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Match Thread Swansea City- Coventry City 21st March 17.15ko (9 Viewers)

  • Thread starter Para1140
  • Start date Sunday at 6:43 PM
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COVKIDSNEVERQUIT

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 4:05 PM
  • #176
shmmeee said:
Swansea’s home form is the sixth best in the division, they’re just absolutely horrendous away. Their last six home form is second only to Norwich and above ours. The idea that just cos they’re midtable they’ll be an easy win is for the birds.
Click to expand...

Out of interest Where Do We Stand in the away form League.
 

StrettoBoy

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 4:14 PM
  • #177
Lamps said:
Basing it both on game in hand and current form.

Last 6

Middlesbrough W2 D3 L1 9.points

Ipswich W4 D2 14 points

Millwall W2 L2 12 points.

Ipswich 14 league games so far this year. W9 D3 L2. That's 2.14 points a game. 1 more game then they get a break.
Click to expand...

The problem is that recent past form isn’t always an accurate guide as to how you will do in the next few matches.

If we had performed as well in December and January as we did in October and November we would probably have been promoted already.

I still think we’ll do it. I have the champagne (metaphorical champagne because I don’t drink) on ice but I’m not popping the cork until it’s certain.
 
Reactions: Boicey

prufrock

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 4:15 PM
  • #178
COVKIDSNEVERQUIT said:
Out of interest Where Do We Stand in the away form League.
Click to expand...
 
Reactions: derbyskyblue, Johhny Blue, shmmeee and 1 other person

StrettoBoy

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 4:26 PM
  • #179
This prediction would likely mean that it will be a tight race:



I think it’s bordering on nonsense though. I’d be shocked if we only picked up another five points, as this means we couldn’t win more than one of our remaining eight fixtures. That’s relegation form!
 
Reactions: CovRes and Captain Dart

Captain Dart

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 4:30 PM
  • #180
StrettoBoy said:
This prediction would likely mean that it will be a tight race:

View attachment 49973

I think it’s bordering on nonsense though. I’d be shocked if we only picked up another five points, as this means we couldn’t win more than one of our remaining eight fixtures. That’s relegation form!
Click to expand...
Supercomputer says no, I say yes & screw you Opta.
 
Reactions: StrettoBoy

clint van damme

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 4:31 PM
  • #181
Lamps said:
Basing it both on game in hand and current form.

Last 6

Middlesbrough W2 D3 L1 9.points

Ipswich W4 D2 14 points

Millwall W2 L2 12 points.

Ipswich 14 league games so far this year. W9 D3 L2. That's 2.14 points a game. 1 more game then they get a break.
Click to expand...

But if you break Ipswichs form down in to home and away they're only at 1.44 PPG away over the season.

If they replicate that then they won't hit 88 even if they win all their home games.
 

Ccfcisparks

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 4:33 PM
  • #182
StrettoBoy said:
This prediction would likely mean that it will be a tight race:

View attachment 49973

I think it’s bordering on nonsense though. I’d be shocked if we only picked up another five points, as this means we couldn’t win more than one of our remaining eight fixtures. That’s relegation form!
Click to expand...
Opta's super computer has us finishing with 91 points so this is nonsense.
 
Reactions: StrettoBoy

StrettoBoy

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 4:39 PM
  • #183
Ccfcisparks said:
Opta's super computer has us finishing with 91 points so this is nonsense.
Click to expand...

I said it was nonsense but that’s what it came up with about half an hour ago

I reckon we will get 88-92, which is certainly enough for promotion and gives us a great chance of the title as well
 
C

coop

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 4:47 PM
  • #184
Wright not called up for USA so Definitely injured fucking typical our luck Wright,Rudi and Thomas out now we need Simms and BTA from the start of the season to turn up for this game.
 
Reactions: MaltaSkyBlue, StrettoBoy, Sky Blue Pete and 1 other person

COVKIDSNEVERQUIT

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 4:52 PM
  • #185
coop said:
Wright not called up for USA so Definitely injured fucking typical our luck Wright,Rudi and Thomas out now we need Simms and BTA from the start of the season to turn up for this game.
Click to expand...

Every f****** season.

 

Lamps

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 4:55 PM
  • #186
clint van damme said:
But if you break Ipswichs form down in to home and away they're only at 1.44 PPG away over the season.

If they replicate that then they won't hit 88 even if they win all their home games.
Click to expand...
As we all know Ipswich had a poor start to the season. The chase has been on ever since to catch us up.

I'd prefer to look at the form for this year at this point of the season. It's from when clubs were able to sign new players. The sides that brought in what they needed are doing well.

Sticking on the games at the start of the season doesn't show a lot. Just about every side will have different players now and a very good chance a different manager.
 

clint van damme

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 5:19 PM
  • #187
Lamps said:
As we all know Ipswich had a poor start to the season. The chase has been on ever since to catch us up.

I'd prefer to look at the form for this year at this point of the season. It's from when clubs were able to sign new players. The sides that brought in what they needed are doing well.

Sticking on the games at the start of the season doesn't show a lot. Just about every side will have different players now and a very good chance a different manager.
Click to expand...

They're still only 1.66PPG in their last 6 away, and with trips to Norwich, Southampton and West Brom, ( with their newly found bollocks), I don't expect them to keep that up.
 
Reactions: StrettoBoy, MusicDating and Brighton Sky Blue

Lamps

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 6:00 PM
  • #188
clint van damme said:
They're still only 1.66PPG in their last 6 away, and with trips to Norwich, Southampton and West Brom, ( with their newly found bollocks), I don't expect them to keep that up.
Click to expand...
Only averaging 1.66 ppg in their last 6 away games? Only?

They're capable of winning them games. They have the strongest squad and this is the time of the season where the better squads have an advantage.

We will soon see. Would love to be wrong.
 

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 6:12 PM
  • #189
Lamps said:
Only averaging 1.66 ppg in their last 6 away games? Only?

They're capable of winning them games. They have the strongest squad and this is the time of the season where the better squads have an advantage.

We will soon see. Would love to be wrong.
Click to expand...
Both they and Boro have recently dropped points at home in games where you really wouldn't expect them to. West Brom, Southampton and most of all Norwich are challenging away fixtures where all 3 teams have a huge incentive to get a result.

Ipswich's problem all season has been inconsistency.
 
Reactions: MaltaSkyBlue and Mucca Mad Boys

skybluelee

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 6:19 PM
  • #190
StrettoBoy said:
This prediction would likely mean that it will be a tight race:

View attachment 49973

I think it’s bordering on nonsense though. I’d be shocked if we only picked up another five points, as this means we couldn’t win more than one of our remaining eight fixtures. That’s relegation form!
Click to expand...
What the fuck is this nonsense?
 
Reactions: StrettoBoy

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 6:22 PM
  • #191
StrettoBoy said:
This prediction would likely mean that it will be a tight race:

View attachment 49973

I think it’s bordering on nonsense though. I’d be shocked if we only picked up another five points, as this means we couldn’t win more than one of our remaining eight fixtures. That’s relegation form!
Click to expand...

What in the Copilot is this?
 
Reactions: StrettoBoy

Mucca Mad Boys

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 6:43 PM
  • #192
Brighton Sky Blue said:
Both they and Boro have recently dropped points at home in games where you really wouldn't expect them to. West Brom, Southampton and most of all Norwich are challenging away fixtures where all 3 teams have a huge incentive to get a result.

Ipswich's problem all season has been inconsistency.
Click to expand...
Norwich have an outside bet of playoffs so that game v Ipswich is huge for them.

We’re in a such a great position and all the teams around the Top 4 will be taking chunks out of one another in the coming weeks so in the end, we’ll chug along and win the league in relative comfort.

With 11 games left, we were projected to lose 1-2 games so Saturday doesn’t really change anything because at least two of Millwall, Ipswich and Boro will drop points over the next 2 games.
 

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 6:47 PM
  • #193
Mucca Mad Boys said:
Norwich have an outside bet of playoffs so that game v Ipswich is huge for them.

We’re in a such a great position and all the teams around the Top 4 will be taking chunks out of one another in the coming weeks so in the end, we’ll chug along and win the league in relative comfort.

With 11 games left, we were projected to lose 1-2 games so Saturday doesn’t really change anything because at least two of Millwall, Ipswich and Boro will drop points over the next 2 games.
Click to expand...
I wasn't expecting us to lose last week, I do have us down to lose this weekend. If we draw it's as you were as far as my prediction's concerned.

I think there's a good chance that second place, the playoffs and relegation will all be in play on the final day, which hasn't been the case for quite some time iirc. Being able to watch that hopefully with promotion already in the bag will be pretty sweet.
 
Reactions: jto123 and Sky Blue Pete

Johhny Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 7:03 PM
  • #194
Sick Boy said:
I think we need another 3 wins to do it. It's inevitable that the teams below us will drop points.
Click to expand...
Not least of all because they all have to play each other
 

Johhny Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 7:18 PM
  • #195
skybluelee said:
I genuinely think 85 will do it. That means two of the following need to happen:

Ipswich18 from 9
Middlesbrough 16 from 8
Millwall 18 from 8

If you think we need 12 then the two of the following following needs to happen:

Ipswich 22 from 9 (7 wins and a draw)
Middlesbrough 20 from 8 (6 wins and 2 draws)
Millwall 22 from 8 (7 wins and 1 draw)

None are in exceptional from, all have to play each other, Middlesbrough have just failed to beat Charlton, Oxford, Leicester and Bristol C in consecutive home games, Ipswich's April looks hideous.

I could see one going on a run and taking the title off us if we fuck about but I simply don't see a world where we don't finish top 2.
Click to expand...
No-one’s taking our title
 

Johhny Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 7:27 PM
  • #196
Ccfcisparks said:
Which out of Boro and Millwall is getting 89 points?
Click to expand...
None of the three will reach 89
 
Reactions: Ccfcisparks

clint van damme

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 7:29 PM
  • #197
Lamps said:
Only averaging 1.66 ppg in their last 6 away games? Only?

They're capable of winning them games. They have the strongest squad and this is the time of the season where the better squads have an advantage.

We will soon see. Would love to be wrong.
Click to expand...

For context, Boro and Millwall on 2.5.
We're the worst of the 4 on 1.5 but obviously we have a decent cushion.
 
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