So to miss the playoffs we would need to probably get no more than 38 points in 31 games That is a 56 points season
We will not miss the playoffs
it is time to gamble in January as we will never have a better chance of autos
correct, the double v Fulham , the 4-1 v sheff U, Middlesbrough, Wolves, Man U all come to mind . How much was him, how much was Adi god knows but they are both doing v well without each other
After 14 23 46 games
22/23 15/27/70 (play off final) (55 points won in last 32 games)
23/24 15/30/66 (missed play offs after FA cup SF) (51 points won in last 32 games)
24/25 17/33/69 (play offs) (52 points won in last 32 games)
25/26...
but we could be in premier league and Europa league -
win our next 18 league games up to the end of january would put us in touching distance of the title, and then just concentrate on the FA cup
we would need to be poor to not make the play offs from this position
probably 45 points from 34 games
12 wins 9 draws 13 defeats ie lose more than we would win
That is why the automatics must be now the target
11 games to half way - 18 points keeps us on 2 points per game - something like the set of results below looks reasonable
Wrexham A Win
Sheff U H Draw
Stoke A Lose
WBA H Win
Middlesbrough A Draw
Charlton H Win
Ipswich A...
Basically we’ve built enough of a gap to lose a couple at some point. That said would be disappointing if we don’t get at least 5 points from the next 3.