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(I told them to stuff it of course!)

Same reason as last week, to close down the market. Even last week, Ladbrokes wanted you to give them a grand for a return of £1. Yet for the reverse bet they offered me 16/1, which was pretty much what I would have expected allowing for them to make profits.

It appears to be the latter, although Mucca threw in a wild card alternative explanation earlier which turned out to be a phantom! People lap up the numbers, but IMO they are incredibly dubious, and my experience with Labroke's last week (post #21,209) reinforces that.

We want nothing less than the title now, even if Doug sacks Lampard for missing out on the playoffs.

I wouldn't. It was other people choosing to quote Opta numbers and arranging open top bus tours and spending the Prem money when we still needed a few good results. Before Friday, we were still only a couple of bad weekends away from it all getting pretty tight again, and Opta's numbers would...

I'll stop in a minute after I've replied to Pete 😂

No, but this really is not the point!

It can't be rounding. If they do 10,000 simulations and we fail once, the answer is 99.99%. If we never fail, it's 100.00%. So it must be the latter.

When you said "We’re projected to hit 95-96 points so that’s why the Opta computers have us at 100% likelihood of promotion", I assumed you were explaining their methodology. I didn't realise you were just guessing yourself! I'm not disputing what a good side we are, or suggesting we won't get...

Living the dream! Seriously, it's great that you so clearly enjoy these away days. It's a long time since I had the appetite for all that travelling.

🤷‍♂️ i don't know how the bloody system works, I just know that before Friday the team at Ladbrokes were being realistic and Opta.... weren't, not by a country mile. I suspect the difference is that Opta assume that numeric past performance absolutely dictates future results, whereas a bookie...

Wrong, I think you are misinterpreting it. They were happy to put 99.94% so they could easily put 99.99%.

At nearly 2am yes 😉 Look, it's been said quite a few times on here that Opta run their model 10,000 times and then report the percentage of simulations where we end up promoted. Their currently quoted "100.00%" figure clearly shows that isn't the case. It seems much more like Mucca says -...

Ah, a glimmer of light into what the figures mean. We are 100% likely to be promoted if their prediction that we will be promoted turns out to be correct.

That doesn't make sense though. At this point, we are demonstrably not 100% promoted. Of course it's overwhelmingky likely, but that's not the same thing.

Nope - they had us at "99.94%" BEFORE Friday's games. That was silly, and the 100.00% is demonstrably false. The Opta figures cannot possibly mean what people like to think they do, but it doesn't stop people trundling them out 🤷‍♂️.

Is Yep a loanee?

Esse's return ball to Onyeka for the first goal was classy - could have played it to his feet, but rightly chose to send him forward into the penalty area. Played another great one in the second half too (to Dasliva?). Clearly talented, just frustratingly prone to trying to do too much...

Stretchered rather than ushered?

Then again, according to Opta we are 100% promoted.