Game state is important yes.
But looking at Norwich’s chances up to and including the goal statistically you’d only expect them to score 1+ goals around 27% of the time. So in that sense we were just unlucky.
I think Lando has a real chance now. Especially at one of the sprint weekends, if Verstappen can only manage 5/6 and Lando sweeps then he could gain 20+ points on him.
The decision not to use team orders earlier is looking rather stupid now though.
Bassette’s header on to the bar was 0.49.
Rudoni had a chance on the rebound that was 0.24.
We then had 4 other shots that were all above 0.1.
1.6 xg was what Ipswich averaged last season and only Leicester, Leeds and Southampton averaged more.
I’m expecting a joker lineup from Robins at Leeds tbh, like last year. So might not tell us anything. Although being hard to beat defensively would be a good start.