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Only 12 polls in that month which was the month leading up to the referendum called it for Remain. So 17 polls called it for leave 12 polls called it for remain Been a while since I went to school but "MOST" did not get it wrong.

Moving away from people not understanding how polling works The news that trump has had to admit he basically misled the US population on the seriousness of the Covid-19 threat will hurt him outside of his base.

Yes 1 outlier poll that at the time was rightly discounted as an outlier. So anything to say on the 15 or so polls just from June 2016 that said Leave was going to win?

The Supreme Court is also likely to nix the bill anyway.

Tellingly the Trump admin trade rep has said similar things in the past. Also the congressman who is the chair of the committee who approves trade deals has said the same thing.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2014_Scottish_independence_referendum For the avoidance of doubt here is a list of Scottish Ref polls taken before the 2014 referendum. In the 4 years before the referendum there had been a grand total of 4 polls that said the Yes campaign...

Polling will always have outliers though, that's just a by-product of the methodology they use to extrapolate the result from the raw data.

I've looked at the Scottish Referendum polling and in 2 years of polling only 3 outliers ever said Out was going to win.

There's 17 polls in June 2016 alone that that said out was going to win.

"EVERY.SINGLE.ONE" https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_United_Kingdom_European_Union_membership_referendum#2016

Only impressed by that are his base. In the independents he's a lot lot further behind this time around.

In the US they do yes, the polling averages on the state by state polls are very accurate. Clinton also won the popular vote by pretty much the same as the national pollion#g projections.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-54097050

The state by state polling is very bad for trump at the moment https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/ Biden is way ahead in many states that Trump won in 2016

Not like this, not in as many states and not by as much.

Biden all the way, the individual state polling gives Trump far too much to do in the electoral college. He could potentially lose texas.

Not sure about that Salisbury-Addison is the convention that the Lords don't pass wrecking bills against government bills that are expressly indicated in the governments manifesto. It hasn't ever been used to make a government stick to their manifesto pledges.

Why ask him? His "past" changes daily

Sadly there's a few zoomers in East Belfast that won't get the message.

because the economy of city centres trumps safety