Sky Blue Pete
Well-Known Member
Dasilva will play
Dasilva will play200+ minutes of match football is not the same as training. There will also be the mental side of not qualifying for a World Cup. I think he may be rested with Monday in mind.
Back up to 99.94 wonder what it will be if Boro and milwall draw and we win on Good Friday
Player availability I assumeHow is it changing when no one is playing?
How is it changing when no one is playing?
I'd take a draw in this game tbh. We can afford it and gets us a point closer to where we wanna goThey've got their own issues with injuries/late returnees, we should have more than enough.
I reckon it will be 100.2Back up to 99.94 wonder what it will be if Boro and milwall draw and we win on Good Friday
I'd take a draw in this game tbh. We can afford it and gets us a point closer to where we wanna go
If, and I know it's a big if, Middlesbrough draw their next 2 and we win our next 3 it will be 100%. Alternatively, if we win our next 4 it will also be 100%Back up to 99.94 wonder what it will be if Boro and milwall draw and we win on Good Friday
Yeah, true and based on the single last game, we have only won 1 in a row.Agreed! As soon as I see "xg" in a post, I just scroll past. Means fuck all to me and many others!
Yeah, but I am confident we will win. Good feeling about this one.I'd take a draw in this game tbh. We can afford it and gets us a point closer to where we wanna go
Recruitment is an absolute art & arguably the main reason we have been so successful. Brentford, Brighton in the PL & the likes of Bromley in L2 other great examples.Norwich and ourselves I think are two teams who recruited heavily based on data and technical attributes but not so much on leadership qualities/personal attributes. Which is part of why they performed wildly differently under different managers who did and didn’t ‘get’ the players.
Just my opinion but this is a pattern I think that comes from focusing heavily on analytics. It has ultimately worked out very well for us and I expect Norwich will be right up there next season.
Yeah, this is why you need to be careful with all data. It's there to compliment the traditional 'eye test', expand your scouting reach or point you in a direction you wouldn't look previously. Whittaker scores a lot of long range shots which massively skews his xG performance.Morgan Whittaker was massively outperforming his xG at Plymouth which is why Boro signed him, then his finishing went off a cliff. So there will be exceptions but that’s how I’ve interpreted it yes.
Is this the same Morgan Whittaker who is the top scorer for the team that is second in the league? I’ve seen worse signings.Recruitment is an absolute art & arguably the main reason we have been so successful. Brentford, Brighton in the PL & the likes of Bromley in L2 other great examples.
Sheffield United took the data too literally with a, questionable at best model, signing players based on AI & they were an unmitigated disaster.
Yeah, this is why you need to be careful with all data. It's there to compliment the traditional 'eye test', expand your scouting reach or point you in a direction you wouldn't look previously. Whittaker scores a lot of long range shots which massively skews his xG performance.
We'll get a nice heads up because everybody else plays earlier.Back up to 99.94 wonder what it will be if Boro and milwall draw and we win on Good Friday
Asking to lose if we make that many changes, we'd be so disjointed.Will be an interesting line-up for sure. Not sure any of the internationals make this one
Rushworth
MvE - Thomas - Kitching - Bidwell
Grimes - Torp
Saka - Eccles - BTA
Simms
JDS, Wright, Rudoni, Onyeka, EMC will all come on to get minutes before starting Monday
They run the model 10000 timesHow is it changing when no one is playing?
WOW Otis I was expecting your 1-1 prediction , I'm with you on this - 2-0 win for the Sky BluesYeah, but I am confident we will win. Good feeling about this one.
A number of times a day and it flits back and forth from 99.94 to 99.86% so 6 times in 10000 or 14 times in 10000 we don’t go upThey run the model 10000 times
We'll get a nice heads up because everybody else plays earlier.
If both chasing teams win then the team will not be relaxing and should be really up for it (well they should be anyway).
Conversely if the chasers drop points it's all good too. In a strange way it's a win win situation.
That’s what Alex neill has been saying and I think he’s rightWe'll get a nice heads up because everybody else plays earlier.
If both chasing teams win then the team will not be relaxing and should be really up for it (well they should be anyway).
Conversely if the chasers drop points it's all good too. In a strange way it's a win win situation.
I don't get this shit at all. Just go out and try to win every game you prat, Alex.Alex Neil not happy about that. Thinks everyone should kick off at the same time.
'Alex; meet Sky TV'...
Alex Neil: Millwall boss says promotion-chasing teams should play at the same time
Millwall boss Alex Neil believes their next four games starting before their promotion rivals gives their opponents an advantage.www.bbc.co.uk
Vibes!!!!!How is it changing when no one is playing?
I don't get this at all. Does he think that if they drop points that any other team that is in the fight will not try and win their game?Alex Neil not happy about that. Thinks everyone should kick off at the same time.
'Alex; meet Sky TV'...
Alex Neil: Millwall boss says promotion-chasing teams should play at the same time
Millwall boss Alex Neil believes their next four games starting before their promotion rivals gives their opponents an advantage.www.bbc.co.uk
My maths isn't brilliant, but I make that less than one chance in 1600 that we miss out on promotion? I don't know how their modelling works, but I can't take that seriously.Back up to 99.94 wonder what it will be if Boro and milwall draw and we win on Good Friday
Garbage in, garbage out...A number of times a day and it flits back and forth from 99.94 to 99.86% so 6 times in 10000 or 14 times in 10000 we don’t go up
Simulating the fixtures 10,000 times.My maths isn't brilliant, but I make that less than one chance in 1600 that we miss out on promotion? I don't know how their modelling works, but I can't take that seriously.
To save anyone the bother of going through all the fixtures again to try and persuade me, there's no need - I agree that we are highly likely to do it. It's just those spurious numbers from Opta that I'm disputing.
Its hardly spurious. Its highly mathematical. Bookies odds are similar. If you think they are wrong its worth putting a bet on.My maths isn't brilliant, but I make that less than one chance in 1600 that we miss out on promotion? I don't know how their modelling works, but I can't take that seriously.
To save anyone the bother of going through all the fixtures again to try and persuade me, there's no need - I agree that we are highly likely to do it. It's just those spurious numbers from Opta that I'm disputing.
That’s how people do itIts hardly spurious. Its highly mathematical. Bookies odds are similar. If you think they are wrong its worth putting a bet on.
Find me odds anything like 1600 to 1.Its hardly spurious. Its highly mathematical. Bookies odds are similar. If you think they are wrong its worth putting a bet on.
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