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Should we be favourites? (1 Viewer)

  • Thread starter CanadianCCFC
  • Start date Feb 17, 2020
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CanadianCCFC

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 17, 2020
  • #1
I checked 2 bookies and both have us as second favourite behind Rotherham to both win the league and get promoted. We’re level on points with a game in hand, should we be favourite?
 

Otis

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 17, 2020
  • #2
You can see why it's Rotherham, the team that came down from the Championship last season.

And they have been top for a while now too.
 
Reactions: Kieranp96, covcity4life, stupot07 and 2 others

Wyken Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 17, 2020
  • #3
Rotgerham also battered us earlier in the season so that plays a factor.

Let's see what the bookies think after the Sunderland game.

Sent from my I3113 using Tapatalk
 
Reactions: Ccsfc67

Covstu

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 17, 2020
  • #4
If we win that game then watch it change however but agree with Otis. They have been more consistent throughout the season but let’s face it it’s anyone’s out of about 6 who can keep going
 
Reactions: covcity4life

AFCCOVENTRY

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 17, 2020
  • #5
They deserve to be favourites. They are first after all.
 

robbiekeane

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 17, 2020
  • #6
Simply reflects the betting market
 
Reactions: mark82 and hill83

hill83

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 17, 2020
  • #7
robbiekeane said:
Simply reflects the betting market
Click to expand...

When are people going to work this one out.
 
Reactions: Brylowes and Otis
S

skybluesam66

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 17, 2020
  • #8
Been across a few of the other teams forums and I would say 60% are tipping us for The title

the tool below suggests a 43.7% chance, that would make the odds about 5/4
Coventry City Title Chances - Sports Club Stats
 

Mcbean

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 17, 2020
  • #9
Would be good to see all the pressure on the other teams and for us to appear in the right place at the end of the season - Robins doesn’t need any unwanted pressure - all you betting bods can get better odds !
 
Reactions: shmmeee

cc84cov

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 17, 2020
  • #10
skyblue1991 said:
Rotgerham also battered us earlier in the season so that plays a factor.

Let's see what the bookies think after the Sunderland game.

Sent from my I3113 using Tapatalk
Click to expand...
Didn’t batter us it was a freak game with dodgy goals & decisions
 
O

Orlando

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 17, 2020
  • #11
The fact that Rotherham have a far superior goal difference will also be a factor.
 

Johhny Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 17, 2020
  • #12
Orlando said:
The fact that Rotherham have a far superior goal difference will also be a factor.
Click to expand...
Not if we smoke them 5-0
 
Reactions: JulianDarbyFTW

Mcbean

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 17, 2020
  • #13
Johhny Blue said:
Not if we smoke them 5-0
Click to expand...
I like your optimism now buy a lottery ticket and I will have half
 
C

CCFC88

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 17, 2020
  • #14
Covstu said:
If we win that game then watch it change however but agree with Otis. They have been more consistent throughout the season but let’s face it it’s anyone’s out of about 6 who can keep going
Click to expand...
More consistent? We've only been beaten 3 times all season, we're 4th in the "home" table and 3rd in the "away" table, we've not had any really hot streaks or really bad streaks of results. Id say we are the model of consistency.
 
Reactions: CanadianCCFC, covcity4life and Deleted member 5849

Otis

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 17, 2020
  • #15
Mcbean said:
I like your optimism now buy a lottery ticket and I will have half
Click to expand...
I am not so sure half a lottery ticket is worth anything.
 
Reactions: Johhny Blue

Sky Blue Harry H

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 17, 2020
  • #16
Sat on a coach travelling back on Saturday and one pessimistic fan still wasn't committed to us making the play offs!
 

Adge

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 17, 2020
  • #17
Sky Blue Harry H said:
Sat on a coach travelling back on Saturday and one pessimistic fan still wasn't committed to us making the play offs!
Click to expand...
You look at the top 6 and all the big hitters are in there albeit Ipswich who should be instead of Wycombe who are rightly there on merit.
Its still up for grabs and lots of people are getting carried away though, I would take the playoffs still now if truth be told.
 

Wyken Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 17, 2020
  • #18
cc84cov said:
Didn’t batter us it was a freak game with dodgy goals & decisions
Click to expand...
No it wasn't, McFazdean was rightly sent off and their forwards were two big lads that gave our defense a torrid time.

Worse I've seen Cov play for a couple of years.

Sent from my I3113 using Tapatalk
 

pusbccfc

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 17, 2020
  • #19
I'd rather we weren't.
 
Reactions: SkyblueTexan

cc84cov

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 17, 2020
  • #20
skyblue1991 said:
No it wasn't, McFazdean was rightly sent off and their forwards were two big lads that gave our defense a torrid time.

Worse I've seen Cov play for a couple of years.

Sent from my I3113 using Tapatalk
Click to expand...
We had a player sent off & conceded 2 penalties is that not a freak result ? Show me a game in the past month in the whole on England that ended that way.

we did get bullied well mason did at left back where crosses constantly came in from probably what got him dropped in favour of McCallum for.
 

Ring Of Steel

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 17, 2020
  • #21
I don't care one bit. Its only a reflection of where all the money is going anyway, its not an assessment of who the bookies think will go up.
 
Reactions: vow

Wyken Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 17, 2020
  • #22
cc84cov said:
We had a player sent off & conceded 2 penalties is that not a freak result ? Show me a game in the past month in the whole on England that ended that way.

we did get bullied well mason did at left back where crosses constantly came in from probably what got him dropped in favour of McCallum for.
Click to expand...
Both penalties were penalties. It weren't a freak results, we played crap and were undisciplined.

Sheff Wed lost 5-0 at home to mid-table Blackburn last month. They had one player sent off and conceded an own goal.

Sent from my I3113 using Tapatalk
 
C

CCFC88

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 17, 2020
  • #23
I wouldn't say it was a freak result, we made mistakes and got punished. It was certainly out of character though and was part of what has made this team what it is today. There will be memories of that game going into Tuesday, Id like to think we are in a place where those memories will bring out the best of us
 

Ring Of Steel

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 17, 2020
  • #24
skyblue1991 said:
Both penalties were penalties. It weren't a freak results, we played crap and were undisciplined.

Sheff Wed lost 5-0 at home to mid-table Blackburn last month. They had one player sent off and conceded an own goal.

Sent from my I3113 using Tapatalk
Click to expand...
We've lost 3 games all season, only 1 team from the 91 has lost less, we've conceded the second fewest goals in the division & if it weren't for that game it would be the least conceded- there is absolutely no doubt that was a freak result
 
J

Jcap

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 17, 2020
  • #25
Found this analysis of teams' run-ins until end of season on SoccerStats. Interestingly we have on paper the most difficult run in, alongside Doncaster based on average points per game of the teams we have yet to play. Ipswich then Peterborough have the easiest run in based on PPG. Ourselves, Sunderland, Portsmouth and Fleetwood's next 4 fixtures all look relatively more difficult, against teams averaging 1.45 PPG or higher (ours being highest at 1.53). Will be an interesting end to the season.

 
Reactions: MusicDating, CovInEssex and Ring Of Steel
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skybluesam66

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 17, 2020
  • #26
really around 15 points from 14 games should more or less get us to the play offs
We should really be discussing Autos or Champions
 
J

Jcap

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 17, 2020
  • #27
I think points needed for play offs may be higher this season, around 75/76 simply because no one is running away with autos.
 
Reactions: CanadianCCFC
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skybluesam66

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 17, 2020
  • #28
Jcap said:
Found this analysis of teams' run-ins until end of season on SoccerStats. Interestingly we have on paper the most difficult run in, alongside Doncaster based on average points per game of the teams we have yet to play. Ipswich then Peterborough have the easiest run in based on PPG. Ourselves, Sunderland, Portsmouth and Fleetwood's next 4 fixtures all look relatively more difficult, against teams averaging 1.45 PPG or higher (ours being highest at 1.53). Will be an interesting end to the season.

View attachment 14150
Click to expand...
and one of the reason previous opponents for us is low, as we have beaten most of them!
 
S

skybluesam66

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 17, 2020
  • #29
Jcap said:
I think points needed for play offs may be higher this season, around 75/76 simply because no one is running away with autos.
Click to expand...
That would need Fleetwood probably to get 24 points from 14
possible, but they then play Portsmouth twice who would then need 22 points from 12
And then Peterboro 20 from 11



And dont worry - we will Run away with the autos!
 
Reactions: Jcap
J

Jcap

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 17, 2020
  • #30
skybluesam66 said:
That would need Fleetwood probably to get 24 points from 14
possible, but they then play Portsmouth twice who would then need 22 points from 12
And then Peterboro 20 from 11



And dont worry - we will Run away with the autos!
Click to expand...

Which would certainly be the preferable outcome for us all!
 

Liquid Gold

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 17, 2020
  • #31
Jcap said:
Found this analysis of teams' run-ins until end of season on SoccerStats. Interestingly we have on paper the most difficult run in, alongside Doncaster based on average points per game of the teams we have yet to play. Ipswich then Peterborough have the easiest run in based on PPG. Ourselves, Sunderland, Portsmouth and Fleetwood's next 4 fixtures all look relatively more difficult, against teams averaging 1.45 PPG or higher (ours being highest at 1.53). Will be an interesting end to the season.

View attachment 14150
Click to expand...
We're 0.19 more difficult that Peterborough but have 3 extra games to play and are already two points ahead. We'd have to seriously nosedive to finish below them in my opinion.
 

Otis

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 17, 2020
  • #32
Jcap said:
Found this analysis of teams' run-ins until end of season on SoccerStats. Interestingly we have on paper the most difficult run in, alongside Doncaster based on average points per game of the teams we have yet to play. Ipswich then Peterborough have the easiest run in based on PPG. Ourselves, Sunderland, Portsmouth and Fleetwood's next 4 fixtures all look relatively more difficult, against teams averaging 1.45 PPG or higher (ours being highest at 1.53). Will be an interesting end to the season.

View attachment 14150
Click to expand...
Yes, but notoriously, that can count for nothing, because teams seemingly all but doomed, or in danger of going down, often turn the form book on its head as the season draws to a close, and start winning.
 
J

Jcap

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 17, 2020
  • #33
Liquid Gold said:
We're 0.19 more difficult that Peterborough but have 3 extra games to play and are already two points ahead. We'd have to seriously nosedive to finish below them in my opinion.
Click to expand...
Agreed, but it may not be Peterborough who finish above us (hopefully no one will), the point being we are clearly playing more teams who are higher in the league and still have their own hopes of play offs or autos.
 
J

Jcap

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 17, 2020
  • #34
Otis said:
Yes, but notoriously, that can count for nothing, because teams seemingly all but doomed, or in danger of going down, often turn the form book on its head as the season draws to a close, and start winning.
Click to expand...

Let's hope so, with the exception of Rochdale on Saturday!
 
R

robbiethemole

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 17, 2020
  • #35
I'd rather not hit the top until late on, as other teams tend to try harder against the top team. Just jogging along and being ignored by the media will suit us fine and then spring the surprise of being Champions.
 
Reactions: shmmeee, westcountry_skyblue and SkyBlueCharlie9
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