Match Thread Coventry City - Derby County Match Thread - Friday 3rd Apr (19 Viewers)

jto123

Well-Known Member
Something about this is telling me a draw. I feel like it’ll be a disjointed match with players coming back from international duty.
 

Captain Dart

Well-Known Member
Nigeria play Jordan tomorrow in Turkey, so unless the tank gets injured he will be in contention.

Im more worried about Lats and EMC making the squad and Wright, Rudoni and BTA getting over injuries. If those 3 are fit to be in the squad then resting EMC and Lats is probably going to happen.
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Frank played and was subbed late on. No indication it was for any reason other than to give Otele a few minutes.
 

SkyBlueTam

Well-Known Member
If Bellend decides to give JDS another 90 mins in that pointless game with Northern Ireland on Tuesday night would not be shocked to see Bidders or KKH thrown in at Left-Back
I watched the game, JDS didn't venture too far forward, spent a lot of the game at walking pace only occasionally breaking out in a sprint & he was back in training this morning. Jay will play.
 

COVKIDSNEVERQUIT

Well-Known Member
And Haji and BTA

I feel a lot better about Friday now 😂😂

Aaron Abrams Parenting GIF by Children Ruin Everything
 

Johhny Blue

Well-Known Member
Derby seemingly struggling with squad issues as well. Lots of injuries to starting players.

Brereton Diaz played twice in New Zealand
Agymang played twice in USA

Latest rumour is Brewster is out.
Szmodics is out.
Zetterstrom & Vickers out (1st & 2nd choice GKs).
Langas out. Batth out.
Johnston out. Elder out.
Thompson out.
What about SISU?
 

ptr

Well-Known Member
Bidwell and Markelo 👀

When they’ve not been pissing about in F1 cars they would have been prepping for Derby all week so I would expect them to be ready. Fitness wise and tactically. Save the others for Monday.
 

Calista

Well-Known Member
One real outlier. The table is based on xGF V xGA l, looks broadly accurate to me
Sheff Utd, Brum, WBA, Wrexham to name a few more. I'm not anti-stats, I just question why anyone would rely on the power of numbers to predict human behaviour, or the power of the past to predict the future.

I mean, people are quoting the forecasts of >98% for the title and virtually 100% for promotion, which just aren't sensible IMHO.
 

Lamps

Well-Known Member
Sheff Utd, Brum, WBA, Wrexham to name a few more. I'm not anti-stats, I just question why anyone would rely on the power of numbers to predict human behaviour, or the power of the past to predict the future.

I mean, people are quoting the forecasts of >98% for the title and virtually 100% for promotion, which just aren't sensible IMHO.
If you look at our lead then consider that those that have a realistic chance of catching us up also still have to play each other then there's only one conclusion.

Two wins from the last 7 games should be enough. We still have Sheffield Wednesday to play. Our worst run of the season would probably be enough yet we're on 7 wins in 8 games.

We lost our last home game. We haven't lost 2 consecutive home games since September 2024. The Derby squad are not in good shape. Win this and that should be promotion taken care of. We have an advantage of over 1 ppg.
 

Calista

Well-Known Member
If you look at our lead then consider that those that have a realistic chance of catching us up also still have to play each other then there's only one conclusion.

Two wins from the last 7 games should be enough. We still have Sheffield Wednesday to play. Our worst run of the season would probably be enough yet we're on 7 wins in 8 games.

We lost our last home game. We haven't lost 2 consecutive home games since September 2024. The Derby squad are not in good shape. Win this and that should be promotion taken care of. We have an advantage of over 1 ppg.
Yes, I agree it's highly likely. It ain't Opta's 99.5% though IMO.
 

Lamps

Well-Known Member
Yes, I agree it's highly likely. It ain't Opta's 99.5% though IMO.
Do you think there's any chance of losing nearly as many games in our last 7 as we have in the previous 39?

If we were in the same position as the other clubs would you even consider catching the side that's at least 9 points ahead and with a superior GD that's just won 7 out of their last 8 games and still has Sheffield Wednesday to play? Then consider that two sides would have to go past us and they also have to play each other. That's unless you think Hull can make it from 14 points behind with just 7 games to go.
 

Calista

Well-Known Member
Do you think there's any chance of losing nearly as many games in our last 7 as we have in the previous 39?

If we were in the same position as the other clubs would you even consider catching the side that's at least 9 points ahead and with a superior GD that's just won 7 out of their last 8 games and still has Sheffield Wednesday to play? Then consider that two sides would have to go past us and they also have to play each other. That's unless you think Hull can make it from 14 points behind with just 7 games to go.
As and when promotion is achieved I imagine you'll say "told you so", which would be completely missing the point 🤷‍♂️

Edit: Opta's prediction implies less than a one in 700 chance of missing out. That's silly.
 
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