14 win countdown to promotion (6 Viewers)

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
They don't have to win 5 in a row. And we don't have to lose 5 in a row. They need to win 5 more than us over the course of the remaining games.

And that is not as unthinkable as some are making out.
I agree, not unthinkable. However, 25 games to play, suppose we win 12 of them (not even half). Other sides then would need to win 17/25 which is not much room for error.
 

Lamps

Well-Known Member
They don't have to win 5 in a row. And we don't have to lose 5 in a row. They need to win 5 more than us over the course of the remaining games.

And that is not as unthinkable as some are making out.
It also isn't as likely as some are making out.

We've lost 2 out of 21. If we were to lose 5 out of 25 it would mean the other side losing none out of 25. Southampton have now hit better form but have lost as many in the last 4 games as we have all season. It's a big ask.
 

StrettoBoy

Well-Known Member
1) 14 more wins and 1 draw and 10 lost or
2) 13 wins and 4 draws and 8 lost or
3) 12 wins and 7 draws and 6 lost

If we lose to Southampton, which is entirely possible, we will have won 14 out of 22.

Looking at your first option we would then need to win 14 out of the remaining 24. It is reasonably foreseeable that we could fall short ☹️ I have a feeling we might draw more in the remainder of the season, which could be the difference
 

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