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Biden, like Obama, are centre-right politicians. No questions about it. There a lot more people in the US who consider themselves ‘democratic socialists’ than we give credit for. However, is there enough of these people across all the US states to win an national election? In states like...

The reality is that socialised healthcare isn’t as popular in the USA as it is in Europe. Despite Bernie Sanders’ popularity. Context is important too. Republicans in NY and CA are pretty liberal, generally. Meanwhile, even Democrats running in southern/Midwest states are generally pretty...

Hence the use of ‘likely’. The consensus among Democrats is that they have underperformed at all levels of this election. Why? Because they went into the election believing they could extend their lead in Congress, and win both the Senate and presidency. If I was American, the democrats would...

He’s not a good candidate, to be frank. He’s won, but he is not in a strong position from day 1. The Republicans are well poised for 2022 and if they take Congress, his presidency is more or less gridlocked until 2024. Not to mention, there’s a decent chance he may not see out the whole term...

A lot of voters are turned off by the Democrats stances on cultural issues e.g. defund the police, socialised healthcare and so on. There’s a lot of finger pointing among Dem Representatives because they’ve performed way below expectations across the board. Frankly, the fact that the gap in...

It probably was, I was certainly in a rut at this time, 100%. There is something about University life that breeds negative mental health issues. At a guess, excessive drinking (plus other substances) and lack of a daily routine/structure impacts most students. I’d recommend picking up some...

It’s good to read stuff like this, in a weird way. I had a bout of anxiety at university in my final year. I generally lost interest in everything; rugby, football and did not care if I failed at university. Eventually, it took for my then girlfriend to express her concerns to my mum. Who...

Abolishing the electoral college is nonsense. Firstly, it requires constitutional change - around 66% in favour in Congress and/or the Senate. Secondly, and most importantly, it puts the power firmly into the hands of the largest states, California, Texas, NY and Florida. In a UK context, we...

I don’t disagree. In a UK context, I’m a Labour voter and not switching anytime soon. Without getting into the nuts and bolts of this, people just didn’t flip to Trump for no reason. Like many Labour strongholds, areas like Penn, Wisconsin and particularly Michigan have seen these areas lose...

Don’t get me wrong, calling Biden a socialist/communist is plain stupid. Equally stupid, however, are the same people who call Trump a white supremacist/nationalist. Frankly, there are more socialists in the Democratic Party than white nationalists in the Republican Party. I have friends from...

Those people think exactly the same with regards to California.

Apparently some key county’s polling hugely in Trump’s favour e.g. Maricopa voting 62% Republican and others (quoting Ben Shapiro there). The result was called pretty early, and they are yet to hit 85% counted votes yet. For context, Trump was winning Wisconsin and Michigan at 85% vote count.

Biamou is getting dropped after that. Absolute kamikaze football.

Decent start early on! A good interception from Hamer/Sheaf in their half.

You’re missing a lot context. Biden is winning by nearly 2-3 million votes. The gap between Democrats and Republicans in California is nearly 4 million. The democrats dominate in California and New York. Two of the most populous states in the US - which skews the ‘popular vote’ to the...

If he gets all 5, it’s game, set and match to Biden. Trump needs Pennsylvania to stand any chance of winning. On top of that, he needs Alaska, Georgia, North Carolina, and one of Michigan or Wisconsin to win.

Ironically, Trump has seen an upturn in support from ethnic minorities and similarly, loss of support among white men. At least, as far as we can see right now.

Banning isn’t a good idea. But, people should not generally do politics on social media. It’s toxic. It also builds echo chambers and amplifies the divisions between party support/policy positions. Hence, polarisation between Democrats and Republicans in the USA and between Remain and Leave in...

The US polls are particularly flawed. Our UK pollsters generally use double the sample size (2-3k respondents) to the US polls. Which, given the size of the two countries, is pretty crazy.

Famous last words.