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PUSB-We_are_going_up

PUSB-We_are_going_up

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The next six games for us, Ipswich and Boro, it seems like we’ll be the 3 at the top. When we come through this period there will only be 12 games left (other than Ipswich’s postponed game vs Hull) so thats why Im doing next 6 setting it into 3 blocks:
(Colours represent W,D,L in reverse fixture)
(Expected points is my guess how many each team will get from these fixtures)

Coventry
Norwich (A)
QPR (A)
Oxford (H)
Boro (H)
WBA (A)
Sheff U (A)
Expected points ~10
Leaves around ~68pts		Ipswich
Sheff U (A)
Preston (H)
Pompey (A)
Derby (A)
Wrexham (A)
Watford (A)
Expected points ~11
Leaves around ~61pts		M’boro
Preston (H)
Norwich (H)
Sheff U (A)
Coventry (A)
Oxford (H)
Leicester (H)
Expected points ~9
Leaves around ~61pts
 
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mark82

mark82

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PUSB-We_are_going_up said:
The next six games for us, Ipswich and Boro, it seems like we’ll be the 3 at the top. When we come through this period there will only be 12 games left (other than Ipswich’s postponed game vs Hull) so thats why Im doing next 6 setting it into 3 blocks:
(Colours represent W,D,L in reverse fixture)
(Expected points is my guess how many each team will get from these fixtures)

Coventry
Norwich (A)
QPR (A)
Oxford (H)
Boro (H)
WBA (A)
Sheff U (A)
Expected points ~10
Leaves around ~65pts		Ipswich
Sheff U (A)
Preston (H)
Pompey (A)
Derby (A)
Wrexham (A)
Watford (A)
Expected points ~11
Leaves around ~61pts		M’boro
Preston (H)
Norwich (H)
Sheff U (A)
Coventry (A)
Oxford (H)
Leicester (H)
Expected points ~9
Leaves around ~61pts
Click to expand...
Surely Boro would be 7 points behind based on those expected points?
 
Robinshio

Robinshio

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10 puts us on 68
the points for the others is ok, but ipswich still have the game in hand
Also the colours v points makes no sense - versus the totals
 
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PUSB-We_are_going_up

PUSB-We_are_going_up

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Robinshio said:
10 puts us on 68
the points for the others is ok, but ipswich still have the game in hand
Also the colours v points makes no sense - versus the totals
Click to expand...
Colours is revers fixture, expected points is what I think they’ll get in the next 6, total is current + expected points
 
Otis

Otis

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PUSB-We_are_going_up said:
The next six games for us, Ipswich and Boro, it seems like we’ll be the 3 at the top. When we come through this period there will only be 12 games left (other than Ipswich’s postponed game vs Hull) so thats why Im doing next 6 setting it into 3 blocks:
(Colours represent W,D,L in reverse fixture)
(Expected points is my guess how many each team will get from these fixtures)

Coventry
Norwich (A)
QPR (A)
Oxford (H)
Boro (H)
WBA (A)
Sheff U (A)
Expected points ~10
Leaves around ~68pts		Ipswich
Sheff U (A)
Preston (H)
Pompey (A)
Derby (A)
Wrexham (A)
Watford (A)
Expected points ~11
Leaves around ~61pts		M’boro
Preston (H)
Norwich (H)
Sheff U (A)
Coventry (A)
Oxford (H)
Leicester (H)
Expected points ~9
Leaves around ~61pts
Click to expand...
Ipswich to only get 11 points from 6 fixtures? That's only 3 wins out of 6 games. .

They've just won 5 in a row haven't they?

Well, I hope you are right, because another 6 games scratched off and still 7 points ahead, would be fantastic.
 
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Covkid1968#

Covkid1968#

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North Leics…...unfortunately
If we are 7 points clear in 6 games… I’d suggest we wouldn’t be caught. I think it’s going to get a whole lot tighter … so hope you’re right.
 
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PUSB-We_are_going_up

PUSB-We_are_going_up

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Otis said:
Ipswich to only get 11 points from 6 fixtures? That's only 3 wins out of 6 games. .

They've just won 5 in a row haven't they?

Well, I hope you are right, because another 6 games scratched off and still 7 points ahead, would be fantastic.
Click to expand...
Its just an estimate, and being more optimistic
 
Matt Grimes' Beard

Matt Grimes' Beard

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Otis said:
Ipswich to only get 11 points from 6 fixtures? That's only 3 wins out of 6 games. .

They've just won 5 in a row haven't they?

Well, I hope you are right, because another 6 games scratched off and still 7 points ahead, would be fantastic.
Click to expand...
They have won 4 in a row and it's the first time they have managed to string together more than 2 back to back wins all season. They are incredibly inconsistent, especially away from home and they have about 5 back to back away fixtures in Feb (including the cup which they were stupid enough to not get themselves knocked out of).
 
Brighton Sky Blue

Brighton Sky Blue

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Ipswich to lose at home to PNE is an interesting take I’ll give you that. As is us failing to beat Oxford at home while beating Sheff Utd away.

Anyway, I’d be cautiously optimistic over getting 12 points from the 6 games and so being on 70 from 34 overall.
 
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Sky Blue Harry H

Sky Blue Harry H

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warwick
We really could do with picking up our away form again over this next block of 6. Could do with Wilder's lot collecting something against Ipswich this weekend, but Sheff Utd seem to have self destructed over the last couple of games (not helped by having an awful forward line - bar Bamford). I think Boro have the nicest run of fixtures over the next 6, and our home game against them is likely to be pivotal.
 
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Otis

Otis

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Matt Grimes' Beard said:
They have won 4 in a row and it's the first time they have managed to string together more than 2 back to back wins all season. They are incredibly inconsistent, especially away from home and they have about 5 back to back away fixtures in Feb (including the cup which they were stupid enough to not get themselves knocked out of).
Click to expand...
Yeah, 5 wins in a row, including the cup win. That's what I meant.

They WERE incredibly inconsistent. For sure they were, especially earlier in the season. but this is a different Ipswich team now and they finally seek to have got their act together and got into gear.

I expect them now to win the league.
 
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Brighton Sky Blue

Brighton Sky Blue

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Otis said:
Yeah, 5 wins in a row, including the cup win. That's what I meant.

They WERE incredibly inconsistent. For sure they were, especially earlier in the season. but this is a different Ipswich team now and they finally seek to have got their act together and got into gear.

I expect them now to win the league.
Click to expand...
4 of those 5 games were at home to be fair Otis.
 
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shepardo01

shepardo01

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In that spell, interesting to see that Boro have four out of six at home - including the next two.
While we have four out of six away!!
 
alexccfc99

alexccfc99

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shepardo01 said:
In that spell, interesting to see that Boro have four out of six at home - including the next two.
While we have four out of six away!!
Click to expand...
The fixture pattern is odd this season we seem to be playing two home games followed by two aways quite often
 
Brighton Sky Blue

Brighton Sky Blue

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shepardo01 said:
In that spell, interesting to see that Boro have four out of six at home - including the next two.
While we have four out of six away!!
Click to expand...
Average league position of these 6 games for us is 14th, no idea what theirs is. Yes these are 4 away games, but 3 against the bottom half and one against mid table.
 
T

tom88

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This is what I think:

Norwich (A) - W
QPR (A) - D
Oxford (H) - W
Boro (H) - W
WBA (A) - D
Sheff U (A) - L

11 points from 18 which would put us on 69 points
 
Robinshio

Robinshio

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tom88 said:
This is what I think:

Norwich (A) - W
QPR (A) - D
Oxford (H) - W
Boro (H) - W
WBA (A) - D
Sheff U (A) - L

11 points from 18 which would put us on 69 points
Click to expand...
would bite your hand off for that

We also have a nice end to the season and would expect at least 10 points from the last 5 games

Wednesday H
Blackburn A
Portsmouth H
Wrexham H
Watford A

20 points from the next 13 games ahead of the last 5 I think will be enough especially with a win v Boro as we then go into the last 5 needing 10 or so more points which i cant see them beating

A win V Boro and hitting those 20 points sees us go into the last 5 on 78 points

For Boro to get to 79 before the last 5 they would need 27 points from the other 12 which is 8 wins and 3 draws with 1 defeat Whilst in the same period we would need 5 wins 2 draws and 5 defeats (weve lost 4 all season and 2 of those were v Ipswich, along with 2 3-2 away defeats)

Their last 5 are then as follows and for them a max 10 points
Portsmouth H
Ipswich A
Wednesday H
Watford H
Wrexham A

Boro at home is absolutely massive and unless we totally collapse a win there should be enough
 
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H

Hincha

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Robinshio said:
would bite your hand off for that

We also have a nice end to the season and would expect at least 10 points from the last 5 games

Wednesday H
Blackburn A
Portsmouth H
Wrexham H
Watford A

20 points from the next 13 games ahead of the last 5 I think will be enough especially with a win v Boro as we then go into the last 5 needing 10 or so more points which i cant see them beating

A win V Boro and hitting those 20 points sees us go into the last 5 on 78 points

For Boro to get to 79 before the last 5 they would need 27 points from the other 12 which is 8 wins and 3 draws with 1 defeat Whilst in the same period we would need 5 wins 2 draws and 5 defeats (weve lost 4 all season and 2 of those were v Ipswich, along with 2 3-2 away defeats)

Their last 5 are then as follows and for them a max 10 points
Portsmouth H
Ipswich A
Wednesday H
Watford H
Wrexham A

Boro at home is absolutely massive and unless we totally collapse a win there should be enough
Click to expand...

It being a nice last 5 depends on what teams are playing for

More likely that we’ll play 2 teams scrapping for points (Blackburn & Pompey) and two teams trying to confirm a playoff place (Wrexham & Watford)
 
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skyblue_55

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Trouble were experiencing, is that playing us , is the opposition’s cup final .
We have to raise our game now & show that we are worthy leaders & put these teams to bed
 
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Balli001

Balli001

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shepardo01 said:
In that spell, interesting to see that Boro have four out of six at home - including the next two.
While we have four out of six away!!
Click to expand...
We have 7 of our last 12 at home i beleive and one of those away is the last game.
 
Johnnythespider

Johnnythespider

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wyken on the naze
In the words of Lena Martell (one of my mum's favourites), "One Game at a time sweet Jesus".

It was Day not game, but poetic license is claimed
 
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Mucca Mad Boys

Mucca Mad Boys

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Brighton Sky Blue said:
Average league position of these 6 games for us is 14th, no idea what theirs is. Yes these are 4 away games, but 3 against the bottom half and one against mid table.
Click to expand...
The pundits were putting a lot on our ‘declining’ away record but didn’t really account for the difficult games we had. We’ve played 8 of the top 12 teams away from home. By contrast, we’ve still got to play 2 of the worst teams at home (Norwich & Blackburn), and teams like Bristol City, WBA home form is in decline and finally you had Sheff U who have been crap all year.

Ironically, our two most difficult away games between now and Watford is not Hull. It’s Swansea and then QPR.

I’m sure if we had Sheff W, Derby, Blackburn and so on away in December, we probably win most of them.

Our away games all look winnable and on home form, Swansea looks like our most difficult away games until the final day. QPR
 
itsabuzzard

itsabuzzard

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Otis said:
Yeah, 5 wins in a row, including the cup win. That's what I meant.

They WERE incredibly inconsistent. For sure they were, especially earlier in the season. but this is a different Ipswich team now and they finally seek to have got their act together and got into gear.

I expect them now to win the league.
Click to expand...
I disagree about them winning the league.
 
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Brighton Sky Blue

Brighton Sky Blue

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Mucca Mad Boys said:
The pundits were putting a lot on our ‘declining’ away record but didn’t really account for the difficult games we had. We’ve played 8 of the top 12 teams away from home. By contrast, we’ve still got to play 2 of the worst teams at home (Norwich & Blackburn), and teams like Bristol City, WBA home form is in decline and finally you had Sheff U who have been crap all year.

Ironically, our two most difficult away games between now and Watford is not Hull. It’s Swansea and then QPR.

I’m sure if we had Sheff W, Derby, Blackburn and so on away in December, we probably win most of them.

Our away games all look winnable and on home form, Swansea looks like our most difficult away games until the final day. QPR
Click to expand...
Norwich are now performing far far better than previously, I'd take a point but actually expecting to lose it.
 
Mucca Mad Boys

Mucca Mad Boys

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Brighton Sky Blue said:
Norwich are now performing far far better than previously, I'd take a point but actually expecting to lose it.
Click to expand...
Yes, but their best results have been away from home. Their home record under the new manager is 3-0-2, having lost v Stoke and Watford in their last 2.

Norwich are a relegation candidate team and it’s a game we need to winning. Same as QPR, they’ve really beaten anyone at the top end of the table either.
 
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