I'd say that's about right.
Ipswich would have to get 5 wins in 9 to get there and they are playing Boro and Millwall.
Boro need to win 4 and draw 1 in 8 playing Ipswich Millwall and being in shit form.
Millwall would need to 5 win in 8 playing Ipswich and Boro.
We however, need two wins in...