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USSR invades Ukraine. (8 Viewers)

  • Thread starter Alan Dugdales Moustache
  • Start date Feb 22, 2022
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PVA

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 10, 2023
  • #5,356
Alan Dugdales Moustache said:
We have to do whatever we can to help Ukraine to win this war.
If we don't then Ukraine will ultimately lose and in the long run the whole of eastern Europe is in danger of Soviet invasion and ultimately World War 3 after that. Ignoring that fact is simply sweeping it under the carpet and inviting the inevitable.
The consequences of inaction are not worth thinking about.
Click to expand...

They were supposed to take Ukraine in about 10 days and here we are a year later with them nowhere near their objective.

What makes you think they can conquer the whole of eastern Europe?
 

tisza

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 10, 2023
  • #5,357
PVA said:
They were supposed to take Ukraine in about 10 days and here we are a year later with them nowhere near their objective.

What makes you think they can conquer the whole of eastern Europe?
Click to expand...
Not going to do it now. But success in Ukraine would cement the mindset of "might is right," and they can do what they want. Russian mindset is success against Ukraine is success against NATO and the West.

They could just pick off eastern Europe one at a
time - maybe Lithuania next to link to Kalingrad. Or use the same pretences to annex Moldova.

They are obviously committed to a massive military expansion over next 2 years. Are going to learn from the mistakes made now.
 

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 10, 2023
  • #5,358
Ukraine also had 2014 as a warning that gave them a head start on planning and rooting out bad influences. Not sure if that applies to other countries.
 

tisza

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 10, 2023
  • #5,359
shmmeee said:
Ukraine also had 2014 as a warning that gave them a head start on planning and rooting out bad influences. Not sure if that applies to other countries.
Click to expand...
Other issue is scale. Ukraine is territorially massive and obviously has a large population. Poland aside rest of eastern Europe is small. Russia could theoretically take any of the Baltic States in 48 hours (once Ukraine war is concluded).
 
Reactions: Sick Boy, Alan Dugdales Moustache and shmmeee

eastwoodsdustman

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 10, 2023
  • #5,360
We also need to consider that if Russia does control Ukraine then it gives them more power economically with regard to global food production. They have already caused massive disruption with energy, tried it with technology and then controlling Ukraine's food production would further enable them to hold the world to ransom.
 
Reactions: wingy

Alan Dugdales Moustache

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 10, 2023
  • #5,361
PVA said:
They were supposed to take Ukraine in about 10 days and here we are a year later with them nowhere near their objective.

What makes you think they can conquer the whole of eastern Europe?
Click to expand...
I don't think they can quite frankly, but I'm not looking at it in the way Putin does. He won't have to take all of Eastern Europe to trigger a military confrontation with NATO. It'll come before that. The Baltic States won't take long to take and I'm sure that would be a likely flash point. I'm looking at this pessimistically in order not to be too surprised later on. I'm just not sure at what point beyond Ukraine that NATO will act, and whether Europe itself will decide to reinforce it's own borders and individual nations will ramp up their own defences.
 
Last edited: Feb 10, 2023
C

CCFCSteve

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 10, 2023
  • #5,362
shmmeee said:
I mean in the broadest sense, probably. He buys a lot of the propaganda wholesale and is a stupid vain rich man which is the type Putin can play like a fiddle.
Click to expand...

Come on shmmeee, no sure about Musk being stupid…vain and rich, no doubt. I doubt Putins able to play him either.. he’s hardly Trump. Whatever people’s views on Musk as a person and his beliefs, the guys a genius. Flawed definitely but most are. Also by all accounts Starlink was one of the reasons Ukraine managed to resist Russia in the early months of the invasion
 
Reactions: dutchman
C

CCFCSteve

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 10, 2023
  • #5,363
 
Reactions: eastwoodsdustman and Grendel

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 10, 2023
  • #5,364
CCFCSteve said:
Come on shmmeee, no sure about Musk being stupid…vain and rich, no doubt. I doubt Putins able to play him either.. he’s hardly Trump. Whatever people’s views on Musk as a person and his beliefs, the guys a genius. Flawed definitely but most are. Also by all accounts Starlink was one of the reasons Ukraine managed to resist Russia in the early months of the invasion
Click to expand...

His genius is in PR. Otherwise he’s generally been able to buy in talent and has consistently underperformed. Have a read of some of the stories from people who have worked for him, generally the entire company becomes about handling Elons stupidity but keeping him onside for marketing purposes. Starlink was definitely important, but the policy changes started after he met Putin and suddenly started posting about Russian propaganda so questions have to be asked.
 
Reactions: duffer
C

CCFCSteve

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 10, 2023
  • #5,365
shmmeee said:
His genius is in PR. Otherwise he’s generally been able to buy in talent and has consistently underperformed. Have a read of some of the stories from people who have worked for him, generally the entire company becomes about handling Elons stupidity but keeping him onside for marketing purposes. Starlink was definitely important, but the policy changes started after he met Putin and suddenly started posting about Russian propaganda so questions have to be asked.
Click to expand...

I’ve seen various articles on both sides of the argument but you don’t do what he’s done without being very intelligent (hasn’t he got 150+ IQ ?). Also on the spectrum though

Ps I get the impression he wants peace. I disagree with how we he might think it’s best to get there but can’t really knock him if that’s his end goal
 
M

Macca

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 10, 2023
  • #5,366
We could save delivery costs / time and just blow up our little airforce here I guess
 

Sky_Blue_Dreamer

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 10, 2023
  • #5,367
CCFCSteve said:
I’ve seen various articles on both sides of the argument but you don’t do what he’s done without being very intelligent (hasn’t he got 150+ IQ ?). Also on the spectrum though

Ps I get the impression he wants peace. I disagree with how we he might think it’s best to get there but can’t really knock him if that’s his end goal
Click to expand...
You don't do what he's done without having a big silver spoon to fund all your madcap ideas. A lot of the stuff he's done has created answers to questions nobody but him have asked. Take Paypal. I need to pay someone and I have money in my bank. But instead of just paying from my bank what I really need is some sort of middle account which I can move money from my bank account into and then use that middle account to pay the invoice.

Look at the monumental fuckup he's made of twitter. A genius doesn't do that.

He's got a few things in common with Trump - coming from wealth and used to getting their own way and assuming throwing money at something will solve everything. He has the same tendency to throw his toys out of the pram when he doesn't get what he wants and he has caused massively instability at Tesla by throwing tantrums. But if you massage his ego he'll back you and believe whatever you say.

Of course he's not exactly the same as Trump - he couldn't possibly be that stupid - but for whatever 'genius' he has he lacks emotional intelligence. He can't see the bigger picture or the full implications of what he does.
 
Last edited: Feb 10, 2023
Reactions: duffer and Grendel

Sky_Blue_Dreamer

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 10, 2023
  • #5,368
Macca said:
We could save delivery costs / time and just blow up our little airforce here I guess
Click to expand...
It's a Catch 22, isn't it Milo?
 
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 10, 2023
  • #5,369
Alan Dugdales Moustache said:
I don't think they can quite frankly, but I'm not looking at it in the way Putin does. He won't have to take all of Eastern Europe to trigger a military confrontation with NATO. It'll come before that. The Baltic States won't take long to take and I'm sure that would be a likely flash point. I'm looking at this pessimistically in order not to be too surprised later on. I'm just not sure at what point beyond Ukraine that NATO will act, and whether Europe itself will decide to reinforce it's own borders and individual nations will ramp up their own defences.
Click to expand...
And all along we could have carpet bombed Putin's army into pissing off. Yet we haven't, in order to appease someone who sees appeasement as a green flag to do what he wants.
 
Reactions: Grendel

Sky_Blue_Dreamer

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 10, 2023
  • #5,370
eastwoodsdustman said:
We also need to consider that if Russia does control Ukraine then it gives them more power economically with regard to global food production. They have already caused massive disruption with energy, tried it with technology and then controlling Ukraine's food production would further enable them to hold the world to ransom.
Click to expand...
Been saying for years how we need to spend the money we've wasted on allowing oil and gas to fleece everyone to set up our own renewable energy infrastructure. We're a really good country for quite a few types of renewables and we wouldn't be at the mercy of outside suppliers. It'd be more secure, as energy generation could be spread out and create numerous jobs, especially in struggling communites like coastal and old mining areas.

Same with food. As well as using land you could build vertical farms, even utilising ageing tall buildings which are effectively massive greenhouses. Hydroponics means you can do it efficiently without soil or wasting water or nutrients as you can just have a cycular system. Rainwater can be collected and stored to use. Climate can be controlled for optimal growing conditions.

The solutions are there, but pandering to greedy fuckers with their snouts in the trough means they aren't happening.
 
Reactions: bigbeatpete, duffer, Grendel and 2 others
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 10, 2023
  • #5,371
I find it funny that we’re getting laughs from someone who thought it best if Ukraine just surrender and ‘let Putin crack on with it’.
 

dutchman

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 11, 2023
  • #5,372
Brighton Sky Blue said:
And all along we could have carpet bombed Putin's army into pissing off.
Click to expand...
You mean like in Vietnam/Laos/Cambodia? That worked out well didn't it?
 
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 11, 2023
  • #5,373
dutchman said:
You mean like in Vietnam/Laos/Cambodia? That worked out well didn't it?
Click to expand...

Nowhere near comparable.
 

Sick Boy

Super Moderator
  • Feb 11, 2023
  • #5,374
Brighton Sky Blue said:
Nowhere near comparable.
Click to expand...
It would have inevitably escalated pretty quickly and led to WW3.
The Russian mindset is also non comparable to that of the west.
 
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 11, 2023
  • #5,375
Sick Boy said:
It would have inevitably escalated pretty quickly and led to WW3.
The Russian mindset is also non comparable to that of the west.
Click to expand...

So I keep hearing. If Ukraine falls, and we end up with Putin gaining enormous territory plus a big chunk of the grain supply, we might still be patting ourselves on the back for ‘not escalating’ against a man who sees that as a weakness.

We then also give the green light to China to take Taiwan so long as they make a nuclear threat upon invasion. Meanwhile Putin would similarly move on to invasions of Georgia and Moldova. Can’t escalate though-let him crack on with it.
 

Sick Boy

Super Moderator
  • Feb 11, 2023
  • #5,376
Brighton Sky Blue said:
So I keep hearing. If Ukraine falls, and we end up with Putin gaining enormous territory plus a big chunk of the grain supply, we might still be patting ourselves on the back for ‘not escalating’ against a man who sees that as a weakness.

We then also give the green light to China to take Taiwan so long as they make a nuclear threat upon invasion. Meanwhile Putin would similarly move on to invasions of Georgia and Moldova. Can’t escalate though-let him crack on with it.
Click to expand...
He’s hardly been left to ‘crack on with it’. It would also have made it more likely China would get involved, not to mention the real risk of nuclear war.
 
Reactions: Deleted member 9744
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 11, 2023
  • #5,377
Sick Boy said:
He’s hardly been left to ‘crack on with it’. It would also have made it more likely China would get involved, not to mention the real risk of nuclear war.
Click to expand...

All we have at the moment is a meat grinder that could go on for years when it would not take much to tip the balance. I question how much we are saving by choosing not to do so.

You cannot escalate more than he already has by invading another country with everything he’s got. He is already spinning our ‘intervention’ to date to his people as de facto war. If Ukraine falls, that is a far bigger long term gamble
 

Sick Boy

Super Moderator
  • Feb 11, 2023
  • #5,378
Brighton Sky Blue said:
All we have at the moment is a meat grinder that could go on for years when it would not take much to tip the balance. I question how much we are saving by choosing not to do so.

You cannot escalate more than he already has by invading another country with everything he’s got. He is already spinning our ‘intervention’ to date to his people as de facto war. If Ukraine falls, that is a far bigger long term gamble
Click to expand...
Apart from nuclear war that is and risking the likes of China getting involved - tensions with them and the USA are already bad enough.
 

skybluetony176

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 11, 2023
  • #5,379
CCFCSteve said:
Come on shmmeee, no sure about Musk being stupid…vain and rich, no doubt. I doubt Putins able to play him either.. he’s hardly Trump. Whatever people’s views on Musk as a person and his beliefs, the guys a genius. Flawed definitely but most are. Also by all accounts Starlink was one of the reasons Ukraine managed to resist Russia in the early months of the invasion
Click to expand...
You’re confusing intelligence with stupidity. He’s clearly an intelligent person but being vain, rich, self indulgent and self entitled leaves him vulnerable to stupidity. Just look at what he’s achieved with taking over twitter or some of the many many ridiculous things he’s said over the years.
 

skybluetony176

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 11, 2023
  • #5,380
dutchman said:
You mean like in Vietnam/Laos/Cambodia? That worked out well didn't it?
Click to expand...
They weren’t the invading forces though. Where were they going to run away too? Not saying for one minute we should carpet bomb Russias forces in Ukraine but if you’re going to compare this to the Vietnam war you’ve put the cart before the horse.
 
Reactions: Brighton Sky Blue
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Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 11, 2023
  • #5,381
Sick Boy said:
Apart from nuclear war that is and risking the likes of China getting involved - tensions with them and the USA are already bad enough.
Click to expand...

I would argue that China will be more likely to aggress against its neighbours if there is a blueprint for how to prevent Western intervention.
 

Sick Boy

Super Moderator
  • Feb 11, 2023
  • #5,382
Brighton Sky Blue said:
I would argue that China will be more likely to aggress against its neighbours if there is a blueprint for how to prevent Western intervention.
Click to expand...
Apart from in reality the west is very much involved, otherwise it would have been over a long time ago.
 

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 11, 2023
  • #5,383
Sick Boy said:
He’s hardly been left to ‘crack on with it’. It would also have made it more likely China would get involved, not to mention the real risk of nuclear war.
Click to expand...

Nonsense. This has isolated Russia and strained their relationship with China and nuclear weapon use would do so further. Putins whole game is keep threatening to escalate because the other side are pussies and will back down and he gets what he wants. And he’s mostly been right.
 

Sick Boy

Super Moderator
  • Feb 11, 2023
  • #5,384
shmmeee said:
Nonsense. This has isolated Russia and strained their relationship with China and nuclear weapon use would do so further. Putins whole game is keep threatening to escalate because the other side are pussies and will back down and he gets what he wants. And he’s mostly been right.
Click to expand...
Yeah, he’s definitely wanted this to go on for a year. It’s naive to think that if the west started carpeting bombing Russian troops and the country and its civilians that it wouldn’t lead to nuclear war.
 
Reactions: Deleted member 5849 and Deleted member 9744
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 11, 2023
  • #5,385
Sick Boy said:
Yeah, he’s definitely wanted this to go on for a year. It’s naive to think that if the west started carpeting bombing Russian troops and the country and its civilians that it wouldn’t lead to nuclear war.
Click to expand...

Nobody has suggested attacking Russian territory, just the invasion force. Like that many mile long column of equipment that made a beeline for Kyiv and was just sitting there exposed.
 

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 11, 2023
  • #5,386
Brighton Sky Blue said:
Nobody has suggested attacking Russian territory, just the invasion force. Like that many mile long column of equipment that made a beeline for Kyiv and was just sitting there exposed.
Click to expand...

that would be an act of war on Russia and it’s allies would respond and ww3 starts
 
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 11, 2023
  • #5,387
Grendel said:
that would be an act of war on Russia and it’s allies would respond and ww3 starts
Click to expand...

It’s an act of defence against an invader. Had strategists listened to your way of thinking all of Ukraine would be under Russian control by now.
 

Sick Boy

Super Moderator
  • Feb 11, 2023
  • #5,388
Brighton Sky Blue said:
It’s an act of defence against an invader. Had strategists listened to your way of thinking all of Ukraine would be under Russian control by now.
Click to expand...
It’s also telling that none of them have gone down your preferred route either.
 
Reactions: Deleted member 5849 and RegTheDonk

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 11, 2023
  • #5,389
Brighton Sky Blue said:
It’s an act of defence against an invader. Had strategists listened to your way of thinking all of Ukraine would be under Russian control by now.
Click to expand...

no it’s an act of war we have no alliance in the west with Ukraine

it’s an act of war
 
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 11, 2023
  • #5,390
Sick Boy said:
It’s also telling that none of them have gone down your preferred route either.
Click to expand...

Grendel said:
no it’s an act of war we have no alliance in the west with Ukraine

it’s an act of war
Click to expand...

We have already provided a lot of the materiel keeping Ukraine in the fight. Providing aircraft able to tip the balance is not much more of a step.

It’s appeasement of a man who sees what we’re doing as a weakness and a green light to carry on. If Ukraine falls it won’t be the last.
 
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