For any remaining non-believers (12 Viewers)

[Sky Blue Pete]

Yep, that is indeed true.

Not saying it's going to happen (I don't believe we will lose on Monday), but if we did lose, that would put Ipswich 10 points behind us.

We lose 3 in a row (doesn't have to actually be in a row, could just be over a sequence of games) and they win 3, then they could be just 1 point behind.

Again, not saying it's going to happen, but there is a possibility, so while there still is that possibility, I am not totally convinced we will do it.

Just too many memories of years of struggle and missing out. It does make you a little cynical.

I think it's important we don't lose against Ipswich. Especially as we have been pretty invincible at home.

As others have been saying, a win Monday would be absolutey huge.

6 points too

 

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[Tommo1993]

While there’s still possibilities for us to totally fuck it all up then I’ll keep a lid on it. Wouldn’t mind our ‘natural goalscorers’ chipping in again at some point.

 

[DT-R]

Ipswich and Middlesbrough are still capable of catching us. Win on Monday would be psychologically huge

Us to win, Boro v Hull to finish a draw, Millwall v Bristol to finish a draw, Wrexham to turn PNE over at home! If only Carlsberg made football days

Sent from my SM-S711B using Tapatalk

 

[MikeyMoo]

This season someone has chipped in. First Wright, then BTA, then Simms, now EMC. I expect Rudoni to start up next once he hits his stride…

 

[Sky Blue Pete]

This season someone has chipped in. First Wright, then BTA, then Simms, now EMC. I expect Rudoni to start up next once he hits his stride…

And Thomas hasn’t even started with last minute winners

 

[skybluelee]

It’s got to the stage where we might even sneak third with a point per game from here (relegation form). With half a season left.

 

[COVKIDSNEVERQUIT]

Not after Monday night, who's the referee
for this one?

It doesn't matter who it is because they're all s*** in this league.

 

[wingy]

It doesn't matter who it is because they're all s*** in this league.

Somebody Backhouse 13 Championship matches 40Ys
0 Rs.

 

[skybluelee]

Lets give this thread a bump.

Only 6 teams can now mathematically reach 90 points. Other than Coventry all will need to improve their season's PPG to achieve this. Millwall would need to win 11 or 12/13, Ipswich 12/15, Hull 12/14 and Wrexham 13/13.

Don't fully rule out Leicester. If the Foxes win 19 out of their last 13 matches they could yet put themselves into the mix.

All bar Coventry and Middlesbrough need to be hitting more than 2 ppg from here to reach 85. Coventry would reach this with 6 wins, 2 draws, 5 defeats.

Cheers, PUSB!

 

[Brighton Sky Blue]

Lets give this thread a bump.

Only 6 teams can now mathematically reach 90 points. Other than Coventry all will need to improve their season's PPG to achieve this. Millwall would need to win 11 or 12/13, Ipswich 12/15, Hull 12/14 and Wrexham 13/13.

Don't fully rule out Leicester. If the Foxes win 19 out of their last 13 matches they could yet put themselves into the mix.

All bar Coventry and Middlesbrough need to be hitting more than 2 ppg from here to reach 85. Coventry would reach this with 6 wins, 2 draws, 5 defeats.

Cheers, PUSB!

View attachment 49328

It really would be just our luck if Wednesday maintained 7 PPG from here on in eh

 

[itsabuzzard]

It’s a real challenge to enjoy what’s happening

Ridiculous!

 

[BodicoteSkyBlue]

Tonight’s the night I believed!!

 

[SBAndy]

Looking back, one trend I’ve noticed is that if you get to 70 points by Game 35 (in our instance, the Stoke return fixture) you’re basically there. Only 1 team in the last 15 years has had 70+ points at that time and not gone up automatically: Sheff Utd last season where we had 2 100-point teams. 36 points across the next 20 games feels achievable.

Bump. A win at the weekend….

 

[skybluelee]

Looks better with every passing game. Enjoy.

 

[skybluelee]

Final one of these because frankly the job is done. You can't even get odds on us getting promoted from most bookies now.

Just revel in its beauty. PUSB.

 

[Covkid1968#]

Final one of these because frankly the job is done. You can't even get odds on us getting promoted from most bookies now.

Just revel in its beauty. PUSB.

View attachment 49838

Did that look a bit clearer on a spreadsheet

 

[Covkid1968#]

Did that look a bit clearer on a spreadsheet

Ah it’s opened properly and I can read it… it was all black!! Yes a thing of beauty

 

[Mucca Mad Boys]

Final one of these because frankly the job is done. You can't even get odds on us getting promoted from most bookies now.

Just revel in its beauty. PUSB.

View attachment 49838

We on course to get to 94-96 points and the maximum Boro can get is 96, Millwall and Ipswich can only get 95 points. That’s with each team winning all their which is of course impossible because the aforementioned teams all have to play each other.

I’ll stay true to my prediction for most of the season and say it’ll be us and Ipswich going up automatically. Although I’d like to see Boro and Millwall go up.

 

[clint van damme]

We on course to get to 94-96 points and the maximum Boro can get is 96, Millwall and Ipswich can only get 95 points. That’s with each team winning all their which is of course impossible because the aforementioned teams all have to play each other.

I’ll stay true to my prediction for most of the season and say it’ll be us and Ipswich going up automatically. Although I’d like to see Boro and Millwall go up.

Ipswich are on something like 1.4 PPG for away games.
If they don't improve on that Imnot sure they will make the autos.

 

[Mucca Mad Boys]

Ipswich are on something like 1.4 PPG for away games.
If they don't improve on that Imnot sure they will make the autos.

I’m not worried about them anymore to be honest. Their big advantage is that they host Millwall and Boro and home where they’ve been fantastic, they should hit 50+ points at home which for most seasons is automatic promotion home form.

Their away form is a cause for concern and I’ve been saying it all season. My expectation is that they improve on that PPG against Norwich, Pompey, Charlton and WBA.

Middlesborough have slipped below 2.0 ppg at home which is a red flag because the a top 2 usually has 2.1-2.3 home ppg. Despite having the best away form in the league, it’s 1.8 ppg on the road. They’re looking vulnerable playing Millwall at home now and then they’ve got to go away to Portman Road. I’m just not fancying their chances and believe the wheels will fall off this hype train.

 

[clint van damme]

I’m not worried about them anymore to be honest. Their big advantage is that they host Millwall and Boro and home where they’ve been fantastic, they should hit 50+ points at home which for most seasons is automatic promotion home form.

Their away form is a cause for concern and I’ve been saying it all season. My expectation is that they improve on that PPG against Norwich, Pompey, Charlton and WBA.

Middlesborough have slipped below 2.0 ppg at home which is a red flag because the a top 2 usually has 2.1-2.3 home ppg. Despite having the best away form in the league, it’s 1.8 ppg on the road. They’re looking vulnerable playing Millwall at home now and then they’ve got to go away to Portman Road. I’m just not fancying their chances and believe the wheels will fall off this hype train.

That's all pointing to us and Millwall!

 

[Mucca Mad Boys]

That's all pointing to us and Millwall!

I’d love that, my ideal promotion partners would be Boro and Millwall, that should be 12 points towards the survival fund…

 

[Sick Boy]

Millwall being up there would definitely make some of the London derbies interesting hahaha.

 

[Jamesimus]

Still won’t fully believe until it’s mathematically done and if that day comes, then I will definitely cry.

 

[SIR ERNIE]

Best price for promotion 1/14 Betfair.

 

[marrrkjay_ccfc]

94 points and we are mathematically promoted. That's 17 more points from 9 games.

 

[skybluelee]

Best price for promotion 1/14 Betfair.

That's a huge outlier. Most places that are still offering are giving 1/500. Loads aren't offering anything at all now.

 

[SIR ERNIE]

Win on Saturday and it's very difficult to see two teams overtaking us.

 

[SIR ERNIE]

That's a huge outlier. Most places that are still offering are giving 1/500. Loads aren't offering anything at all now.

That's because they don't want to take bets on cov.
Betfair is the most accurate real time reflection of the likelihood of the event.

 

[Brighton Sky Blue]

I’m not worried about them anymore to be honest. Their big advantage is that they host Millwall and Boro and home where they’ve been fantastic, they should hit 50+ points at home which for most seasons is automatic promotion home form.

Their away form is a cause for concern and I’ve been saying it all season. My expectation is that they improve on that PPG against Norwich, Pompey, Charlton and WBA.

Middlesborough have slipped below 2.0 ppg at home which is a red flag because the a top 2 usually has 2.1-2.3 home ppg. Despite having the best away form in the league, it’s 1.8 ppg on the road. They’re looking vulnerable playing Millwall at home now and then they’ve got to go away to Portman Road. I’m just not fancying their chances and believe the wheels will fall off this hype train.

I'm going to stick my neck out and predict Millwall to get the other automatic spot.

 

[skybluelee]

That's because they don't want to take bets on cov.
Betfair is the most accurate real time reflection of the likelihood of the event.

Implied probability of 1/14 is 93.3%? Feels a touch low at this point.

 

[Otis]

Still won’t fully believe until it’s mathematically done and if that day comes, then I will definitely cry.

I'm still a little nervous. Mad isn't it?

It's back to the "if we fail now, we will fail spectacularly" notion.

I am sure we will do it and go up as champions, but the next three games worry me a little.

Southampton, Swansea, Hull. I don't think we will lose all three (probably won't lose any of them), but they could all prove to be very tough games.

I would be more than happy with a draw on Saturday to be honest, though I do think we have an excellent chance of winning the game.

As for Swansea, that could be a harder task. I think it would be quite helpful if "And The Oscar Goes To-ham" beat them on Friday.

A win for the Swans there and they will just be two points behind their Welsh rivals.

Defeat could leave them 8 points adrift of 6th and knock their confidence quite substantially. 8 points behind with 8 games left would be a very hard ask.

Anyway, I do think these are three tough fixtures for us, but can definitely see us coming out of them at least undefeated.

I just can't bring myself to believe we are there already, though we pretty much are.

 

[Jamesimus]

I'm still a little nervous. Mad isn't it?

It's back to the "if we fail now, we will fail spectacularly" notion.

I am sure we will do it and go up as champions, but the next three games worry me a little.

Southampton, Swansea, Hull. I don't think we will lose all three (probably won't lose any of them), but they could all prove to be very tough games.

I would be more than happy with a draw on Saturday to be honest, though I do think we have an excellent chance of winning the game.

As for Swansea, that could be a harder task. I think it would be quite helpful if "And The Oscar Goes To-ham" beat them on Friday.

A win for the Swans there and they will just be two points behind their Welsh rivals.

Defeat could leave them 8 points adrift of 6th and knock their confidence quite substantially. 8 points behind with 8 games left would be a very hard ask.

Anyway, I do think these are three tough fixtures for us, but can definitely see us coming out of them at least undefeated.

I just can't bring myself to believe we are there already, though we pretty much are.

Would be happy with 5 points from those three tbh.

Southampton somewhat resurgent if you can forget last night, Swansea have an excellent home record, think we can beat Hull.

 

[Brighton Sky Blue]

I'm still a little nervous. Mad isn't it?

It's back to the "if we fail now, we will fail spectacularly" notion.

I am sure we will do it and go up as champions, but the next three games worry me a little.

Southampton, Swansea, Hull. I don't think we will lose all three (probably won't lose any of them), but they could all prove to be very tough games.

I would be more than happy with a draw on Saturday to be honest, though I do think we have an excellent chance of winning the game.

As for Swansea, that could be a harder task. I think it would be quite helpful if "And The Oscar Goes To-ham" beat them on Friday.

A win for the Swans there and they will just be two points behind their Welsh rivals.

Defeat could leave them 8 points adrift of 6th and knock their confidence quite substantially. 8 points behind with 8 games left would be a very hard ask.

Anyway, I do think these are three tough fixtures for us, but can definitely see us coming out of them at least undefeated.

I just can't bring myself to believe we are there already, though we pretty much are.

We have Derby at home before the Hull game, which given their away form isn't much easier I grant.

 

[Otis]

We have Derby at home before the Hull game, which given their away form isn't much easier I grant.

Oh, yeah. I missed that one

Time to show what we are made of.