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Anyone else (1 Viewer)

  • Thread starter ccfcway
  • Start date Nov 23, 2013
Forums New posts

ccfcway

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 23, 2013
  • #1
blaming Manager of the month

:thinking about:
 

covmark

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 23, 2013
  • #2
haha i'd forgotten about that.
 
R

RoboCCFC90

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 23, 2013
  • #3
I blame Ryan Lowe for being born, always scores against us.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 

ccfcway

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 23, 2013
  • #4
1 point and 8 conceeded since he won it !
 
E

ecky

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 23, 2013
  • #5
ccfcway said:
1 point and 8 conceeded since he won it !
Click to expand...


has always been a curse with cov managers, if he gets it again i would tell them to stick it
 
A

aloisiwouldhavescored

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 23, 2013
  • #6
Yes, has always been the kiss of death for us. Roll on next month!
 
T

Tomh111

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 23, 2013
  • #7
THERE IS NO SUCH THING AS THE MANAGER OF THE MONTH CURSE.
It is one football folklore I can not abide.
The whole premise of the player of the month, manager of the month etc award is that it is given in recogniton of raised levels of performance away from an average.
The performance levels can not be sustained at that level, so return to average. Giving the illusion of a drop in form, but it is just returning to the average level.
 
S

Sutty

Member
  • Nov 23, 2013
  • #8
Tomh111 said:
THERE IS NO SUCH THING AS THE MANAGER OF THE MONTH CURSE.
It is one football folklore I can not abide.
The whole premise of the player of the month, manager of the month etc award is that it is given in recogniton of raised levels of performance away from an average.
The performance levels can not be sustained at that level, so return to average. Giving the illusion of a drop in form, but it is just returning to the average level.
Click to expand...

Yep, statistical regression to the mean.

Good to know there's another stats geek on here!
 

hill83

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 23, 2013
  • #9
Tomh111 said:
THERE IS NO SUCH THING AS THE MANAGER OF THE MONTH CURSE.
It is one football folklore I can not abide.
The whole premise of the player of the month, manager of the month etc award is that it is given in recogniton of raised levels of performance away from an average.
The performance levels can not be sustained at that level, so return to average. Giving the illusion of a drop in form, but it is just returning to the average level.
Click to expand...

No, the curse is real. Just like Santa, Bigfoot, God and Reptilians.
 

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 23, 2013
  • #10
Tomh111 said:
THERE IS NO SUCH THING AS THE MANAGER OF THE MONTH CURSE.
It is one football folklore I can not abide.
The whole premise of the player of the month, manager of the month etc award is that it is given in recogniton of raised levels of performance away from an average.
The performance levels can not be sustained at that level, so return to average. Giving the illusion of a drop in form, but it is just returning to the average level.
Click to expand...

So actually you're saying there is such a thing, it's just got an explanation.

And regression to the mean as an argument means all form only lasts one month.

Sorry, it sounds good, but it doesn't make sense. Our average ppg prior to October was roughly 1.8, now it's 0.5 that's not an illusion.
 
S

Sutty

Member
  • Nov 23, 2013
  • #11
It makes more sense than an award being 'cursed'.
 
T

Tomh111

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 23, 2013
  • #12
shmmeee said:
So actually you're saying there is such a thing, it's just got an explanation.

And regression to the mean as an argument means all form only lasts one month.

Sorry, it sounds good, but it doesn't make sense. Our average ppg prior to October was roughly 1.8, now it's 0.5 that's not an illusion.
Click to expand...

Aaahhhh but there again lies a false statistic, you are taking a sample of 2 matches to draw your conclusion from and comparing that to a sample of 17 matches. At any point during the run of games before the manager of the month award you could have taken 2 matches and said our points total was X, that does not mean that X is represenatative.
 
O

oscillatewildly

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 23, 2013
  • #13
Tomh111 said:
Aaahhhh but there again lies a false statistic, you are taking a sample of 2 matches to draw your conclusion from and comparing that to a sample of 17 matches. At any point during the run of games before the manager of the month award you could have taken 2 matches and said our points total was X, that does not mean that X is represenatative.
Click to expand...
This is like watching the open university in the 1970's.
 
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