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Coronavirus Thread (Off Topic, Politics) (20 Viewers)

  • Thread starter BackRoomRummermill
  • Start date Feb 23, 2020
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Sky Blue Pete

Well-Known Member
  • May 1, 2020
  • #19,881
Hope someone asks what they have learned from other countries
 

David O'Day

Well-Known Member
  • May 1, 2020
  • #19,882
Sky Blue Pete said:
Judged or falsified
Click to expand...
Fudged

Sent from my SM-G975F using Tapatalk
 
Reactions: Sky Blue Pete
C

CCFCSteve

Well-Known Member
  • May 1, 2020
  • #19,883
To be fair, I didn’t expect them to get anywhere near so whether the testing capacity is now 80k, 90k or 150k per day, all I know is it’s far better than it was a month ago.

I’ve always felt its a widely available accurate antibody test that we/everyone needs (assuming level of immunity post contagion), or high testing capacity to be working in conjunction with the tracing/tracking app. Hopefully both are on their way

Ps think I just heard 122k were ‘carried out’ yesterday...wonder if a load of randoms will receive one in the post tomorrow...whether they wanted it or not ! Either way, to get the capacity to a decent level in a month is a positive
 
Reactions: Astute and Sky Blue Pete

clint van damme

Well-Known Member
  • May 1, 2020
  • #19,884
Astute said:
I read the article. They are counting them as soon as they send them out and not when the tests are taken. But how would they know what day they are taken?
Click to expand...

They're are also counting tests that haven't been sent out. How can that be right?

I would suggest counting those returned to the lab but either way, as CD said, it's a fudge.
 

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • May 1, 2020
  • #19,885
clint van damme said:
I don't know about 20 or 30% but I think it's been here well before the first recorded case as well.
Click to expand...

Im the opposite. No way has it been here longer without us knowing, the contact tracing at the start was excellent and credited with buying us extra time so I doubt they missed it by months.

As for how many have had it, IIRC NYC have done large scale antibody testing and came back with 20-30% so I think that’s a reasonable estimate somewhere like London and maybe central Brum, probably a bit less in the less densely populated areas.


All guesswork though.
 
Reactions: Sky Blue Pete and CCFCSteve

David O'Day

Well-Known Member
  • May 1, 2020
  • #19,886
clint van damme said:
They're are also counting tests that haven't been sent out. How can that be right?

I would suggest counting those returned to the lab but either way, as CD said, it's a fudge.
Click to expand...
It's scandalous, judging from Jon Ashworth on twitter he will be bringing this up

Sent from my SM-G975F using Tapatalk
 

Sky Blue Pete

Well-Known Member
  • May 1, 2020
  • #19,887
CCFCSteve said:
To be fair, I didn’t expect them to get anywhere near so whether the testing capacity is now 80k, 90k or 150k per day, all I know is it’s far better than it was a month ago.

I’ve always felt its a widely available accurate antibody test that we/everyone needs (assuming level of immunity post contagion), or high testing capacity to be working in conjunction with the tracing/tracking app. Hopefully both are on their way

Ps think I just heard 122k were ‘carried out’ yesterday...wonder if a load of randoms will receive one in the post tomorrow...whether they wanted it or not ! Either way, to get the capacity to a decent level in a month is a positive
Click to expand...
Yep which is why a target is silly and increasing to the highest level and not having to lie about it is brilliant. This is silly
 

clint van damme

Well-Known Member
  • May 1, 2020
  • #19,888
shmmeee said:
Im the opposite. No way has it been here longer without us knowing, the contact tracing at the start was excellent and credited with buying us extra time so I doubt they missed it by months.

As for how many have had it, IIRC NYC have done large scale antibody testing and came back with 20-30% so I think that’s a reasonable estimate somewhere like London and maybe central Brum, probably a bit less in the less densely populated areas.


All guesswork though.
Click to expand...

Looking at the facts there is nothing to suggest it was here earlier.
Looking at the anecdotal evidence? I know or know of so many people who were ill with similar symptoms including 2 who were hospitalised. But, yeah, if that was the case then surely it would have spread like wildfire through January
 
C

CCFCSteve

Well-Known Member
  • May 1, 2020
  • #19,889
Sky Blue Pete said:
Yep which is why a target is silly and increasing to the highest level and not having to lie about it is brilliant. This is silly
Click to expand...

Agreed. Made a massive rod for his own back which under the current circumstances just wasn’t necessary. Good that the capacity is now there but as I say, only really if it’s used correctly (nhs, care homes and their families etc but then over an above that really the main benefit is in conjunction with the trace and track app/process)
 
Reactions: Sky Blue Pete

clint van damme

Well-Known Member
  • May 1, 2020
  • #19,890
CCFCSteve said:
To be fair, I didn’t expect them to get anywhere near so whether the testing capacity is now 80k, 90k or 150k per day, all I know is it’s far better than it was a month ago.

I’ve always felt its a widely available accurate antibody test that we/everyone needs (assuming level of immunity post contagion), or high testing capacity to be working in conjunction with the tracing/tracking app. Hopefully both are on their way

Ps think I just heard 122k were ‘carried out’ yesterday...wonder if a load of randoms will receive one in the post tomorrow...whether they wanted it or not ! Either way, to get the capacity to a decent level in a month is a positive
Click to expand...

It won't be randoms

Apparently they sent a letter to every over 65 in the Tory party asking them to apply for the test. Once they've received the application they're counting that as a test.

Over 65s in the Tories? I belive it's around the 90 thousand mark!
 
Reactions: Sky Blue Pete
C

CCFCSteve

Well-Known Member
  • May 1, 2020
  • #19,891
clint van damme said:
It won't be randoms

Apparently they sent a letter to every over 65 in the Tory party asking them to apply for the test. Once they've received the application they're counting that as a test.

Over 65s in the Tories? I belive it's around the 90 thousand mark!
Click to expand...

I was kidding about the randoms. As I say the important thing is having the capacity there (to be utilised properly) in future

ps what did your letter say mate ?! ; )
 
Reactions: shmmeee and clint van damme

David O'Day

Well-Known Member
  • May 1, 2020
  • #19,892
CCFCSteve said:
I was kidding about the randoms. As I say the important thing is having the capacity there (to be utilised properly) in future

ps what did your letter say mate ?! ; )
Click to expand...
Ask grenners he will have received one

Sent from my SM-G975F using Tapatalk
 

covmark

Well-Known Member
  • May 1, 2020
  • #19,893
shmmeee said:
Im the opposite. No way has it been here longer without us knowing, the contact tracing at the start was excellent and credited with buying us extra time so I doubt they missed it by months.

As for how many have had it, IIRC NYC have done large scale antibody testing and came back with 20-30% so I think that’s a reasonable estimate somewhere like London and maybe central Brum, probably a bit less in the less densely populated areas.


All guesswork though.
Click to expand...
First known case according to China, was in November.
Now what's the chances it was around a little earlier in Wuhan, and the Chinese are being a bit economical with the truth. It's quite likely imo.
October 2019 the world military games was held in Wuhan. Representatives from 140 countries were there. Over 9000 participants, that's not including support staff etc.

I'd say it could be a distinct possibility someone may have picked up the virus unknowingly, been asymptomatic, at brought it home far earlier than we all originally thought.

May of course be pie in the sky, but it's possible.


Sent from my SM-G960F using Tapatalk
 

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • May 1, 2020
  • #19,894
covmark said:
First known case according to China, was in November.
Now what's the chances it was around a little earlier in Wuhan, and the Chinese are being a bit economical with the truth. It's quite likely imo.
October 2019 the world military games was held in Wuhan. Representatives from 140 countries were there. Over 9000 participants, that's not including support staff etc.

I'd say it could be a distinct possibility someone may have picked up the virus unknowingly, been asymptomatic, at brought it home far earlier than we all originally thought.

May of course be pie in the sky, but it's possible.


Sent from my SM-G960F using Tapatalk
Click to expand...

Doesn’t explain why we didn’t see an outbreak until March though. The virus didn’t get more contagious recently so if it was around then it should’ve been ripping through the country killing thousands and it wasn’t.
 
Reactions: Sky_Blue_Dreamer, RegTheDonk, Deleted member 5849 and 1 other person

covmark

Well-Known Member
  • May 1, 2020
  • #19,895
shmmeee said:
Doesn’t explain why we didn’t see an outbreak until March though. The virus didn’t get more contagious recently so if it was around then it should’ve been ripping through the country killing thousands and it wasn’t.
Click to expand...
Different strains maybe? Maybe it mutated? I don't know, as I say, could be pie in the sky. Doubt we'll ever know the whole truth.

Sent from my SM-G960F using Tapatalk
 
C

CCFCSteve

Well-Known Member
  • May 1, 2020
  • #19,896
Sam Coates (sky) got the question in ! 27k home kits and 12k via satallites (not sure what that means) so about 40k tests sent out. So sounds like they’ve completed about 80k in the labs etc. Decent enough and good to see that daily capacity is there for the coming weeks/months
 
Reactions: shmmeee and Astute
W

wingy

Well-Known Member
  • May 1, 2020
  • #19,897
 

Skybluefaz

Well-Known Member
  • May 1, 2020
  • #19,898
Lying fuckers.
Tbf it's not the lying because that's like saying water is wet. It's the smugness that Hancock delivers it with.
 
Reactions: Ian1779, wingy and clint van damme
D

Deleted member 5849

Guest
  • May 1, 2020
  • #19,899
wingy said:
Anyone willing to speculate how many have actually died from this over the six weeks and what that means on what % of the population have had it ?
Click to expand...

No
 
Reactions: wingy
W

wingy

Well-Known Member
  • May 1, 2020
  • #19,900
Nick said:
Selco is opening next week. The trades are all getting back to it
Click to expand...
I better get down there

I have a.million tasks need sorting .
I'll give Hancock a call ,he seems to have exceptional talents
 
W

wingy

Well-Known Member
  • May 1, 2020
  • #19,901
Skybluefaz said:
Lying fuckers.
Tbf it's not the lying because that's like saying water is wet. It's the smugness that Hancock delivers it with.
Click to expand...
It's semantics really.
But he did shoot his mouth off
It is definitely not an easy gig but he offers up many excuses along with jam tomorrow type statements plus a touch of mendacity.
 
W

wingy

Well-Known Member
  • May 1, 2020
  • #19,902
shmmeee said:
Doesn’t explain why we didn’t see an outbreak until March though. The virus didn’t get more contagious recently so if it was around then it should’ve been ripping through the country killing thousands and it wasn’t.
Click to expand...
Two strain's S and L?
 
W

wingy

Well-Known Member
  • May 1, 2020
  • #19,903
covmark said:
Different strains maybe? Maybe it mutated? I don't know, as I say, could be pie in the sky. Doubt we'll ever know the whole truth.

Sent from my SM-G960F using Tapatalk
Click to expand...
I wonder if the email to con party members over the age of 65 swung it .
 
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • May 1, 2020
  • #19,904
Astute said:
Was it funded before 10 years ago?
Click to expand...

More than it was afterwards buddy, I don't think anyone could argue otherwise
 

Skybluefaz

Well-Known Member
  • May 1, 2020
  • #19,905
wingy said:
It's semantics really.
But he did shoot his mouth off
It is definitely not an easy gig but he offers up many excuses along with jam tomorrow type statements plus a touch of mendacity.
Click to expand...

They didn't manage what they officially said they were going to do
 

chiefdave

Well-Known Member
  • May 1, 2020
  • #19,906
Skybluefaz said:

They didn't manage what they officially said they were going to do
Click to expand...
Not even particularly close to the target. 73,191 people tested.

Be interesting to see how the numbers hold up, are they going to mail out tens of thousands every day to artificially keep the number high or are they hoping people won't notice if it drops back down again?
 

Astute

Well-Known Member
  • May 1, 2020
  • #19,907
clint van damme said:
They're are also counting tests that haven't been sent out. How can that be right?

I would suggest counting those returned to the lab but either way, as CD said, it's a fudge.
Click to expand...
I have only seen them counting the tests when sent out as I stated earlier.
 
Reactions: CCFCSteve

Astute

Well-Known Member
  • May 1, 2020
  • #19,908
Brighton Sky Blue said:
More than it was afterwards buddy, I don't think anyone could argue otherwise
Click to expand...
So what stocks did we have?

We have done nothing but consider it for a very ling time. Yes it includes Labour but also the Tories for a lot more than 10 years. But as usual many only want to count the last 10 years.
 

Astute

Well-Known Member
  • May 1, 2020
  • #19,909
chiefdave said:
Not even particularly close to the target. 73,191 people tested.

Be interesting to see how the numbers hold up, are they going to mail out tens of thousands every day to artificially keep the number high or are they hoping people won't notice if it drops back down again?
Click to expand...
They just needed to hit the target by the end of the month. Then they will come out with their excuses like they could have tested 100,000 but they were not needed.
 

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • May 1, 2020
  • #19,910
I think testing numbers is a bit of a red herring TBH. What matters is do we have the testing infrastructure to do contract tracing and testing to lift lockdown more. For that we need testing in the places it’s needed not just tests full stop. I think if nothing else the Hancock target has focused minds on capacity and now to look at how that capacity can be used to practically help us out of lockdown.
 
Reactions: Astute, clint van damme and CCFCSteve
C

CCFCSteve

Well-Known Member
  • May 1, 2020
  • #19,911
Astute said:
They just needed to hit the target by the end of the month. Then they will come out with their excuses like they could have tested 100,000 but they were not needed.
Click to expand...

I’m pretty sure I’ve read Germany utilise nowhere near their daily/weekly capacity. If you’re mainly testing people who (think they’ve) ‘got it’ and you’re testing 100k+ a day, you’re probably going to either be testing the same people on repeat (health/social care workers) or you’re fucked !

Nice to have the capacity (turning around large numbers of tests, quickly, all over the country) if its required but hope it’s not

As mentioned, rolling out a reliable antibody test is a different matter
 
Reactions: Astute

chiefdave

Well-Known Member
  • May 1, 2020
  • #19,912
covmark said:
Different strains maybe? Maybe it mutated? I don't know, as I say, could be pie in the sky. Doubt we'll ever know the whole truth.
Click to expand...
They've been testing in Iceland and seem to think there's different strains and somehow they've traced them back to which countries they came into Iceland from.
Iceland lab testing suggests 50% of coronavirus cases are asymptomatic - CNN
Although I don't think that accounts for a strain that could have swept through the country without anyone noticing.
 
W

wingy

Well-Known Member
  • May 1, 2020
  • #19,913
chiefdave said:
They've been testing in Iceland and seem to think there's different strains and somehow they've traced them back to which countries they came into Iceland from.
Iceland lab testing suggests 50% of coronavirus cases are asymptomatic - CNN
Although I don't think that accounts for a strain that could have swept through the country without anyone noticing.
Click to expand...
Yes this is a theory that each little mutation is like a geotag.
Roughly one a month they think
 

SkyBlueDom26

Well-Known Member
  • May 1, 2020
  • #19,914
David O'Day said:
It's going to be fun watching the government pretend they have hit the 100k test figure

Sent from my SM-G975F using Tapatalk
Click to expand...
Hardly pretend is it, we have hit it with 122k tests
 
J

Juice Terry

Member
  • May 1, 2020
  • #19,915
It is pretend Dim, these are not tests that have been completed. The point of care swab is only first stage. I bet the Tories love having such stupidly unquestioning 'support'.
 
Reactions: Sick Boy and Ian1779
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