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The EU: In, out, shake it all about.... (21 Viewers)

  • Thread starter jimmyhillsfanclub
  • Start date Jun 8, 2016
Forums New posts

As of right now, how are thinking of voting? In or out

  • Remain

    Votes: 23 37.1%
  • Leave

    Votes: 35 56.5%
  • Undecided

    Votes: 3 4.8%
  • Not registered or not intention to vote

    Votes: 1 1.6%

  • Total voters
    62
  • Poll closed Jun 15, 2016.
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skybluetony176

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 22, 2018
  • #13,721
Grendel said:
Oh Tony I’m talking about a trade deal with India
Click to expand...

So you know what the trade deal will be with India then? Tell me. Will it be better or worse than the one we currently have as EU members?
 
Reactions: martcov

Astute

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 22, 2018
  • #13,722
martcov said:
The EU is arguably more likely to succeed without the UK.
Click to expand...

Arguably yes. You would argue any point if it made the EU look better.

First of all we will see how the EU does without the billions we have pumped in each year. Then we will see what sort of trade deal we end up with. If it isn't good for us it also won't be good for the EU. Then if we do badly we won't holiday in the EU countries anywhere near as much.

But we would recover. Many EU countries are already doing badly. It would be worse for them. Even Germany, who easily do the best out of being in the EU, would be hit badly if we do badly. But you only concentrate on how the UK will do.
 
M

martcov

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 22, 2018
  • #13,723
Astute said:
Why is that different if in or out of the EU?

In fact it is better being out of the EU for negotiations in a way. We will decide what WE want and will negotiate for us. Being in the EU you have to accept what they want and what they negotiate.
Click to expand...

They are us. We are a member of the club.

It already looks as if the USA is going to ask us to lower standards for a trade deal with them. I don’t see us being in a stronger position alone.
 

Astute

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 22, 2018
  • #13,724
skybluetony176 said:
So you know what the trade deal will be with India then? Tell me. Will it be better or worse than the one we currently have as EU members?
Click to expand...
We all know the same.......nothing. But you will make out that we will get worse deals all the time. We might even get better deals as we will only have us to keep happy. Whereas the EU have to try and keep all happy.
 

Astute

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 22, 2018
  • #13,725
martcov said:
They are us. We are a member of the club.

It already looks as if the USA is going to ask us to lower standards for a trade deal with them. I don’t see us being in a stronger position alone.
Click to expand...
Looks?

What do you know that the rest of us don't?
 
M

martcov

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 22, 2018
  • #13,726
Astute said:
Arguably yes. You would argue any point if it made the EU look better.

First of all we will see how the EU does without the billions we have pumped in each year. Then we will see what sort of trade deal we end up with. If it isn't good for us it also won't be good for the EU. Then if we do badly we won't holiday in the EU countries anywhere near as much.

But we would recover. Many EU countries are already doing badly. It would be worse for them. Even Germany, who easily do the best out of being in the EU, would be hit badly if we do badly. But you only concentrate on how the UK will do.
Click to expand...

We are all losers through Brexit. I have never claimed otherwise. I see no reason for being pleased about that.
 
M

martcov

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 22, 2018
  • #13,727
Astute said:
Looks?

What do you know that the rest of us don't?
Click to expand...

Nothing. Just that the USA has published a list of points that it wants in negotiations with other countries. Common knowledge.
 

Astute

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 22, 2018
  • #13,728
martcov said:
We are all losers through Brexit. I have never claimed otherwise. I see no reason for being pleased about that.
Click to expand...
So who is pleased?

You never mention how bad it could be for the residents of the EU. Just how bad it could be for the residents of the UK.

If they stop the posturing the damage could be minimal for all. It depends how much they are willing to punish the citizens of the EU so they can punish the citizens of the UK.
 

Astute

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 22, 2018
  • #13,729
martcov said:
Nothing. Just that the USA has published a list of points that it wants in negotiations with other countries. Common knowledge.
Click to expand...
Not common knowledge of negotiations with us thought is it?
 

skybluetony176

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 22, 2018
  • #13,730
Astute said:
We all know the same.......nothing. But you will make out that we will get worse deals all the time. We might even get better deals as we will only have us to keep happy. Whereas the EU have to try and keep all happy.
Click to expand...

We know the trade deal we have currently with India as EU members. It’s a simple enough question to ask if we can expect it to be improved by leaving the EU.
 
Reactions: martcov

Sick Boy

Super Moderator
  • Apr 22, 2018
  • #13,731
SIR ERNIE said:
Well it may be unpalatable to you and German Mart but it’s a fact. A reasonable gesture from Tusk and Juncker to Cameron two years ago and the result would have almost certainly been different. Their arrogant intransigence put the PM and his campaign in a very weak position and was manna from heaven for the leave campaign who found that their job had been made considerably easier. I suspect millions of ‘undecideds’ were swayed as a direct result.

So it’s not a case of whose fault this is as you put it, it’s a case of recognising the facts.

In any case you’re the last one to talk about the blame game, for almost two years now you’ve been boring everyone by blaming a bus for the result and I suspect it’ll be you who’ll probably continue to do so for the next 20 years.

No worry though, the EU will be dead and buried long before then.
Click to expand...

Hahaha! You are your like predicted a domino effect from countries such as Holland and France, what happened there?

If anything it looks as though Brexit has made the EU even more determined to succeed.

I'm sure that Cameron agreed that the UK would not be bound by any move to an ever closer union in the future?
 

Astute

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 22, 2018
  • #13,732
skybluetony176 said:
We know the trade deal we have currently with India as EU members. It’s a simple enough question to ask if we can expect it to be improved by leaving the EU.
Click to expand...
It doesn't need to be improved though does it?

Why would it be worse?
 

Astute

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 22, 2018
  • #13,733
Sick Boy said:
Hahaha! You are your like predicted a domino effect from countries such as Holland and France, what happened there?

I'm sure that Cameron agreed that the UK would not be bound by any move to an ever closer union in the future?
Click to expand...
So the racist vote never grew?

That is a sad thing for me. The way the EU is run gives racism a voice. It is happening throughout the EU including here. But we are nowhere near the worse.
 

Sick Boy

Super Moderator
  • Apr 22, 2018
  • #13,734
Astute said:
It doesn't need to be improved though does it?

Why would it be worse?
Click to expand...

Erm because the UK is a position of well known weakness and doesn't have the same bargaining power?
 
Reactions: martcov

Sick Boy

Super Moderator
  • Apr 22, 2018
  • #13,735
Astute said:
So the racist vote never grew?

That is a sad thing for me. The way the EU is run gives racism a voice. It is happening throughout the EU including here. But we are nowhere near the worse.
Click to expand...

You've got confused about internal EU migration and external migration/refugees into the EU, so I don't see the point in going over it again.
 

Astute

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 22, 2018
  • #13,736
Sick Boy said:
Hahaha! You are your like predicted a domino effect from countries such as Holland and France, what happened there?

If anything it looks as though Brexit has made the EU even more determined to succeed.

I'm sure that Cameron agreed that the UK would not be bound by any move to an ever closer union in the future?
Click to expand...
No.

Cameron said that he had a meeting on improving our deal. Juncker said there was nothing happening. And that was days before the vote. It was that statement that most probably gave us the leave vote.
 

Astute

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 22, 2018
  • #13,737
Sick Boy said:
Erm because the UK is a position of well known weakness and doesn't have the same bargaining power?
Click to expand...
Weakness?

We are not as obnoxious as those who run the EU. But that doesn't make us weak. Countries want to trade with us. And as most deals will be under WTO rules as they are now they will be similar.
 

Astute

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 22, 2018
  • #13,738
Sick Boy said:
You've got confused about internal EU migration and external migration/refugees into the EU, so I don't see the point in going over it again.
Click to expand...
How am I confused?
 

Astute

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 22, 2018
  • #13,739
Sick Boy said:
Erm because the UK is a position of well known weakness and doesn't have the same bargaining power?
Click to expand...
What well known weakness?
 

Sick Boy

Super Moderator
  • Apr 22, 2018
  • #13,740
Astute said:
No.

Cameron said that he had a meeting on improving our deal. Juncker said there was nothing happening. And that was days before the vote. It was that statement that most probably gave us the leave vote.
Click to expand...

EU deal: Did PM get what he wanted?
 

Astute

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 22, 2018
  • #13,741
Here is a pro EU look at trying to get a deal with India.....

EU hopes Brexit will help deliver an India trade deal
 

skybluetony176

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 22, 2018
  • #13,742
Astute said:
It doesn't need to be improved though does it?

Why would it be worse?
Click to expand...

Currently we enjoy unilateral free trade with India through the EU GSP scheme but with strict controls on travel immigration into the EU from India. There are currently negotiations going on for a FTA between the EU and India and with the EU being India’s biggest trade partner in the world the EU is well placed to lead the negotiations.

So are we going to do the same, worse or better?

India is unhappy at the controls on travel and immigration into the EU and have already stated that they want improvements on this in any trade deal with post brexit U.K. So potentially we’re leaving a free trade agreement with India (already virtually free trade) with strict controls on travel and migration for what exactly? Is there actually any room for improvement on what we currently enjoy as EU members let alone what’s being currently negotiated between the EU and India?
 

Sick Boy

Super Moderator
  • Apr 22, 2018
  • #13,743
Astute said:
What well known weakness?
Click to expand...

Hahaha if you think Britain is going into trade talks with in a position to bargain then there is no help for you. Everyone knows Britain is going to be desperate to strike new trade deals and advantages will be taken.
 

Sick Boy

Super Moderator
  • Apr 22, 2018
  • #13,744
Astute said:
Here is a pro EU look at trying to get a deal with India.....

EU hopes Brexit will help deliver an India trade deal
Click to expand...

The EU has a lot more bargaining power than the UK, it's unlikely the UK is going to be able to maintain the same objections when going it alone.
 

Astute

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 22, 2018
  • #13,745
Sick Boy said:
EU deal: Did PM get what he wanted?
Click to expand...
This is how their dislike of each other started.

EU power struggle as Cameron tries to stop Juncker getting top job

You said Cameron was getting more reform?

Brussels boss tells PM: NO more reform to Britain's EU membership after Brexit vote
 

Astute

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 22, 2018
  • #13,746
skybluetony176 said:
Currently we enjoy unilateral free trade with India through the EU GSP scheme but with strict controls on travel immigration into the EU from India. There are currently negotiations going on for a FTA between the EU and India and with the EU being India’s biggest trade partner in the world the EU is well placed to lead the negotiations.

So are we going to do the same, worse or better?

India is unhappy at the controls on travel and immigration into the EU and have already stated that they want improvements on this in any trade deal with post brexit U.K. So potentially we’re leaving a free trade agreement with India (already virtually free trade) with strict controls on travel and migration for what exactly? Is there actually any room for improvement on what we currently enjoy as EU members let alone what’s being currently negotiated between the EU and India?
Click to expand...
Try looking at this link I had already posted

EU hopes Brexit will help deliver an India trade deal
 

skybluetony176

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 22, 2018
  • #13,747
Astute said:
Try looking at this link I had already posted

EU hopes Brexit will help deliver an India trade deal
Click to expand...

It’s an interesting article. It also highlights one of the major benefits we’ve enjoyed from membership of the single market and a bargaining chip we’re losing by leaving. Did you spot it?
 

Astute

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 22, 2018
  • #13,748
Sick Boy said:
Hahaha if you think Britain is going into trade talks with in a position to bargain then there is no help for you. Everyone knows Britain is going to be desperate to strike new trade deals and advantages will be taken.
Click to expand...
No. That is your guess.

The idea of trade deals is to make trade easier between countries. They will find us easier to deal with than 27 countries of the EU. We will want what is best for us. The EU has much more to consider. They have to make a deal that benefits lots of countries.
 

Sick Boy

Super Moderator
  • Apr 22, 2018
  • #13,749
Astute said:
This is how their dislike of each other started.

EU power struggle as Cameron tries to stop Juncker getting top job

You said Cameron was getting more reform?

Brussels boss tells PM: NO more reform to Britain's EU membership after Brexit vote
Click to expand...

The reforms that he had requested would still have been in place.
 

Astute

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 22, 2018
  • #13,750
skybluetony176 said:
It’s an interesting article. It also highlights one of the major benefits we’ve enjoyed from membership of the single market. Did you spot it?
Click to expand...
We have many benefits of being in the EU. I have never said that we don't. It isn't me trying to twist things or trying to make things look bad for us all the time.
 

Sick Boy

Super Moderator
  • Apr 22, 2018
  • #13,751
Astute said:
No. That is your guess.

The idea of trade deals is to make trade easier between countries. They will find us easier to deal with than 27 countries of the EU. We will want what is best for us. The EU has much more to consider. They have to make a deal that benefits lots of countries.
Click to expand...

You're right, they'll find the UK much easier to deal with compared to the EU as they're going to get a lot more of what they ask for.
 

Astute

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 22, 2018
  • #13,752
Sick Boy said:
The reforms that he had requested would still have been in place.
Click to expand...
But as it said no more reforms at all after the brexit vote. And Juncker came out with it just days before the vote.

Are you saying that it didn't cost remain votes?
 

Astute

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 22, 2018
  • #13,753
Sick Boy said:
You're right, they'll find the UK much easier to deal with compared to the EU as they're going to get a lot more of what they ask for.
Click to expand...
That is your opinion. Of course you are allowed an opinion. I just wish I was allowed one on here.
 

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 22, 2018
  • #13,754
shmmeee said:
Repeat after me: geography tops all when it comes to trade.

.
Click to expand...

I won’t repeat anything after someone who once claimed food inflation had risen by 20% in a year after Brexit thanks.

FT arrangements exist with many countries who are not neighbours but have vested mutual interests. The USA with Singapore as an example
 

skybluetony176

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 22, 2018
  • #13,755
Astute said:
We have many benefits of being in the EU. I have never said that we don't. It isn't me trying to twist things or trying to make things look bad for us all the time.
Click to expand...

But this benefit was specific to trade with India. You said it doesn’t need to be improved which is probably a fair point although it does fly in the face of one of the major arguments of the leave campaign. You then ask why will it be worse. It tells you in the article you linked why it most likely will be worse. Did you see it?
 
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