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As Of Today, Points Needed To Guarantee Promotion (11 Viewers)

  • Thread starter sc1940
  • Start date Today at 5:41 PM
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sc1940

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 5:41 PM
  • #1
This is currently the maximum points each promotion contender can get.

Our current maximum is 101 points

Boro can get to 94 points, but to do that they have to beat Ipswich and Millwall, but then Ipswich could only get 92 and Millwall 89. If Boro draw one of those games and win the other they are down to a maximum of 92

Ipswich can get 95 points if they beat Boro and Millwall but that would mean Boro's maximum is 91 and Millwall's is 89

Millwall can get 92 if they beat Boro and Ipswich but that would mean Boro getting a maximum of 91 assuming Boro beat Ipswich, who would then be on 89

If Ipswich and Boro draw and they both beat Millwall that is worst case scenario, with Ipswich on a maximum of 93 and Boro on a maximum of 92, with Millwall back on 86

If Ipswich win all their games they will be on 95 but Boro will be on maximum of 91 and Millwall on maximum of 89 depending on their result against Boro.

So worst case scenario for promotion is 93, or with a superior GD 92, however this is highly likely to reduce with future results.
 
Reactions: covcity4life, Greer, aloisijohnnyaloisi and 3 others

Paxman II

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 6:00 PM
  • #2
Looking at the fact they play each other and fixtures they each have, Ipswich are just about in the driving seat ahead of Borough. Millwall are after today very unlikely to achieve it.
Ipswich at best will haul in 18/19 points for me. Boro' could do the same with a great run, but unlikely. Both would need fantastic runs to achieve that, again unlikely. But if they did.....we just need 13/14 points to top the table. More likely 12 points to get promoted.
Hull are in danger of dropping out the top 6. Southampton on course to make it from here. Might be at the xpense of Wrexham.
In truth it's a lot clearer after today.
The big fight is between Ipswich and Boro'. The pressure on them will be incredible, likely helping our cause. Personally for us, I think it's all over before ourlast two games.

At the other end Leicester are in deep trouble. Todays bottom three look the likely losers.
 
Reactions: Danceswithhorses

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 6:03 PM
  • #3
10 points abd we are promoted
 
Reactions: robbiethemole, Greer, sc1940 and 1 other person

Paxman II

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 6:07 PM
  • #4
Grendel said:
10 points abd we are promoted
Click to expand...
Could well be...
 

Sky Blue Pete

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 6:11 PM
  • #5
Grendel said:
10 points abd we are promoted
Click to expand...
Will we get 10
 

Voice_of_Reason

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 6:32 PM
  • #6
To get to 86 points, taking our superior goal difference.they would need to better our 86 points.
Sky Blues need to win 3 out of 8 games.
Boro need to win 6 out of 8 games
Millwall need to win 6 out of 8 games
Ipswich need to win 6 out of 9 games.
Now Ipswich v Millwall
Boro v Milwall
Boro v Ipswich.
 
Reactions: Greer

Voice_of_Reason

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 6:34 PM
  • #7
Voice_of_Reason said:
To get to 86 points, taking our superior goal difference.they would need to better our 86 points.
Sky Blues need to win 3 out of 8 games.
Boro need to win 6 out of 8 games
Millwall need to win 6 out of 8 games
Ipswich need to win 6 out of 9 games.
Now Ipswich v Millwall
Boro v Milwall
Boro v Ipswich.
Click to expand...
Excuse an 84 years old if my maths are wrong.
 

Sky_Blue_Daz

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 6:35 PM
  • #8
Wouldn’t it be nice to guarantee promotion with 87 points
 
Reactions: Greer

ccfc1292

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 6:36 PM
  • #9
Sky Blue Pete said:
Will we get 10
Click to expand...

Sheff Wednesday is 3... so 7 more...
 

Sky Blue Harry H

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 8:06 PM
  • #10
Sky Blue Pete said:
Will we get 10
Click to expand...
Assuming we beat Sheff Wed, it's only 7 points from 7 games. Does that make you feel any easier, Pete?

We'll do it
 
Q

quinn1971

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 8:10 PM
  • #11
As much as we’re getting carried away ( we are going up, days like today prove if . Win the next 4 and a job done
 

mark82

Super Moderator
  • Today at 8:11 PM
  • #12
Sky Blue Pete said:
Will we get 10
Click to expand...
Imagine we'll get more than 10.
 
Reactions: Sky Blue Pete

covcity4life

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 8:13 PM
  • #13
Think we might need 4. Can see ONE of the teams winning 6/8 for sure. Maybe both Boro and Ipswich

I'm thinking in terms of the title too btw
 
Q

quinn1971

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 8:16 PM
  • #14
We need 4,wins wins from 8, and going by that It wont. Be easy
 
Reactions: Sky Blue Pete

Ccfcisparks

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 8:16 PM
  • #15
covcity4life said:
Think we might need 4. Can see ONE of the teams winning 6/8 for sure. Maybe both Boro and Ipswich

I'm thinking in terms of the title too btw
Click to expand...
That would mean they go faultless outside of playing each other and millwall?

Can’t see that
 

Ccfcisparks

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 8:16 PM
  • #16
quinn1971 said:
We need 4,wins wins from 8, and going by that It wont. Be easy
Click to expand...
Who says 4 is the definitive number
 
Reactions: quinn1971

covcity4life

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 8:19 PM
  • #17
Ccfcisparks said:
That would mean they go faultless outside of playing each other and millwall?

Can’t see that
Click to expand...
How many r we expecting Ipswich to lose out of next 8 would be my follow up to that though? 2 losses out of 8 might be best we can hope for. We just put 6 game winnings streak on, they are capable too
 

Ccfcisparks

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 8:24 PM
  • #18
covcity4life said:
How many r we expecting Ipswich to lose out of next 8 would be my follow up to that though? 2 losses out of 8 might be best we can hope for. We just put 6 game winnings streak on, they are capable too
Click to expand...
have they put a 6 game winning streak on this year? at this stage they can’t even be drawing
 
Q

quinn1971

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 8:24 PM
  • #19
Ccfcisparks said:
Who says 4 is the definitive number
Click to expand...
Because milwall and Ipswich aren’t winning 7 from 8
 

Ccfcisparks

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 8:25 PM
  • #20
quinn1971 said:
Because milwall and Ipswich aren’t winning 7 from 8
Click to expand...
i’d be amazed if two of the 3 below win 6
 

covcity4life

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 8:26 PM
  • #21
Ccfcisparks said:
have they put a 6 game winning streak on this year? at this stage they can’t even be drawing
Click to expand...
Hopefully they don't. I guess there is a part of me that still thinks it might not be easy

Although today shows it may well be!
 
Reactions: jto123 and Sky Blue Pete
Q

quinn1971

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 8:29 PM
  • #22
Ccfcisparks said:
i’d be amazed if two of the 3 below win 6
Click to expand...
Exactly, I’ll bet my life on we go up, we’re just getting a bit too anxious
 

Ccfcisparks

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 8:30 PM
  • #23
covcity4life said:
Hopefully they don't. I guess there is a part of me that still thinks it might not be easy

Although today shows it may well be!
Click to expand...
No need to be pessimistic. That’s working in emotion and not logic!
 

covcity4life

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 8:37 PM
  • #24
Ccfcisparks said:
No need to be pessimistic. That’s working in emotion and not logic!
Click to expand...
Well I expect us to get 12pts so works out either way!
 

clint van damme

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 8:38 PM
  • #25
covcity4life said:
Think we might need 4. Can see ONE of the teams winning 6/8 for sure. Maybe both Boro and Ipswich

I'm thinking in terms of the title too btw
Click to expand...

No chance.
 
Reactions: covcity4life
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