Grendel
Well-Known Member
Not really he thought he’d win and should have done it two years previous
Shows where having some principles leads you I suppose.
A lot of this goes over my head tbh but there seems to be a suggestion this is largely down to growth in healthcare, presumably people going private because they can't get to see anyone on the NHSInteresting article for those that didn’t see the news yesterday's that U.K. GDP had actually recovered pre pandemic levels by end of 2021. The swing/upward revision of about 1.7% (which is huge over a two year period)
The UK actually fared much better after COVID than first thought - here's why it matters
The Office for National Statistics has made some pretty dramatic upward revisions for 2020 and 2021 - and negativity among investors, households and businesses about lacklustre UK growth may have been misguided.news.sky.com
Obviously unrelated to the shitshow in various other areas at the moment (school closures, record hospital waiting lists, strikes etc) and I still feel that both us and a lot of the west are in for tough times in the short term but always nice to see some slightly more positive news.
A lot of this goes over my head tbh but there seems to be a suggestion this is largely down to growth in healthcare, presumably people going private because they can't get to see anyone on the NHS
There's also a note in there to say we have revised our figures before other countries so if other countries have a similar shift we'll move back to the bottom of the pile. Bit of a wait and see situation
The way our system's set up doesn't generally allow for enormous seat swings to make for a huge Labour majority though. Blair's third term had a low %age vote relative to many, but a comfortable majority in the commons. Pull that %age down and it has to go down *a lot* to get a massive swing to a massive Labour majority from a massive Conservative one.Agreed. I can’t see it being anything other than big unless there’s a dramatic economic turnaround between now and the election….or a monumental fuck up/implosion by Labour
Correct:Doesn’t Starmer have to beat Blair’s swing just to get a majority or something?
The way our system's set up doesn't generally allow for enormous seat swings to make for a huge Labour majority though. Blair's third term had a low %age vote relative to many, but a comfortable majority in the commons. Pull that %age down and it has to go down *a lot* to get a massive swing to a massive Labour majority from a massive Conservative one.
There'll always be anomolies with popular local MPs who hang on despite the government being unpopular too... although admittedly as we stand I struggle to think of many locally popular Tories left(!)
Expectation management all of suddenCorrect:
David Blunkett interview: ‘Labour will need a miracle to get an overall majority’
As he prepares a major speech on education, the former Cabinet ‘Big Beast’ warns Sir Keir not to measure the curtains for No. 10 just yetwww.telegraph.co.uk
Turning to the numbers, he says it will be a “massive ask” for Sir Keir to achieve the 12-point lead over the Tories that he will need to win the next general election, despite leading by 15 points in the polls at the moment.
Doubly so when he wins his seat as an independent.Corbyn will be blamed for anything less than a majority
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Bet she doesn’t care about the state of the economy when the pay off for ex MP’s goes up after the next election.Of course government spending into the economy does not improve the economy
Wouldn't be surprised if this clown loses her seat
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When it comes down to it I’m not convinced Labour will get a majority.
Oh dear
So Rishi Sunak as chancellor cut the budget for repairing concrete in schools by 50%. The only way this could be worse for him is if he was education secretary before he was chancellor.
He won't be around much longer, the knives were already out for him before this.He’s had a stinker. This will hurt him. Cash before kids etc etc.
If they’re going to force him out he needs to call a GE before they get to do that.He won't be around much longer, the knives were already out for him before this.
If they’re going to force him out he needs to call a GE before they get to do that.
They can't change leader again without calling a GE can they?
Yep thanks for saying everything was safe until a day before 150 schools returned after a 6 week break!! FfsPoor Gillian
Yep thanks for saying everything was safe until a day before 150 schools returned after a 6 week break!! Ffs
And there’s no solution suggested even suggesting today there’s gonna be hundreds more schools affected
Yes they can (every twelve months under current rules).They can't change leader again without calling a GE can they?
Yes but our media and the opposition under current leadership all dance to the tune behind these budget cuts. Surely under Labour's cast iron fiscal rules and no wealth tax the "constraints" are just the same.Yep thanks for saying everything was safe until a day before 150 schools returned after a 6 week break!! Ffs
And there’s no solution suggested even suggesting today there’s gonna be hundreds more schools affected
I think it came to light when Truss was forced out that there’s no limit on the number of times they can replace their leader while in power. But it would be beyond ridiculous if they forced another new PM on the country without a GE. IIRC more of the UK population voted for the posties to go on strike than voted for Truss to be PM.They can't change leader again without calling a GE can they?
I think it came to light when Truss was forced out that there’s no limit on the number of times they can replace their leader while in power. But it would be beyond ridiculous if they forced another new PM on the country without a GE. IIRC more of the UK population voted for the posties to go on strike than voted for Truss to be PM.
Not really. Blair announced he wouldn’t run for a fourth term ahead of the 2005 GE and that he expected Brown to take over from him. Labour won a majority under the expectation that Brown would be PM in the next parliament. Sunak on the other hand…Even less voted for Gordon Brown when he took over
Not really. Blair announced he wouldn’t run for a fourth term ahead of the 2005 GE and that he expected Brown to take over from him. Labour won a majority under the expectation that Brown would be PM in the next parliament. Sunak on the other hand…
WoN’t SoMeOnE tHiNk Of ThE pOoR sEcReTaRy Of StAtE….Oh dear
Seems she's unhappy at being asked hard questions by the mean journalist.WoN’t SoMeOnE tHiNk Of ThE pOoR sEcReTaRy Of StAtE….
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