Blooming interesting Stats shit

Discussion in 'Coventry City General Chat' started by Fergusons_Beard, Jan 11, 2019.

  1. Fergusons_Beard

    Fergusons_Beard Well-Known Member

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    [​IMG]

    Another from @Blades_analytics on Twitter.

    Expected Goals V Expected Goals Against.

    Green is good .

    @Blades_analytics also says ‘City biggest underperformance of xG in EFL but with a solid defence makes you think what if they could get a goal scorer’ ........

    Go figure!


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  2. Fergusons_Beard

    Fergusons_Beard Well-Known Member

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    It’s down to our strikers as xG is high so the chances are being created, this isn't a case of not getting ball to right areas its a case of somehow not finishing abs taking chances to even an avg level.


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  3. stevefloyd

    stevefloyd Well-Known Member

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    WTF?
     
  4. ccfchoi87

    ccfchoi87 Well-Known Member

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    Strange as the stats disagree with the majority on here who think that the strikers aren't getting service.
     
  5. Calista

    Calista Well-Known Member

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    As Harry Redknapp once said of one of his teams “On a good day we’re not too far off being a half decent side”
     
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  6. Sky_Blue_Dreamer

    Sky_Blue_Dreamer Well-Known Member

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    How's the 'expected' goals/against thing worked out? It clearly isn't average for this season. Does it include part of last season, hence why our expected goals is so much higher than say Sunderland? Or is it based on chances created/conceded?
     
  7. Otis

    Otis Well-Known Member

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    Yeah. Bring back Glicko!!
     
  8. shmmeee

    shmmeee Well-Known Member

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    Details here about halfway down: Blades Analytics: Is Our Attack Costing us the Playoffs?

    For the lazy:
    1F6E2D14-5C5D-4B9C-9F7E-3F7A4603A131.png 6EDA77DD-BD62-4801-B1F3-C92EB8EAEAB8.png 04647FCE-C289-419B-B66D-499EC89089BD.png

    Edit: tl;dr: yes it’s chances.
     
  9. Johnnythespider

    Johnnythespider Well-Known Member

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    I need Philosoraptor to explain this to me
     
  10. shmmeee

    shmmeee Well-Known Member

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    It’s based on chances you’d expect someone to score as far as I can tell. If yours is higher than your actual goals your attack is missing easy chances, if it’s lower they’re over performing.

    The graph goes from top left at the worst to bottom right at the best. Across is chances you should’ve scored, up is chances against you.

    We are 4th in defence and 5th in attack. Ergo our attack is underperforming.
     
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  11. Johhny Blue

    Johhny Blue Well-Known Member

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    Or Einstein
     
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  12. Earlsdon_Skyblue1

    Earlsdon_Skyblue1 Well-Known Member

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    We've missed so many chances this season. In fact, so many times when we have I always get the feeling if the opponents had the same chance they'd put it away.

    I find it odd when people try to argue against that. Even more so that some think we're above McNulty!
     
  13. riyadhskyblue

    riyadhskyblue Well-Known Member

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    There are so many examples of the profligacy of our players but I would say the Chaplin one against Sunderland stands out.
    I know that players will miss chances but it's the ones that matter when it's 1-1 or 0-1. One the flip side I think that Allsop would have nightmares about his miss in the last minute for Wycombe and Doncaster missed shit loads of chances in the second half. Both lost games they could and should have got something from.
    Yes McNulty missed chances last season but let's be honest he scored so many that his misses pale against the ones he netted.
    The difference between our strikers then and now is that McNulty carried his partner, this year they have nobody to carry them.
     
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  14. steve82

    steve82 Well-Known Member

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    Unfortunately for the young lad, Luke Thomas is likely a unhealthy percentage of the stats with the strikers.

    With another tweak or two this window I’m hopeful in the 2nd half of the season will see a better return for our fortunes across the side


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