Ipswich Leicester and Southampton will come out of the packNormally I'd agree about teams coming out of the pack, but I'm not so sure it will happen this season.
No one, other than us, seems to be able to show any real consistency on a level needed for autos.
Ipswich Leicester and Southampton will come out of the pack
Not enough people are appreciating how much we'd need to shit the bed for these teams to catch us.Our 16 points on Southampton and 13 + points deduction on Leicester means they will only catch us if we let them
87 points for us is 10 points every 6 games
87 points for Southampton is 13.2
With a 6 points deduction for Leicester it is 13.8
I mean A, B and C are obviously true.How many points clear would be need to be before we'd accept that:
a) We're quite good
b) We're in the race for promotion
c) We're title favourites
d) We're going up
At 10 points clear after 15 games - I can accept A. I'm willing to dream about B.
C & D are ridiculous and given the size & quality of our squad - I can't/won't accept them.
Perhpas 16 points clear in Jan & we can talk again
TSx
Ipswich are good, 2nd in the expected table and they have a deep squad- would expect that to show through in the December fixture congestion. As of today I think they’ll finish 2nd.Honestly not sure. I think we're over rating Ipswich a bit, though we'll no more come 5 o clock on December 13th.
Yeah, when we played there just after Robins got sacked they were top and expected to winI must have completely blacked out the start of last season because I don’t remember Sunderland being top after 15 games at all.
Mad that we could lose the next 3 and would still be in the autos.
And went 2-0 upYeah, when we played there just after Robins got sacked they were top and expected to win
10 points sound a lot. But over 30 games. Lose a couple on the bounce and 10 can become 4. Then there is an added pressure that goes with that.
When Lampard took over last season we went on an amazing run. No reason why teams below us can't do it. I am loving the season so far but I'm not going to give it Billy Big Bollocks and the bunting is staying in the box.
We played 29 games under Lampard last season. We averaged 1.79 points per game. That seemed at the time to be an incredible run.
If Middlesbrough went on a similar run now, they would end up on 83 points, which means we would need another 47 points from our remaining 30 games to stay ahead of the current second best team in the division.
47 points from 30 games is 1.56 points per game. That is basically 5th or 6th place form over a season. Completely achievable.
Our form can drop significantly and we still keep a top two spot.
We shouldn't get carried away, but it would take a monumental collapse for us to mess this up
Yes a W L W sequence from now until the end of the season will do us. It sounds easy doesn't it.
In my experience football is about great teams and also great fuck ups. We aren't even in December yet so I reserve the right to be cautious.
I remember Man City having a six point lead (remember two points for a win not three) and were flying in the old First Division (top flight). They signed Rodney Marsh probably the best player in the division at that time, it totally disrupted them. They finished fourth and towards the end of the season lost four on the bounce.
Nothing is a given, especially as early as November.
Not forgetting Lampard averages 1.977 per game.We played 29 games under Lampard last season. We averaged 1.79 points per game. That seemed at the time to be an incredible run.
If Middlesbrough went on a similar run now, they would end up on 83 points, which means we would need another 47 points from our remaining 30 games to stay ahead of the current second best team in the division.
47 points from 30 games is 1.56 points per game. That is basically 5th or 6th place form over a season. Completely achievable.
Our form can drop significantly and we still keep a top two spot.
We shouldn't get carried away, but it would take a monumental collapse for us to mess this up
Their whole team was built around one playerI like to keep myself grounded by remembering that Walsall were 15 points clear of the playoffs last season on the 20th Jan and still didn't go up..
Of course, you're right, nothing is a given.
However what we can say is it would be near impossible for us to be in a better position at this stage of the season.
Their whole team was built around one player
Good pointI like to keep myself grounded by remembering that Walsall were 15 points clear of the playoffs last season on the 20th Jan and still didn't go up..
I have a mate who is a Walsall fan, and at the time, he was saying that this great run probably wouldn't last, as they were winning by narrow margins, and were reliant on the goals of loanee striker, Nathan Lowe.I like to keep myself grounded by remembering that Walsall were 15 points clear of the playoffs last season on the 20th Jan and still didn't go up..
That'd be a result, as my youngest's husband is a Wolves fan (better than being my eldest's ex who is a Leicester fan).Take a look at the Prem table. Do you expect Wolves to stay up, or are they gone already?
Well they are 9 points adrift, and we are 10 clear.
Believe. Makes me nervous though!
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