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I mean clearly we are planning to take the same measures (that’s the medical advice) but have decided to time them as late as possible (the dude in hoodie advice). That’s my worry. Get the man bun twats out the way for this and let the CMO lead.

Hmmm behavioural “science” isn’t exactly the hardest science. Seems like Cummings misplaced faith in data and woo again. I’d rather with something serious we went with hard science personally. Whole bunch of medical doctors with decades of experience: shut this shit down Dude in a hoodie with...

*scientific advisors not medical advisors. This is based on psychology not epidemiology. Personally I’d rather we went with the hard sciences here. He’s not saying don’t close the schools, any teacher will tel you that’s already in planning. He’s saying not yet because his shrinks think people...

Doesn't explain why our models are different to everyone else in the worlds. And spare me the Bulldog Spirit “they’re the best innit”.

Yeah just had a persistent cough and slight fever. Expect it’s just a bug but advice is advice and what’s a little inconvenience to play it safe? Also helps that I love working from home.

My concern is hes surrounded himself with “freaks and weirdos” that have a pathological desire to take the road less trodden and IMO the typical layman’s overestimation of the power of data. The reliance on near quackery like the nudge unit rather than medical opinion is a symptom of that...

Well I’m now self isolating until Tuesday so yes personally I am. And I’m going to reduce the contact I have with others generally and will be seeing how much I can work from home. I’m not saying the government has to go storming in now, but there are a lot of experts looking very worried about...

Im not talking about us. You said the only possible reason for Italy’s high numbers were lies or a bad healthcare system, I just pointed out that the most common explanation is that they didn’t take it seriously enough soon enough. If you really want to know what I’d do here, I think I’d be...

?? You are a strange one.

Or they didn’t implement social distancing early enough.

It wouldn’t be 80% in a country that can literally lock up all its citizens at the drop of a hat. That’s the issue with China, aside from the possibility of dodgy data, they have the ability to take actions not many other countries could. Well have to see how more liberal democracies handle it...

You’re mixing up the estimated total cases (10k) with the number of known cases and the concluded cases. If everyone stopped contracting it tomorrow you’d still have to wait for all those live cases to be resolved before you could state the death rate. It could be a month or more for that to...

Why would it level out like China without China style draconian action?

“He says his top planning assumption is 80% of people getting the illness.” That’s from the Guardian live blog. He being Chris Whitty.

Well have the three points then thanks.

Cant get hold of a thermometer but I’m warm to touch.

Looks like I’m working from home and not taking the kids to St Andrews this weekend then. Do you have any links with official info?

Yeah the ex was saying either before Easter or just after so there’s a 4 week period with no school. Got to have enough work prepped. Glad I’m not in the game any more I tell ya. Well until I remember the sick pay.

So I’ve had a new continuous cough since Tuesday. Am I now supposed to self isolate? Is it seven days from now or from when symptoms started?