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What’s your expectation for the new guy? (1 Viewer)

  • Thread starter shmmeee
  • Start date Nov 10, 2024
Forums New posts

What’s the bare minimum you expect from the new manager?

  • Avoid relegation

    Votes: 15 5.8%
  • Comfortably mid table

    Votes: 38 14.7%
  • Top half

    Votes: 43 16.7%
  • Top ten

    Votes: 67 26.0%
  • Playoffs

    Votes: 86 33.3%
  • Autos

    Votes: 9 3.5%

  • Total voters
    258
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T

The watchmaker

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 11, 2024
  • #316
Grendel said:
If we average 2 points a game from today we may make the play offs. To be able to achieve that would be improbable to say the least.

Plymouth and Cardiff has as much chance as us at this stage.
Click to expand...
We are 9th favourite for promotion with the bookies at 20/1. You can get 750/1 on Plymouth. You should lump on!!
 
Reactions: Skyblueweeman

Nick

Administrator
  • Nov 11, 2024
  • #317
clint van damme said:
Not sure what the big risk would have been?
People are saying you can't expect the new man to get play offs, which I agree with, only a fool thinks we were heading for relegation, so either way, bar something extraordinary, we're heading for mid table.
Click to expand...

Yes but thats because of the awful start.

That's why I have said if it was July now then of course the expectation should be the same if not higher.
 

clint van damme

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 11, 2024
  • #318
stupot07 said:
It was completely different
Click to expand...

Thought it might be!
 
Reactions: Skyblueweeman and Ring Of Steel

Ring Of Steel

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 11, 2024
  • #319
clint van damme said:
Not sure what the big risk would have been?
People are saying you can't expect the new man to get play offs, which I agree with, only a fool thinks we were heading for relegation, so either way, bar something extraordinary, we're heading for mid table.
Click to expand...

The silly relegation talk is just blatantly attempting to lower expectation, we all know that.
 

Nick

Administrator
  • Nov 11, 2024
  • #320
clint van damme said:
Thought it might be!
Click to expand...

He literally explained why.
 

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 11, 2024
  • #321
Ring Of Steel said:
The silly relegation talk is just blatantly attempting to lower expectation, we all know that.
Click to expand...

How many points are we off relegation as it stands?
 
Reactions: Ring Of Steel

stupot07

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 11, 2024
  • #322
Nick said:
He literally explained why.
Click to expand...
Funnily enough he deleted that bit from the quote.
 

clint van damme

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 11, 2024
  • #323
Nick said:
Yes but thats because of the awful start.

That's why I have said if it was July now then of course the expectation should be the same if not higher.
Click to expand...

So we've got rid of Robins to get to the same place we were heading anyway?

The whole thing makes no sense.
 
Reactions: robbiethemole, Skyblueweeman, SkyBlueMatt and 1 other person

Nick

Administrator
  • Nov 11, 2024
  • #324
Ring Of Steel said:
The silly relegation talk is just blatantly attempting to lower expectation, we all know that.
Click to expand...

Or it's because we were outside the relegation zone on goal difference when he was sacked.
 

Nick

Administrator
  • Nov 11, 2024
  • #325
clint van damme said:
So we've got rid of Robins to get to the same place we were heading anyway?

The whole thing makes no sense.
Click to expand...

Well by the start of next season the aim is to not give everybody else a 15 game head start.
 
Reactions: TomRad85 and Grendel

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 11, 2024
  • #326
clint van damme said:
So we've got rid of Robins to get to the same place we were heading anyway?

The whole thing makes no sense.
Click to expand...

No one can say where we were heading but the trajectory was going downwards for the second season in a row
 
Reactions: TomRad85

clint van damme

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 11, 2024
  • #327
Nick said:
He literally explained why.
Click to expand...

It's nonsense to say its completely different. There are huge parallels even if it isn't an identical situation.
And I'm fairly sure you were one of the ones at the time saying the pitch debacle wasn't an excuse!
 

clint van damme

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 11, 2024
  • #328
Nick said:
Well by the start of next season the aim is to not give everybody else a 15 game head start.
Click to expand...

Indeed. But we've been there before.
But now we've got a new man coming inside you're all downgrading your expectations, its bizarre.
 
Reactions: Skyblueweeman

Nick

Administrator
  • Nov 11, 2024
  • #329
clint van damme said:
It's nonsense to say its completely different. There are huge parallels even if it isn't an identical situation.
And I'm fairly sure you were one of the ones at the time saying the pitch debacle wasn't an excuse!
Click to expand...

I am saying why it's different from now. We haven't got 2 games in hand, we haven't had an interruption to the start of the season.
 

covcity4life

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 11, 2024
  • #330
clint van damme said:
Not sure what the big risk would have been?
People are saying you can't expect the new man to get play offs, which I agree with, only a fool thinks we were heading for relegation, so either way, bar something extraordinary, we're heading for mid table.
Click to expand...
I agree we were not gonna get relegated but to be fair the people angry robins is gone were also on here panicking about relegation I remember. It's just they were blaming it on recruitment and Doug.
 

Ring Of Steel

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 11, 2024
  • #331
clint van damme said:
Indeed. But we've been there before.
But now we've got a new man coming inside you're all downgrading your expectations, it’s bizarre.
Click to expand...

but not surprising tbh
 

clint van damme

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 11, 2024
  • #332
Grendel said:
No one can say where we were heading but the trajectory was going downwards for the second season in a row
Click to expand...

Even the biggest anti Robins cheerleader on here admits there's no way we were going to be in acceleration scrap.

It's pretty clear.
 
Reactions: Ring Of Steel and Skyblueweeman

honestken

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 11, 2024
  • #333
shmmeee said:
What it says. What will justify the sacking for you?

Talking this season specifically.
Click to expand...
Instant Success
 

clint van damme

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 11, 2024
  • #334
covcity4life said:
I agree we were not gonna get relegated but to be fair the people angry robins is gone were also on here panicking about relegation I remember. It's just they were blaming it on recruitment and Doug.
Click to expand...

Well I still do put a lot of blame on King for this mess.
I've criticised Robins, but even the mistakes I've criticised him for perhaps don't happen if he been allowed to continue with an assistant, we'll never know for sure either way
 
Reactions: covcity4life

Nick

Administrator
  • Nov 11, 2024
  • #335
clint van damme said:
Indeed. But we've been there before.
But now we've got a new man coming inside you're all downgrading your expectations, its bizarre.
Click to expand...

It's really not hard to grasp. The expectations are different to the start of the season because we are 15 games in, 1 point above relegation.

If we were 15 games in and 10 points clear at the top, the expectations would be different again.

If it was now pre season, the expectation would be different.
 
Reactions: skybluecam

clint van damme

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 11, 2024
  • #336
Nick said:
I am saying why it's different from now. We haven't got 2 games in hand, we haven't had an interruption to the start of the season.
Click to expand...

But I said there are parallels, which there clearly are, I never said its an identical situation
Same as last season, when we went on a great run. Lot of similarities.
 

Skyblueweeman

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 11, 2024
  • #337
Grendel said:
Our record against top half teams last season was atrocious and we accumulate a large amount of points last season against the lower teams.

We have already lost to poor teams at home this season - the home form has been dire.

We will need around 60 points to get the play offs from where we are now. That is auto promotion form
Click to expand...

It could be less than 60 points to get to the POs. Like I said, this season it seems to be a poorer division so previous totals might not be needed.

We're still only 8 points off the play offs with 31 games to go.

31 games to go. THIRTY. ONE.

That's a huge amount of games.

We've currently got one more point than same time last season and we finished 9th. We finished 9 points off POs and you'll know that we tailed off due to the FA Cup run.

This time last season, Leicester were top on 39 points. Sunderland currently have 31 points.

This time last season, the difference between 6th and last was 19 points. This season its 15 points.

The league is much tighter this season, more condensed so it won't take as much as it did last season to get to the POs.

And to repeat - there's still THIRTY-ONE games to go.
 
Reactions: robbiethemole, Calista, DazzleTommyDazzle and 1 other person

edgy

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 11, 2024
  • #338
Unfortunately the new chap is inheriting a misfiring front line with Haji expected to be out for a lengthy period.
 

clint van damme

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 11, 2024
  • #339
Nick said:
It's really not hard to grasp. The expectations are different to the start of the season because we are 15 games in, 1 point above relegation.

If we were 15 games in and 10 points clear at the top, the expectations would be different again.

If it was now pre season, the expectation would be different.
Click to expand...

I'm not the one who's changed my expectations, I'd have been fine with finishing 9th - 11th under Robins, I'll be fine with that from the new fella.

I'll leave the goal post moving to the Robins out brigade.
 
Reactions: Skyblueweeman and Ring Of Steel

Nick

Administrator
  • Nov 11, 2024
  • #340
clint van damme said:
I'm not the one who's changed my expectations, I'd have been fine with finishing 9th - 11th under Robins, I'll be fine with that from the new fella.

I'll leave the goal post moving to the Robins out brigade.
Click to expand...

In pre season, 11th was acceptable?
 

clint van damme

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 11, 2024
  • #341
edgy said:
Unfortunately the new chap is inheriting a misfiring front line with Haji expected to be out for a lengthy period.
Click to expand...

Yet only 5 teams have scored more goals than us.
Yes, losing Haji is a big blow but time for Simms to step up.
 
Reactions: edgy and Skyblueweeman

clint van damme

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 11, 2024
  • #342
Nick said:
In pre season, 11th was acceptable?
Click to expand...

For me, though obviously I'd hope for more.
I know I'm in a minority but this is a tough league with several teams fighting for realistically 1 promotion place. I don't think we have a right to be top 6 though I do think we should be in the play off shake up going in to the final few weeks of the season, which we have been for the last 3 seasons.
 
Reactions: Calista and Skyblueweeman

Skyblueweeman

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 11, 2024
  • #343
SBT said:
There are ten teams outside the top six in this supposedly weak division who are currently in an even more advantageous position. What makes you so convinced they are all likely to underachieve for the rest of the season as we turn things round en route to the playoffs?
Click to expand...

See post #338.

We don't know anything - which is why people can't say we won't make POs.

What's our xG that people keep on banging on about?? 4th/5th in the table.

It works both ways.
 

Skyblueweeman

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 11, 2024
  • #344
Grendel said:
Our record against top half teams last season was atrocious and we accumulate a large amount of points last season against the lower teams.

We have already lost to poor teams at home this season - the home form has been dire.

We will need around 60 points to get the play offs from where we are now. That is auto promotion form
Click to expand...

Oh and also...

You say we've lost to poor teams this season. We have.

But we've also taken 8 points from the top 10 teams this season whereas this time last season, we only had 2 points from the top 10 teams after 15 games.

Doesn't matter how you paint it - we're still marginally better off than this time last season, in a division that's statistically worse/tighter than last season so theoretically, barring a good cup run again, there's a better chance of reaching the top 6 than last season - given it's tighter.

Losing Wright for extended period of time is our biggest issue at the minute (on the pitch).
 
Reactions: clint van damme and Ring Of Steel

Calista

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 11, 2024
  • #345
clint van damme said:
So we've got rid of Robins to get to the same place we were heading anyway?
Click to expand...
It's most likely worse than that, taking a longer term view. Robins' tenure here for so many years was pretty much unique. The way it works across English football is that managers are churned on a very regular basis. If you don't deliver success within a couple of years (statistically most likely because every year the vast majority of teams don't get promoted or win a trophy) you are deemed a failure and replaced, and the cycle begins again.

The club has now signed up for that tombola, which is the natural consequence of removing Robins, and I assume those who wanted him out are cool with it.
 
Reactions: Ring Of Steel

chiefdave

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 11, 2024
  • #346
Ring Of Steel said:
all this pissing around with models and justifications- they just wanted him gone and now are scrabbling around getting the excuses ready in case it turns out it was a bad move after all. Incredibly transparent.
Click to expand...
There's already people making excuses for next season, let alone this one! Heard people saying how hard the championship will be next season with Prem clubs being relegated and that is unrealistic to assume a new manager will be pushing for promotion next year, its crazy.
 
Reactions: Ring Of Steel, clint van damme, Calista and 1 other person
S

SBT

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 11, 2024
  • #347
Skyblueweeman said:
See post #338.

We don't know anything - which is why people can't say we won't make POs.

What's our xG that people keep on banging on about?? 4th/5th in the table.

It works both ways.
Click to expand...
Of course it does, and I agree our xG stats suggest there are better performances likely ahead. But there is no guarantee of it coming to pass and the first 15 games have put us at a huge disadvantage.

A one-point gap is much easier to close than an 8-point one, and whether that’s for a team ahead of us in the playoff race, or a team behind us looking to drag us into the relegation zone, atm that would sadly seem the more likely scenario than us making the playoffs, whoever was managing us.
 

FergieTheFinisher

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 11, 2024
  • #348
I think it is quite a stretch to say Robins has made playoffs before therefore the new guy must do better than that in his first part season.

As the saying goes “Past performance is not indicative of future results” and this is never truer than in football. Who knows whether Robins would have turned this around or whether the wheels were coming off.

To my mind we are currently 9-13 points away from playoff spots. If we were to finish the season 9-13 points below playoff spots then the new guy will have demonstrated playoff form. Ie. We would be performing as well as the playoff teams. Anything better than that would be nearer auto form.

I worry an unfair judgement will be made on whether we do or do not make playoffs. The need for bedding in of new coaches and styles may take several games at minimum.
 
T

The watchmaker

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 11, 2024
  • #349
Calista said:
It's most likely worse than that, taking a longer term view. Robins' tenure here for so many years was pretty much unique. The way it works across English football is that managers are churned on a very regular basis. If you don't deliver success within a couple of years (statistically most likely because every year the vast majority of teams don't get promoted or win a trophy) you are deemed a failure and replaced, and the cycle begins again.

The club has now signed up for that tombola, which is the natural consequence of removing Robins, and I assume those who wanted him out are cool with it.
Click to expand...
Having had the same manager for 7 years we are talking about sacking Lampard before he has been appointed.
 

Shannerz

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 11, 2024
  • #350
The watchmaker said:
Having had the same manager for 7 years we are talking about sacking Lampard before he has been appointed.
Click to expand...
A better bet would be to not appoint him in the first place.
 
Reactions: play_in_skyblue_stripes
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