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USSR invades Ukraine. (8 Viewers)

  • Thread starter Alan Dugdales Moustache
  • Start date Feb 22, 2022
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Evo1883

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 1, 2022
  • #1,401
Brighton Sky Blue said:
Erm I did say multiple times we won’t do anything because Putin has held the nuclear deterrent as a threat to anyone who intervenes. If he did it to Estonia would NATO really go all in to defend it?

The deterrent doesn’t work if one side really is willing to hit the button
Click to expand...

I personally think , might be just me .. NATO would have no choice to react or Russia would never take them seriously again .. putin is mad but not thick
 
Last edited: Mar 1, 2022
Reactions: RegTheDonk

Sky Blue Pete

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 1, 2022
  • #1,402
Brighton Sky Blue said:
Alternatively it’s do something while the invasion’s logistics are still poor and the forces lack cohesion.
Click to expand...
I mean the thing is even the experts don’t know what happens but doing nothing is wrong as is poking and provoking. They both come wth consequences
 
Reactions: Otis
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 1, 2022
  • #1,403
Evo1883 said:
I personally think , might be just me .. NATO would have no choice to react or Russia would never take themselves seriously again .. putin is mad but not thick
Click to expand...

So we would potentially risk the planet for a country of a million?
 

Evo1883

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 1, 2022
  • #1,404
Brighton Sky Blue said:
Would he bomb the UN?
Click to expand...

Countries responsible , many already NATO members
 

skybluetony176

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 1, 2022
  • #1,405
Grendel said:
So now you know more than the western intelligence and Military experts.
Click to expand...
You mean the ones that are pursuing a course of sanctions that you say won’t work. Wait. Are you saying that you know more than western intelligence and military experts.
 

Sky Blue Pete

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 1, 2022
  • #1,406
Evo1883 said:
Why wouldn't they react with the bombing of responsible countries ?
Click to expand...
Wouldn’t be proportionate
 

Evo1883

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 1, 2022
  • #1,407
Brighton Sky Blue said:
So we would potentially risk the planet for a country of a million?
Click to expand...

Actually NATO would show its prepared to back every one of its almost 1 billion people ... as it should
 
Reactions: RegTheDonk

Evo1883

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 1, 2022
  • #1,408
Sky Blue Pete said:
Wouldn’t be proportionate
Click to expand...

Major conflicts only need a small trigger , look at WW1 , that didn't seem proportionate
 
Reactions: Sky_Blue_Dreamer, Deleted member 9744, Deleted member 5849 and 1 other person
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 1, 2022
  • #1,409
Sky Blue Pete said:
I mean the thing is even the experts don’t know what happens but doing nothing is wrong as is poking and provoking. They both come wth consequences
Click to expand...

I simply think this idea of giving up Ukraine with the thought that Putin in good faith will co-operate afterwards is mad. He isn’t a rational actor, that much is very clear
 
Reactions: shmmeee, skybluetony176, Otis and 1 other person

Sky Blue Pete

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 1, 2022
  • #1,410
Evo1883 said:
Actually NATO would show its prepared to back every one of its almost 1 billion people ... as it should
Click to expand...
It’s a strange world
 
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 1, 2022
  • #1,411
Evo1883 said:
Actually NATO would show its prepared to back every one of its almost 1 billion people ... as it should
Click to expand...

So we do that for Estonia but let Ukraine go? Sorry just not getting it
 
Reactions: Sky Blue Pete

Sky Blue Pete

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 1, 2022
  • #1,412
Evo1883 said:
Major conflicts only need a small trigger , look at WW1 , that didn't seem proportionate
Click to expand...
I know
 

tisza

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 1, 2022
  • #1,413
Evo1883 said:
Actually NATO would show its prepared to back every one of its almost 1 billion people ... as it should
Click to expand...
Then we get into the nuclear weapon and MAD discussions. An all- out conflict between NATO and Russia would surely cost more than a million lives ( the approx population of Estonia)
 
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 1, 2022
  • #1,414
skybluetony176 said:
You mean the ones that are pursuing a course of sanctions that you say won’t work. Wait. Are you saying that you know more than western intelligence and military experts.
Click to expand...

G thought we should do nothing at all. The strategists disagreed
 
Reactions: skybluetony176

Sky Blue Pete

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 1, 2022
  • #1,415
tisza said:
Then we get into the nuclear weapon and MAD discussions. An all- out conflict between NATO and Russia would surely cost more than a million lives ( the approx population of Estonia)
Click to expand...
It would
 
P

PVA

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 1, 2022
  • #1,416
It's really quite simple.

NATO is a defensive alliance. It will defend it's members. It will not act as World Police and defend non-members.

Whether you agree with it or not, that's the reality.
 
Reactions: Jagmannn, RegTheDonk, LastGarrison and 4 others

Evo1883

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 1, 2022
  • #1,417
Brighton Sky Blue said:
So we do that for Estonia but let Ukraine go? Sorry just not getting it
Click to expand...

Might not be right , but will definitely saves millions of lives
 

skybluetony176

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 1, 2022
  • #1,418
Brighton Sky Blue said:
I meant while you were belittling my job what do you do of such grand importance?
Click to expand...
He’s a retired gateman from JLR.
 
Reactions: Ccfcisparks, Brighton Sky Blue and Bugsy

Sky Blue Pete

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 1, 2022
  • #1,419
Brighton Sky Blue said:
G thought we should do nothing at all. The strategists disagreed
Click to expand...
To be fair I think he was saying as we don’t care about others we shouldn’t care about ukrainites
 

Evo1883

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 1, 2022
  • #1,420
Brighton Sky Blue said:
G thought we should do nothing at all. The strategists disagreed
Click to expand...

I think sanctions are different to military intervention
 

Houchens Head

Fairly well known member from Malvern
  • Mar 1, 2022
  • #1,421
My missus' relations all live in a village in Ukraine. Her mum was born there, but back then, it was part of Poland. Then WW2 came, and the Russians took over and made it part of the USSR. Now it's part of Ukraine. The village is called Tomashhorod (Ukrainian is Томашгород and Polish is Tomaszgród )
This is why we are both taking a keen interest in what is happening.
.

 
Reactions: duffer, skybluetony176, Sky Blue Pete and 2 others

Evo1883

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 1, 2022
  • #1,422
This is only my opinion , could be totally wrong at the end of it all ..
 
Reactions: Sky Blue Pete and Otis

Evo1883

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 1, 2022
  • #1,423
Houchens Head said:
My missus' relations all live in a village in Ukraine. Her mum was born there, but back then, it was part of Poland. Then WW2 came, and the Russians took over and made it part of the USSR. Now it's part of Ukraine. The village is called Tomashhorod (Ukrainian is Томашгород and Polish is Tomaszgród )
This is why we are both taking a keen interest in what is happening.
.

View attachment 24016
Click to expand...
Hope they stay safe
 
Reactions: duffer, GaryMabbuttsLeftKnee, Houchens Head and 3 others

Evo1883

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 1, 2022
  • #1,424
You'd have to imagine though that if military intervention was to happen .. it would already have happened by now
 
Reactions: Sky Blue Pete
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 1, 2022
  • #1,425
PVA said:
It's really quite simple.

NATO is a defensive alliance. It will defend it's members. It will not act as World Police and defend non-members.

Whether you agree with it or not, that's the reality.
Click to expand...

If he invaded the Baltic states I highly doubt this defensive alliance would go toe to toe with him over it. We are dealing with someone who has clearly lost control over his senses. With the enormous landmass Russia has he’s got the least to fear of a nuclear attack out of anyone.

He genuinely can use it as a threat to invade wherever he pleases as current developments show
 

tisza

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 1, 2022
  • #1,426
Brighton Sky Blue said:
I simply think this idea of giving up Ukraine with the thought that Putin in good faith will co-operate afterwards is mad. He isn’t a rational actor, that much is very clear
Click to expand...
We had the Budapest agreement. Russia wouldn't threaten Ukrainian territorial integrity if it gave up it nuclear weapons. Putin's argument is that he signed that with a pro- Moscow govt and this one isn't. So the treaty is not longer valid.
The territorial arguments that Ukraine historically belongs to Russia he has also repeated about those former Warsaw Pact countries that are now members of NATO.
 
Reactions: Otis and Brighton Sky Blue
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 1, 2022
  • #1,427
Evo1883 said:
I think sanctions are different to military intervention
Click to expand...

G said we should just let them get on with it
 

skybluetony176

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 1, 2022
  • #1,428
Evo1883 said:
I think sanctions are different to military intervention
Click to expand...
Depends what you define as military intervention. We’ve helped arm and train Ukraine army for a few years and upped the arms supply in the last few weeks and months.
 

Evo1883

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 1, 2022
  • #1,429
Brighton Sky Blue said:
If he invaded the Baltic states I highly doubt this defensive alliance would go toe to toe with him over it. We are dealing with someone who has clearly lost control over his senses. With the enormous landmass Russia has he’s got the least to fear of a nuclear attack out of anyone.

He genuinely can use it as a threat to invade wherever he pleases as current developments show
Click to expand...

Not really mate , 75% of its population live in 23% of its land mass
 
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 1, 2022
  • #1,430
Evo1883 said:
Not really mate , 75% of its population live in 23% of its land mass
Click to expand...

That’s a sacrifice he’s likely willing to make
 
C

CCFCSteve

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 1, 2022
  • #1,431
Brighton Sky Blue said:
Erm I did say multiple times we won’t do anything because Putin has held the nuclear deterrent as a threat to anyone who intervenes. If he did it to Estonia would NATO really go all in to defend it?

The deterrent doesn’t work if one side really is willing to hit the button
Click to expand...

I think all nato members are treaty bound to assist if Estonia asked for help. Putin knows this.

I understand both sides of the argument and however painful it is I’m really not sure us or any other nato members would currently risk nuclear war by getting involved militarily. We’re hoping the longer game works and fingers crossed it does.

I saw one poll at the very start of the invasion and a majority of people wouldn’t even support sanctions if it increased costs for them personally…yet many would happily send our troops in…I mean WTF ?!! I hope views have changed since then and people accept a bit of extra cost for the greater good…I think the sanctions will work but it will take time

edit - bigger issue in short to medium term is if he starts trying to pick off other smaller non-nato members which he might well try to do
 
Reactions: Otis

David O'Day

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 1, 2022
  • #1,432
skybluetony176 said:
It looks like the Ukrainians are fighting for more than their president. Not sure what him personally surrendering will achieve.
Click to expand...

Nothing, if the Russian take Kiev and install a puppet leader the Ukrainians are fighting for the existence of what they see as the the freedom of their people.

They aren't going to stop
 
Reactions: Sky Blue Pete

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 1, 2022
  • #1,433
Brighton Sky Blue said:
G thought we should do nothing at all. The strategists disagreed
Click to expand...

No I said the ultimate sanction they wouldn’t do and they haven’t
 

tisza

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 1, 2022
  • #1,434
What's interesting is when nations like Sweden and Switzerland are getting involved maybe the picture is bigger than people would like to believe.
 

Evo1883

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 1, 2022
  • #1,435
tisza said:
What are we going to be negotiating?
Click to expand...

What they want , how Ukraine can remain an independent sovereign nation ? The alternative is to see it swallowed up by Russia and not exist , there's also a danger of civil war to discuss as there are many pro Russian Ukrainians..it's a strange region

One thing is certain , there wont be a western planted government in Russia like afghan and iraq
 
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