Yeah that's my hope that it's too late by the time some of these parachute teams get into the form we were all expectingXG is definitely an indicator of a possible upturn or downturn in future performance as 'luck' starts to even out, although clearly there will also be other factors in play. When MR left last season our XG was an example of that, but even so by the time FL was able to turn the situation into actual points the play offs were still the best we could hope for, which is probably the case with Southampton this season too. Like us last season though it will probably take a change of manager for the tide to turn, and for it to also happen before its too late.
Change the manager (or not even) - anything can happen. They have some good players!#rivalswatch
Southampton now 13 points behind 2nd place and close to being eliminated from contention
Agreed. I think 18pts off 2nd is a reasonable cut offChange the manager (or not even) - anything can happen. They have some good players!
Look at where we've come back from in the last few seasons!
Yeah Ipswich and Stoke are a problem. And Millwall have been a dark horse this season for many.#rivalswatch
1st Coventry LOST 28pts
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2rnd Middlesbrough LOST 25pts
_____________________________
Stoke WON 24pts
Ipswich WON 19 pts
Leicester LOST 17pts
Southampton LOST 12 PTS
Only 2/5 won so it could have been worse for us after our own loss. Ipswich are still a big worry. Stoke proving I was right to class them as rivals. Millwall as promised will be added if they keep this up into international break but nice to see them drop points today and Bristol city hit a mark robins speed bump at least
Southampton now 13 points behind 2nd place and close to being eliminated from contention
it could have been a worse weekend for us
PUSB
YaBlues have back to back 4-0 home wins and are slowly creeping up the table, although their away form is pretty poor.
9 and 12pts off respectively from 2nd place. I think it's to soon to knock then out of contention just yet.Leicester and Saints surely out of contention for the top 2 now, it's shocked me how bad the relegated 3 have been. I think Ipswich are still just about in contention but need a run of good form pretty much now for that to remain the case, i can see it being much more closely run this season than normal which might work in their favour. Boro, Stoke and Preston seem most likely to push us at present, i just can't see the latter 2 sustaining a whole season though, even with Boro it just feels unlikely.
Might be easier to climb the league this year too, i can see teams taking points of each other more regularly and maybe a lower points total required for top 2.9 and 12pts off respectively from 2nd place. I think it's to soon to knock then out of contention just yet.
But yeah it's getting to point where they need brilliant form till end of season so their chances are lowering by the week
Before the Wednesday games the top 6 was pretty perfect and be nice if we could stop the count as trump says lolMight be easier to climb the league this year too, i can see teams taking points of each other more regularly and maybe a lower points total required for top 2.
Obviously i hope this is all irrelevant and we are the run away leaders, dont have to care what anyone else is doing then. All should by clear by early May anyway, not long to wait....
ImagineA couple of interesting pointers using PPG. At the current PPG, Boro in 3rd are tracking for 85 points, with every team below 6th requiring at least 2 PPG to achieve this total.
It means the likes of Birmingham and Ipswich need a serious upturn in their away form simply to achieve the 85 point mark, whereas 1.7 PPG or roughly 17 points every 10 games would get us there.
On a final note, continuation of current PPG rates would see us achieve 102 points and a gap of 13 points over 2nd and 17 points over 3rd. It’s unlikely to continue that way, but there is some margin to play with.
The goals scored is pretty formidable as well. Assuming we win half of our remaining 32 we could be easily around plus 60 if the defence holds its current form.Imagine
Whether we go up or not i think this team will see significant changes going in to next season. If we don't make it then i think several key players will be prised away and if we do go up we'll need alot of incomings to put together a competitive side.Automatics or not this squad needs promotion its at its peak right now. Remember it’s been together for few years and the drop off season by season can be alarming. We have players out performing their normal stats A Certain Mr Ferguson would always rebuild regardless of how successful as he knew how it can degrade after few years together….
Most seasons 28 or 29 wins is enough for the autos. We need another 19 to 20 wins from the remaining 32. Still plenty of work to be done.
looking how the league is shaping up it will probably be less this season
Definitely loseWhether we go up or not i think this team will see significant changes going in to next season. If we don't make it then i think several key players will be prised away and if we do go up we'll need alot of incomings to put together a competitive side.
From that list, Leicester and Southampton beat the 2 worst teams in the league, and Ipswich are going to be up there in May so can have second spot.#rivalswatch
1st Coventry WON 34pts
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2nd Middlesbrough WON 29pts
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Stoke LOST 27pts
Ipswich WON 23 pts
Leicester WON 21pts
Southampton WON 18 pts
5pt gap to second
7pt gap to 3rd
The worst week so far in terms of rival results but really it doesn't matter much as we won our game and dealt a blow the team closest to us
Shame Leicester got a late winner but they still don't scare me and they have deduction coming yet
Southampton will pick up and still be in the hunt for playoffs at least
Boro won but it's massive to lose their manager and surely there will be some sort of drop off?
Ipswich still seems most likely team to catch us but they ain't gaining on us yet so alot of pressure on them to keep up insane form
It's going well and a nice time for international break I think
PUSB
Ya I'd just like to get rid of Boro off our tails ideally.From that list, Leicester and Southampton beat the 2 worst teams in the league, and Ipswich are going to be up there in May so can have second spot.
Why not just post it as a normal post?Assuming our goal difference remains higher than each of the teams.
For the remainder of the season teams need to make up the following ground on us.
We obviously need to be losing while teams catch up.
Table borrowed from above
Tried, but the data wouldn’t display on the post as was the original layout. IPad. Tried to create a table using sheets but only part of the data transferred over in columns/ rows….So I decided to use a screenshot.Why not just post it as a normal post?
Great to read though. Thanks!
You’d be feeling pretty fucked off as Will Still but football can be a cruel mistress.Inept as Charlton were that first half by Southampton is a must watch. No exageration they could have had 9/10.
Southampton have left themselves a mountain to climb. Their Xg always suggested a huge turn around and underperformance.
Im actually tempted to put on Adam Armstring to be top goalscorer..think he will be top scorer in the league by about 10 goals
My predicted table.
1)Cov
2)Ipswich/Birmingham/Southampton
Almighty scramble for play offs the kind we havnt seen before.
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