Match Thread Coventry City - Southampton Match Thread - Saturday 14th Mar (41 Viewers)

[DazzleTommyDazzle]

I really don't get the "we've won the last six so probably won't win this one" logic...

I think it comes from a similar place to ‘I’ve had heads on the last six coin tosses, so the next one must be tails’

 

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[Otis]

Boro, Ipshit, Hull and Millwall all have gimmes.... us winning on same weekend will be another nail in their collective coffins...

I don't think Boro, Hull and Millwall have gimmes.

West Brom did well against Southampton the other night and Blackburn are absolutely fighting for their lives.

Think the only gimme this weekend is Ipswich v Sheff Weds

 

[shmmeee]

I really don't get the "we've won the last six so probably won't win this one" logic...

Regression toward the mean - Wikipedia

en.wikipedia.org

 

[Otis]

I really don't get the "we've won the last six so probably won't win this one" logic...

Surely based on the fact it's rare for a team to win 7 in a row.

 

[colinc]

Regression toward the mean - Wikipedia

en.wikipedia.org

We have only won 7 of the last 14 ie 50%, our average wins for the season Is 62%, so by your reasoning we should win tomorrow.

 

[ProfessorbyGrace]

2-0 to us. Onwards and upwards. 🩵

 

[shmmeee]

Surely based on the fact it's rare for a team to win 7 in a row.

We’ve never done it. First time for everything but each win becomes less likely when you’re on a streak.

 

[Sky Blue Pete]

We’ve never done it. First time for everything but each win becomes less likely when you’re on a streak.

You know that’s not true

 

[HuckerbysQuiff]

We won 7 in a row in 1998 FA cup game we drew with Sheffield United was 8th game. Assuming we’ve never won that many back to back league games

 

[fernandopartridge]

Going to be a tough game, they will not come for a draw. We all know that you can lose to almost anyone in this league so you certainly can to a form team like Southampton.

We must expect to be under pressure for part of the game and just have to learn to live with it, Rushworth to the rescue on more than one occasion. We should win, but I would take a draw.

I suspect he'll go with Wright and Eccles for Simms and BTA. I thought Simms earned the chance to keep his place and prefer BTA's hustle and bustle around the box myself. I'd go back to Lati at the back as the defence was not exactly tested on Wednesday night. Think Frank will too.

Singers Corner was a bit quiet on Wednesday. Not surprising really as there was a distinct lack of dramatic tension, particularly in the second half. No excuse this time

They'll come for a win, they need it