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We also weren’t 12 points clear of 3rd by then. We could lose the next 4 and those teams still wouldn’t catch us.

They also lost to Millwall. They’ve had some good wins but haven’t really beaten anyone that good to be honest. Birmingham are tragic away and Leicester have an ok record away. For context, us beating Bristol this weekend was objectively more impressive than either of those wins. They carry a...

The xG tells a different story altogether. We should scored 2 goals minimum v PNE and Bristol City. Pretty sure Bristol City had about the same xG as Ipswich and in one game, we concede 3, the other 0.

Why does it? More congestion = less space for attackers to run into. Especially now with how often defending team draw fouls too. The wider point is that I’m sure we’ve made more counterattacks breaking from the box (e.g. MVE v Charlton) than hitting and hoping from a corner clearance. Leaving...

It’s to create a numerical superiority in defence of 2 players. If you’ve got teams that play 5-3-2, they’ve potentially got a height advantage. Pure zonal and man marking also have their faults so imagine the concept of a hybrid system requires that numerical superiority. Leaving 1 or 2...

I don’t think we are, personally. You talk a game v Boro for example, there was lots of ‘pressure’ but gave away 2 shots on target. There were many times last season and the one before where we just didn’t defend the box well at all and we conceded more goals as a result. It’s a bit of a...

Agreed. West Brom is underrated in terms of difficulty, they're only lost once at home this season but to be honest, it's a game I think we should get a draw from at least. WBA and PNE away are two away games I really wanted 3 points from because our record is bad at those grounds. In terms of...

Despite fans groaning when the fullbacks stand off wingers, it's a very clear tactical instruction to defend the box much better than we had in recent seasons.

Exactly, you’re right. It’s important to recognise most of the game I listed are at home where we’ve been nearly flawless under Lampard as a whole. I’ve been cautious to not say we should beat Boro, Leicester, Ipswich, Southampton and others who we’ll be favoured to beat despite being very...

They're another team who's away form is tragic. The difference between their record at home and away is night and day, at home they average 2.1 ppg and away its 0.73 ppg. One is nearly automatic promotion form (usually around 2.3-2.4 ppg) and the other relegation form. If we beat Birmingham...

Be very confident! There’s a few fans that should be dead cert wins for us: Swansea - home and away Sheff Wednesday - home Oxford - home Pompey - home These are games that should be 100% wins. Next up there’s fixtures like: Millwall - home Derby - home Charlton - away Blackburn - away PNE -...

He’s being level headed about everything and that’s despite being dealt a bad hand. He gets a season ending injury that may turn to two just as he was establishing himself as a top GK in the division. We missed him badly and meant signing another GK was a non-negotiable this summer. Dovin has...

He seems like a genuinely positive influence on the group, doesn’t he? My mates and I joke that he’s there for magic tricks but in reality, you just don’t need a 3rd choice GK who’s going to be that competitive with your starter and backup. In a sense, they’re there for the dressing room.

Agreed, it would take Southampton having Leicester City 23/24 form for 22 games to him 85 points - that’s the required run rate for 2.5 ppg for them. It’s a similar story for Ipswich to get to 89 points. The caveat here is 2.5 PPG is slightly higher than what they actually need to hit those...

That would be gutting for him but their last manager was good and they had a disastrous start. Their issues are well past bringing in a new manager.

Maybe, they did that in the 2010s and were back up in 3-4 seasons. If Edwards gets back to back relegations with 2 parachute payments teams, his stock as a manager collapses.

He always has a hot streak too. He’s played in the prem before and wasn’t v good, is v injury prone and it’s telling a Prem club haven't picked him yet. Has the talent to play in a top division in Europe, perhaps the Prem but there’s a reason he’s still at Norwich.

I feel like Wolves are the kind of club that’ll go straight back up so in the short term, terrible move. In the medium to long term, might turn out well for him.

I agree on Wilson but being 3rd choice isn’t too outrageous, Scott Carson was Man City’s 3rd choice and he’s massively behind various 1st and second choice GKs. Frankly speaking, a 3rd choice GK has got to accept that they’re basically never going to get minutes.

It’s possibly too soon to call Hellberg better than Edwards imo. Boro’s form could be a new manager bounce because with the exception of an emphatic win v Hull, the other wins were expected. That said, whilst Edwards did v well getting Luton up, he struggled massively when they went down. His...