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BackRoomRummermill

Well-Known Member
So according to AI the general average requirement is 88 points for auto promotion - we have 29 games to play - we could in theory from 29 win 15 - draw 3 and lose another 11 and still go up - almost to the stage we can afford a bad run but still go up - i know it’s a figure of 88 but it feels about right - i am trying to justify things in my head in are we really going to make it -
 

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
Also according to AI no team 45 points or more at game 20 has failed to be promoted. 5 from the next 3?
 

Londonccfcfan

Well-Known Member
Fuck AI...this season is an absolute anomoly..the table is messed up from 2nd place to 2nd bottom.

Norwich and Sheff United wont be anywhere near bottom 3.

After that...its take yoir pick..its never been so tight or competitive.

I think title winners 90 points. 2nd place as low as 85.

But 3rd to 6th will be as high as 80 to 72

Also 3rd from bottom will go down on 50pts.

What do i know.
 

bawtryneal

Well-Known Member
Fuck AI...this season is an absolute anomoly..the table is messed up from 2nd place to 2nd bottom.

Norwich and Sheff United wont be anywhere near bottom 3.

After that...its take yoir pick..its never been so tight or competitive.

I think title winners 90 points. 2nd place as low as 85.

But 3rd to 6th will be as high as 80 to 72

Also 3rd from bottom will go down on 50pts.

What do i know.

You obviously were never very good at maths
Only one team can get three points maximum every match
Everyone plays everyone twice.
 

fatso

Well-Known Member
So according to AI the general average requirement is 88 points for auto promotion - we have 29 games to play - we could in theory from 29 win 15 - draw 3 and lose another 11 and still go up - almost to the stage we can afford a bad run but still go up - i know it’s a figure of 88 but it feels about right - i am trying to justify things in my head in are we really going to make it -
Let's just win every game and fuck AI
 

Manchester_sky_blue

Well-Known Member
Fuck AI...this season is an absolute anomoly..the table is messed up from 2nd place to 2nd bottom.

Norwich and Sheff United wont be anywhere near bottom 3.

After that...its take yoir pick..its never been so tight or competitive.

I think title winners 90 points. 2nd place as low as 85.

But 3rd to 6th will be as high as 80 to 72

Also 3rd from bottom will go down on 50pts.

What do i know.
People said the same about Luton...... People said it about Leeds when they went down..... No doubt people said it about us too. Reputation and squad "value" doth butter no parsnips.
 

bigfatronssba

Well-Known Member
Also according to AI no team 45 points or more at game 20 has failed to be promoted. 5 from the next 3?

I had a look back myself at some old league tables.

Last club to have 40+ points after 17 games and not go up was Bradford in 1988
 

SIR ERNIE

Well-Known Member
Best price 1/7 for promotion.
 

fatso

Well-Known Member
Appreciate stating the obvious but the two games against both Ipswich and Southampton will define our destiny.
Said that before the Stoke and Middlesbrough games.

Its games against poorer teams that have cost us points, Hull, Leicester, Norwich and Wrexham for example.

We actually play better against the better teams.
Last night Borough conceded 4 goals which is equal to what they've conceded at home all season, and yet we only started playing well in the last 15 minutes.

It was the same against WBA on Saturday, we played well for 15 minutes at the start of the second half and blew them away.

Against better teams we will just play well for a bit longer and blow them away too.
 
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KenilworthSkyBlue

Well-Known Member
People said the same about Luton...... People said it about Leeds when they went down..... No doubt people said it about us too. Reputation and squad "value" doth butter no parsnips.

The same will happen to Norwich if they take the same approach as Luton did, where they never seemed to act as if they were in a relegation battle until it was too late.

Successive windows of very poor recruitment and the squad stagnating led them to go down - the Jan window last season was the same where they just ended up bringing in players which weren't really quite good enough.

Norwich will likely need to invest, and invest well, in the coming window to put it right.
 

CV22SBA

Well-Known Member
Fuck AI...this season is an absolute anomoly..the table is messed up from 2nd place to 2nd bottom.

Norwich and Sheff United wont be anywhere near bottom 3.

After that...its take yoir pick..its never been so tight or competitive.

I think title winners 90 points. 2nd place as low as 85.

But 3rd to 6th will be as high as 80 to 72

Also 3rd from bottom will go down on 50pts.

What do i know.
Sheff Utd agree but Norwich are awful and will lose Sargent in January. I work with a Norwich fan and he's convinced they will be relegated.
 

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