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Xg table (2 Viewers)

  • Thread starter speedie87
  • Start date Sep 2, 2024
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B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 3, 2024
  • #36
Perennial Lurker said:
Didn't someone post a stat last season ,when this was discussed for the eleventy billionth time , that less then 2% of corners result in goals across all 4 divisions
Click to expand...
Yeah, I was more interested in the stats regarding bringing everyone back vs leaving players up.
 
P

Perennial Lurker

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 3, 2024
  • #37
Brighton Sky Blue said:
Yeah, I was more interested in the stats regarding bringing everyone back vs leaving players up.
Click to expand...
Well seeing as that's what pretty much all teams do these days I would imagine the stat is pretty much the same .
There seems to be a silly idea that we are the only team to do it but every team I've seen us play this season do the same .
Only thing that annoys me is other teams seem to transition a lot quicker than we do currently from defending a set piece
 
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 3, 2024
  • #38
Perennial Lurker said:
Well seeing as that's what pretty much all teams do these days I would imagine the stat is pretty much the same .
There seems to be a silly idea that we are the only team to do it but every team I've seen is play this season do the same .
Only thing that annoys me is other teams seem to transition a lot quicker than we do currently from defending a set piece
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I don’t think anyone’s said we’re the only team doing it. Just a modern ‘meta’ that I don’t like and don’t really agree with.

However, whatever the benefits of it are, we must clearly be doing it wrong as we’re unconvincing on the corners and really bad at breaking away if we do win the ball in.
 
Reactions: Sky_Blue_Dreamer and Perennial Lurker
P

Perennial Lurker

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 3, 2024
  • #39
Brighton Sky Blue said:
I don’t think anyone’s said we’re the only team doing it. Just a modern ‘meta’ that I don’t like and don’t really agree with.

However, whatever the benefits of it are, we must clearly be doing it wrong as we’re unconvincing on the corners and really bad at breaking away if we do win the ball in.
Click to expand...
Totally agree, we've played teams like Oxford at home who transitioned very quickly and looked dangerous doing it
 

Sky_Blue_Dreamer

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 5, 2024
  • #40
Brighton Sky Blue said:
I don’t think anyone’s said we’re the only team doing it. Just a modern ‘meta’ that I don’t like and don’t really agree with.

However, whatever the benefits of it are, we must clearly be doing it wrong as we’re unconvincing on the corners and really bad at breaking away if we do win the ball in.
Click to expand...
Yep. We seem to set up wrong to pick up the second balls. If we are bringing people back some at least need to be patrolling the edge of the area. We just seem to stay in the box waiting for the ball to come back in. And if we do win it no-one busts a gut to get up the field.
 

Sky_Blue_Dreamer

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 5, 2024
  • #41
Jamesimus said:
Tell us why then?
Click to expand...
Ain't nothin' but a quick break.
Ain't nothin' but a mistake.
 
Reactions: Jamesimus and Brighton Sky Blue

Evo1883

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 17, 2024
  • #42
 
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C

Cally Fedora

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 17, 2024
  • #43
Our problem is the Xg against us.
 

Evo1883

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 17, 2024
  • #44
Cally Fedora said:
Our problem is the Xg against us.
Click to expand...

That's not particularly bad tbh
 
Reactions: fernandopartridge and Cally Fedora
C

Cally Fedora

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 17, 2024
  • #45
Evo1883 said:
That's not particularly bad tbh
Click to expand...
My perception is we’re quite sieve like
 

SeaSeeEffCee

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 17, 2024
  • #46
I think 5 games is too soon to be looking at xG tbh. Can be completely thrown off by one good or one bad game.
 
Reactions: stupot07 and Hincha

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 17, 2024
  • #47
SeaSeeEffCee said:
I think 5 games is too soon to be looking at xG tbh. Can be completely thrown off by one good or one bad game.
Click to expand...

I wonder what it is if you remove the first half v Watford and the second vs Oxford.
 

Evo1883

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 17, 2024
  • #48
The xg table is fine as it's showing all 24 teams .. be it 5 or 20 games won't matter
 

SBAndy

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 18, 2024
  • #49
shmmeee said:
I wonder what it is if you remove the first half v Watford and the second vs Oxford.
Click to expand...

Just gone off data I can access but if you stripped them out and then brought back up to 5 games on an ‘average’ basis we’d be 10th. XG of 4.13 vs XGA of 3.18.
 
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Mucca Mad Boys

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 18, 2024
  • #50
SBAndy said:
Just gone off data I can access but if you stripped them out and then brought back up to 5 games on an ‘average’ basis we’d be 10th. XG of 4.13 vs XGA of 3.18.
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What would the numbers look like if we stripped out the Stoke first half or Bristol second half?

This is rhetorical because there’s no good manipulating the data to wipe out by far our two strongest half performances.

To be 10th despite wiping that out shows that the performances aren’t as bad as people think as a whole. Things will pick up!
 
Reactions: CovLis86

SBAndy

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 18, 2024
  • #51
Mucca Mad Boys said:
What would the numbers look like if we stripped out the Stoke first half or Bristol second half?

This is rhetorical because there’s no good manipulating the data to wipe out by far our two strongest half performances.

To be 10th despite wiping that out shows that the performances aren’t as bad as people think as a whole. Things will pick up!
Click to expand...

Tend to agree. It works on the assumption that no other team has had ‘outlier’ halves.
 
Reactions: Evo1883 and SkyBlueSam01
H

Hincha

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 18, 2024
  • #52
I’m a big xg advocate but not after 5 games. We’ve yet to play a side who are favourites to be in the top 6 at the end of the season.

The next international break is when data will begin to take shape.
 

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 18, 2024
  • #53
Mucca Mad Boys said:
What would the numbers look like if we stripped out the Stoke first half or Bristol second half?

This is rhetorical because there’s no good manipulating the data to wipe out by far our two strongest half performances.

To be 10th despite wiping that out shows that the performances aren’t as bad as people think as a whole. Things will pick up!
Click to expand...

It was more “those were two very high xG performance and not representative of our start, so how bad is the bit people are moaning at?” Agree 10th isn’t bad, but it’s not particularly good either (data caveats accepted)
 

Evo1883

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 18, 2024
  • #54
Good job our overall open play XG is 4th and not 10th then
 
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Mucca Mad Boys

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 18, 2024
  • #55
shmmeee said:
It was more “those were two very high xG performance and not representative of our start, so how bad is the bit people are moaning at?” Agree 10th isn’t bad, but it’s not particularly good either (data caveats accepted)
Click to expand...

That’s 10th compared to all the other teams without the same adjustments i.e. removing their 2 best xG halves. By the sounds of it, that adjustment means we’re comparing Cov’s 4 games versus everyone else’s 5 games. The data manipulation means the 2 best indicators of performance have been removed.

On a side note, I think the Oxford 2nd half has a similar xG to Oxford 1st half.
 
Reactions: shmmeee

Evo1883

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 18, 2024
  • #56
Mucca Mad Boys said:
That’s 10th compared to all the other teams without the same adjustments i.e. removing their 2 best xG halves. By the sounds of it, that adjustment means we’re comparing Cov’s 4 games versus everyone else’s 5 games. The data manipulation means the 2 best indicators of performance have been removed.

On a side note, I think the Oxford 2nd half has a similar xG to Oxford 1st half.
Click to expand...
First half 1.13 second half 1.83
 
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Mucca Mad Boys

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 18, 2024
  • #57
Evo1883 said:
First half 1.13 second half 1.83
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Checks out to me, their keeper made 2-3 top draw saves and Haji Wright’s winner alone would be at least 0.4 to 0.6 xG - about the same as a penalty.

Our performances, whilst they haven’t been where they need to be, haven’t been as bad as some have made out. In my view, we’ll be rewarded with some good results in the coming weeks.
 
Reactions: wingy

fernandopartridge

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 18, 2024
  • #58
Cally Fedora said:
My perception is we’re quite sieve like
Click to expand...
Not at all
 
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 18, 2024
  • #59
SBAndy said:
Just gone off data I can access but if you stripped them out and then brought back up to 5 games on an ‘average’ basis we’d be 10th. XG of 4.13 vs XGA of 3.18.
Click to expand...
Then the sample size is so small it’s even more meaningless than it already is. It probably isn’t controversial to say we’ve underperformed what we expected but it’s just 5 games at the start of the season.
 

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 18, 2024
  • #60
Mucca Mad Boys said:
That’s 10th compared to all the other teams without the same adjustments i.e. removing their 2 best xG halves. By the sounds of it, that adjustment means we’re comparing Cov’s 4 games versus everyone else’s 5 games. The data manipulation means the 2 best indicators of performance have been removed.

On a side note, I think the Oxford 2nd half has a similar xG to Oxford 1st half.
Click to expand...

Well removing them was the point. I was curious of their impact.
 

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 18, 2024
  • #61
fernandopartridge said:
Not at all
Click to expand...

I think as well we’ve moved from a system that protects the keeper and defends in numbers to something more expansive. When we had Wilson in goal we had a ridiculously low xGA.
 

Mucca Mad Boys

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 18, 2024
  • #62
shmmeee said:
Well removing them was the point. I was curious of their impact.
Click to expand...
I understood the point perfectly. What I’m pointing out is that the quality of the data is poor and not v useful. I’m sure most teams around us would have similar drop offs if we did the same exercise to each of the 23 other teams. So the table would be mostly unchanged.
 
C

Cally Fedora

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 18, 2024
  • #63
fernandopartridge said:
Not at all
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Why not? All the clean sheets?
 

Robinshio

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 18, 2024
  • #64
We won on xg again tonight. Means nothing
 

Evo1883

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 19, 2024
  • #65
Robinshio said:
We won on xg again tonight. Means nothing
Click to expand...
Actually it means that we are creating good chances.

Which means something
 
Reactions: Mucca Mad Boys, Jamesimus, MusicDating and 1 other person

Evo1883

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 2, 2024
  • #66
Evo1883 said:
Yes last season showed similar, we should be scoring goals basically .. players like simms have to start stepping up

People don't like xg tables but they show a clear underperforming of the players infront of goal

Ironically , the xgA table shows we are conceding somewhat crappy goals too
Click to expand...

We are the leagues joint 5th highest scorers but slightly underperforming our XG .

However , 6 goals in the last 2 games show that we are very capable of creating and scoring good chances , get it right at the back and it's 22/23 all over again
 
Reactions: Ring Of Steel and Perennial Lurker

clint van damme

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 2, 2024
  • #67
Evo1883 said:
We are the leagues joint 5th highest scorers but slightly underperforming our XG .

However , 6 goals in the last 2 games show that we are very capable of creating and scoring good chances , get it right at the back and it's 22/23 all over again
Click to expand...

I still think part of the getting it right at the back includes getting it right in midfield
I can't quite out my finger on it but there's definitely a vulnerability there
 
Reactions: SkyBlueSam01, Evo1883 and Ring Of Steel

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 2, 2024
  • #68
clint van damme said:
I still think part of the getting it right at the back includes getting it right in midfield
I can't quite out my finger on it but there's definitely a vulnerability there
Click to expand...

We’re still played through too easily for me, if we don’t win the press the ball is by our area.
 
Reactions: Hiraeth and clint van damme

Mucca Mad Boys

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 2, 2024
  • #69
Evo1883 said:
Actually it means that we are creating good chances.

Which means something
Click to expand...
It’s only the armchair managers who seem to disregard xG.

All xG is a barometer of performance. When people were calling for Robins to be sacked, the underlying data showed our performances weren’t as bad as the league table showed.

The last 2 performances have shown that and you take Haji’s disallowed goal v PNE (I mention this because it should’ve stood) out… Our form could’ve looked a lot better from the false dawn v Blackburn.
 
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 3, 2024
  • #70
Mucca Mad Boys said:
It’s only the armchair managers who seem to disregard xG.

All xG is a barometer of performance. When people were calling for Robins to be sacked, the underlying data showed our performances weren’t as bad as the league table showed.

The last 2 performances have shown that and you take Haji’s disallowed goal v PNE (I mention this because it should’ve stood) out… Our form could’ve looked a lot better from the false dawn v Blackburn.
Click to expand...
Perhaps, although that Sheffield W performance was God awful.
 
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