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  1. mrtrench

    People who hate Coventry City FC ...

    I just came back from holiday on the Med. I got chatting to a guy wearing a Blues shirt. When he realised I was a Cov fan he shook my hand and spoke about how awful it was for us and how much he loved Highfield Road. So, not Blues fans.
  2. mrtrench

    Harries not in MR's plans?

    I'm not aware. I think we are a premiership club.
  3. mrtrench

    150 to 1

    To work out the take? Very possible, just create a spreadsheet and cut and paste the odds.
  4. mrtrench

    150 to 1

    Betfair is the place, won't get banned there. I did it for a couple of years and built 20 into 2,000. Not a fortune and when I worked out gain per hour I worked at it I stopped. Am considering going back this year just to lay out opponents winning each home game, whilst skipping the ones I...
  5. mrtrench

    150 to 1

    When faced with a book on an event where one of the options must happen, it's good to calculate the take on the book (the bookie's profit margin). This tells you on average how much you lose on each bet. To do so, work out the implied probability on each of the odds and sum them. It will come...
  6. mrtrench

    Transfer Rumour Former player in talks with us! - Courtney Baker Richardson

    I'm thinking of a football player. Can you guess who it is?
  7. mrtrench

    150 to 1

    I already realised an error on my calculation which will increase the probability of losing a game - I used 24 as the number of games, should be 23. Doh!
  8. mrtrench

    150 to 1

    Oh and one more thought, remember that the bookies odds are not only based on their views but also driven by how many people bet on that result. As city will have more supporters than any other side in league 2 there is a bias to drive odds on city down. So generally, betting on city will not be...
  9. mrtrench

    150 to 1

    Someone might want to check my calculations as I'm away on hols and used an online calculator. 150/1 over 24 games means the probability of losing any one game on average is 19%, or roughly 4/1 on. Do you really believe it is that unlikely? You may be better off doing an accumulator over the...
  10. mrtrench

    George Thomas

    Agreed, don't blame him in the slightest if he goes; I just object to the posts implying that he's no good. He is good and he will be missed. And the same would be true for Haynes, who similarly hasn't finished developing.
  11. mrtrench

    George Thomas

    I mind. He's got great technique and I think he's going to have a career at Championship level. We judge these kids far too early, everyone expects them to be the finished article at 19. No, they don't all make it but I think Thomas would have had a great season had he stayed.
  12. mrtrench

    New contract - Ryan Haynes

    I agree, it makes a massive difference. Just look at Wilson before and after that summer of gym work.
  13. mrtrench

    Performance Analyst?

    I'm pleased they enhanced it from the first iteration: Select teamname ,sum(salary) from ( Select * From whoisavailable (nolock) where transfer_fee between 'twixbar' and 'squarerootoffuckall' and goals_scored >20 ) Available where teamname like '%Portsm%' group by teamname
  14. mrtrench

    Transfer Rumour Former player in talks with us! - Courtney Baker Richardson

    Agreed that it's now beyond boring. I wouldn't condone closing the thread, but let it die gracefully.
  15. mrtrench

    Transfer Rumour Former player in talks with us! - Courtney Baker Richardson

    If it is, I'm claiming that I called it first. Well, not first - but deduced it most likely from the list and exclusions.
  16. mrtrench

    Transfer Rumour Former player in talks with us! - Courtney Baker Richardson

    He said he was a striker. He's also stated twice that it isn't Best. Has to be either Clarke or Jeffers IMHO.
  17. mrtrench

    Transfer Rumour Former player in talks with us! - Courtney Baker Richardson

    He's now 25 - coming to his peak. Strikers thrive on confidence, he's had a season scoring lots of goals, albeit at a low level. He may not come and be first choice, but it's a possibility. Take a look at the list of players that have been mentioned who were not loanees. You can rule many of...
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