chess servers of five National Chess Federations.

Glicko-2 being just a part of the madness.
 
Reactions: MusicDating, Iancro and wingy

covmark

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 3, 2020
  • #3,273
Whilst I'm happy that it looks like we're going up, there's a big part of me that is gutted that we won't be able to celebrate our achievement with the players. Especially those that will be leaving at the end of the season. Walsh, McCallum and O'Hare have been superb for us and really deserve a huge amount of gratitude for their efforts.
If in the future they return with their respective clubs. I really hope they get the reception and the thanks they deserve.

Sent from my SM-G960F using Tapatalk
 
Reactions: Covstar, GaryMabbuttsLeftKnee and Somerset Sky Blue

Frostie

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 3, 2020
  • #3,274
From my brief scan through it's not changed a great deal despite Nicola Palios' rumblings...

If anything it's actually even more bonkers
& I am sure it will be laughed out of the place.

Claims that it could be adopted for League 1 only if desired & not Championship & League 2 but can't see EFL board or clubs agreeing that.
In their proposal there would be no Auto promotion in those 2 leagues, just giant Playoffs!?

We are the only team in the country who'd earn Automatic promotion :emoji_laughing:
 
W

wingy

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 3, 2020
  • #3,275
MusicDating said:
I can just picture the Tranmere board sat there trying to work out what methodology they can propose for them to stay up...
Board - 'What about unweighted PPG?'
Stats guy - 'Nope, still relegated'
Board - 'FM2020?'
Stats guy - 'Nope, still down'
Board - 'Glicko-2?'
Stats guy - 'Couldn't get hold of Philosorapter'
<5 hours later>
Board - 'Monkey tennis results over the last 3 years?'
Stats guy - '<sigh>Let just go with that...'
Click to expand...
They really need the raptor and Glicko
 

jordan210

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 3, 2020
  • #3,276

The EFL Board met today and considered a number of proposals submitted by EFL Clubs in respect of proposed amendments to EFL Regulations in order to determine what will happen in the event the 2019/20 season is curtailed in any EFL Division.

This now brings an end to a comprehensive consultation phase and Clubs have today received formal notice of the meeting which will now take place on Tuesday 9 June 2020.

At that meeting Clubs will consider a number of different proposals from both Clubs and the Board of the EFL.
 

tisza

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 3, 2020
  • #3,277
jordan210 said:
the relevant part

League 1:
The application of the PPG outcome sees Wycombe replace Peterborough in the play-off

positions.

Applying the MFE outcome sees Wycombe in the play offs but along with 3 other Clubs (Rotherham, Peterborough, Sunderland & Doncaster) who are included as potential play-off candidates. This results in 8 Clubs eligible for play-offs for two promotion spots. Coventry City are automatically promoted.

Tranmere would not be relegated.
Click to expand...
MFE still seems lie an "if and buts" theory. Teams going to be counting pts lost through obvious refereeing errors next?
Surely the system gets over-complicated as well as wouldn't the Championship have to vote on whether to add an extra team under one of the options?
 

MatthewWallis

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 3, 2020
  • #3,278

So it seems they’ve considering more than just PPG/Carry on. We’re gonna finally get a vote but with multiple options probably no chance of getting 51% straight away
 

Alkhen

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 3, 2020
  • #3,279
What a fucking farce, Tranmere look like right babies. Embarrassing to cook something so convoluted and self-serving. They have no shame
 

MatthewWallis

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 3, 2020
  • #3,280

So they’re gonna allow a vote on no relegation? I can’t see how they would promote if there’s no relegation?
 

chiefdave

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 3, 2020
  • #3,281
MatthewWallis said:

So they’re gonna allow a vote on no relegation? I can’t see how they would promote if there’s no relegation?
Click to expand...
Could just mean that's what various clubs have submitted. If that's the case doesn't mean any / all will get to the stage of being voted on.
 
W

wingy

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 3, 2020
  • #3,282
No relegation suits those Prem boys
Mcantony's work complete.
 

COVKIDSNEVERQUIT

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 3, 2020
  • #3,283
jordan210 said:
So now the vote is Tuesday......

I guess depending if they send the papers today
Click to expand...

 
Reactions: wingy

Warwickhunt

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 3, 2020
  • #3,284
they will not rest until they get the season null and voided if you ask me!
 
H

Home and Away!

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 3, 2020
  • #3,285
Hi..this guy on YT does a decent job with his various casts..
Just after 19 mins in about the final vote debacle for L1...

 
Reactions: montydon87

Warwickhunt

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 3, 2020
  • #3,286
would we have had all this shite if Peterboro and Sunderland were in the playoff spots and Tranmere had played their game in hand?
 
Reactions: mr_monkey and montydon87
O

OffenhamSkyBlue

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 3, 2020
  • #3,287
Whatever happens (and i mean whatever), this kind of freak show has to end. The only way they can do that is by a change in the rules for the EFL and Prem which sets out a contingency plan for what happens if a season cannot be completed.
My suggestion would be that there must be a date cut-off for the end of any season. In my view this should be 31st May.
If, by that time, all clubs have completed more than 75% of their fixtures, the season is declared complete, and the points per game are calculated and positions allocated accordingly.
There should be old-skool straight promotion and relegation with no play-offs, as there MAY be no guarantee that they could be played.
If ALL clubs have NOT played 75% of their games by 31st May, the season is declared null and void. No champions, promotion or relegation.
I suppose you could argue with the last point that someone who is sure-fire on for relegation could postpone their 33rd match for some made-up reason and get the season voided, but i think that would be unlikely (unless you're a Sunderland fan).
 
Reactions: Sky_Blue_Dreamer and tisza

SkyBlueDom26

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 3, 2020
  • #3,288
 

tisza

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 3, 2020
  • #3,289
OffenhamSkyBlue said:
Whatever happens (and i mean whatever), this kind of freak show has to end. The only way they can do that is by a change in the rules for the EFL and Prem which sets out a contingency plan for what happens if a season cannot be completed.
My suggestion would be that there must be a date cut-off for the end of any season. In my view this should be 31st May.
If, by that time, all clubs have completed more than 75% of their fixtures, the season is declared complete, and the points per game are calculated and positions allocated accordingly.
There should be old-skool straight promotion and relegation with no play-offs, as there MAY be no guarantee that they could be played.
If ALL clubs have NOT played 75% of their games by 31st May, the season is declared null and void. No champions, promotion or relegation.
I suppose you could argue with the last point that someone who is sure-fire on for relegation could postpone their 33rd match for some made-up reason and get the season voided, but i think that would be unlikely (unless you're a Sunderland fan).
Click to expand...
Needs a fixed framework. This pantomime gone on long enough.
 
Reactions: OffenhamSkyBlue

SlowerThanPlatt

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 3, 2020
  • #3,290
SkyBlueDom26 said:
Click to expand...

Is that us up but not Rotherham? McAnthony said he had no problem with us going up but believed Rotherham shouldn’t as the points gap was too small
 
Reactions: SkyBlueDom26
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