Quarter of the season gone. (1 Viewer)

[Brighton Sky Blue]

6 points needed every 5.

Block 1: 9 points

Brum (D)
Cardiff (W)
Norwich (D)
Derby (D)
Rotherham (W)

Block 2: 6 points

Luton (D)
Wycombe (W)
Huddersfield (D)
Sheff Weds (L)
Stoke (D)

Block 3: 7 points

PNE (L)
Millwall (W)
Sheff Weds (W)
Reading (L)
Brum (D)

Block 4

Forest
Watford
Cardiff
Norwich
Brentford

Block 5

Swansea
Blackburn
Boro
Derby
Rotherham

Block 6

Luton
Wycombe
QPR
Bristol
Bournemouth

Block 7

Barnsley
Stoke
PNE
Huddersfield
Millwall

3 'blocks' in, now 4 pts ahead of target

 

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[Liquid Gold]

3 'blocks' in, now 4 pts ahead of target

Next block is a killer though

 

[Brighton Sky Blue]

Next block is a killer though

Yep the only one I don't see us getting 6 from, even if we just beat Forest and lost the rest would still be on track though.

 

[HuckerbyDublinWhelan]

Weirdly I reckon we’ll get 2 points from Cardiff and watford

 

[Evo1883]

6 points needed every 5.

Block 1: 9 points

Brum (D)
Cardiff (W)
Norwich (D)
Derby (D)
Rotherham (W)

Block 2: 6 points

Luton (D)
Wycombe (W)
Huddersfield (D)
Sheff Weds (L)
Stoke (D)

Block 3: 7 points

PNE (L)
Millwall (W)
Sheff Weds (W)
Reading (L)
Brum (D)

Block 4

Forest
Watford
Cardiff
Norwich
Brentford

Block 5

Swansea
Blackburn
Boro
Derby
Rotherham

Block 6

Luton
Wycombe
QPR
Bristol
Bournemouth

Block 7

Barnsley
Stoke
PNE
Huddersfield
Millwall

Sticking to this and some

 

[Ccfcisparks]

Surprisingly our odds to get relegated have fallen from 6/1 to 8/1 after that game.

 

[Evo1883]

Surprisingly our odds to get relegated have fallen from 6/1 to 8/1 after that game.

There's 3 or 4 teams in dire form below us that makes sense for us to drift a bit

 

[Brighton Sky Blue]

Sticking to this and some

Yep 4 points ahead, Block 4 the toughest but we can tolerate getting a few less

 

[Londonccfcfan]

There's 3 or 4 teams in dire form below us that makes sense for us to drift a bit

And a few directly above us ...like Cardiff in dire form.

 

[Evo1883]

Yep 4 points ahead, Block 4 the toughest but we can tolerate getting a few less

We may even get away with 5pts per block now tbh

 

[Brighton Sky Blue]

We may even get away with 5pts per block now tbh

Yeah didn't think of it that way, 20 points needed from 4

 

[Ccfcisparks]

Think we will be fine but the next couple of months really worry me

 

[Evo1883]

Think we will be fine but the next couple of months really worry me

Our run in is favourible though overall

Our last 11 I believe we only play 1 top 6 side

 

[Ccfcisparks]

Our run in is favourible though overall

Our last 11 I believe we only play 1 top 6 side

Yes absolutely even worst case scenario we are in the bottom 3 we have the potential to get a real run going at the end of the season. Where do you think we will end up Evo?

 

[Brighton Sky Blue]

Think we will be fine but the next couple of months really worry me

Our run in is favourible though overall

The next 5 games are tough, but thereafter we’ll be alright

 

[Ccfcisparks]

If we can get 6 points from the next 5 I’ll be over the moon.

 

[Liquid Gold]

Think we will be fine but the next couple of months really worry me

It would be good if we're not going into the last 4/5 games in big danger. This gap with 5 games left would be magic.

Not just the gap is important but the number of teams between us and the drop.

 

[Evo1883]

Yes absolutely even worst case scenario we are in the bottom 3 we have the potential to get a real run going at the end of the season. Where do you think we will end up Evo?

17th-19th

Personally, I think we will get a couple of unexpected points in February

 

[Brighton Sky Blue]

If we can get 6 points from the next 5 I’ll be over the moon.

As Evo points out, just needs to be 5 every 5 from now on to hit 50.

 

[Ccfcisparks]

As Evo points out, just needs to be 5 every 5 from now on to hit 50.

50’guarantees us I think. Think 46 will be enough this year.

 

[Brighton Sky Blue]

50’guarantees us I think. Think 46 will be enough this year.

Think 50 has only not been enough once?

 

[shmmeee]

Could be an interesting month, we seem to have found a shape that suits us, and have Rose, McFadzean, Maroši, and Walker to return in the next game or two. I wouldn’t write it off yet. 6 points would be an excellent effort.

 

[cc84cov]

Could be an interesting month, we seem to have found a shape that suits us, and have Rose, McFadzean, Maroši, and Walker to return in the next game or two. I wouldn’t write it off yet. 6 points would be an excellent effort.

Walker is a massive plus

 

[play_in_skyblue_stripes]

I have to say relegation analysis was about my best skill and main interest ("sado") , lots of practice etc in the what's becoming now the distant past! !
Not looked that deeply yet on what we might need this season.
30 from 26 games seems a pretty good base to stay up and not overly worried. Obviously Improving our goal scoring threat would help enormously. I think though we will improve as the season goes on ( I hope I'm NOT terribly wrong)

 

[Brighton Sky Blue]

5 points needed every 5.

Block 4: 4 points

Forest (L)
Watford (D)
Cardiff (L)
Norwich (L)
Brentford (W)

Block 5: 7 points

Swansea (L)
Blackburn (D)
Boro (L)
Derby (W)
Rotherham (W)

Block 6: 4 points

Luton (L)
Wycombe (D)
QPR (L)
Bristol (W)
Bournemouth (L)

Block 7

Barnsley
Stoke
PNE
Huddersfield
Millwall

So when all is said and done, a point a game gets us to 50. Easier said than done of course!

 

[Evo1883]

So when all is said and done, a point a game gets us to 50. Easier said than done of course!

I think we will beat Preston and Millwall and draw against Huddersfield

 

[Brighton Sky Blue]

I think we will beat Preston and Millwall and draw against Huddersfield

I'd back us to win at least one of the home games, Stoke we could hopefully get a point depending how they approach it. Still not there yet but with Rotherham's games in hand away at Brentford and Luton, we might not even need 50.

 

[Evo1883]

I'd back us to win at least one of the home games, Stoke we could hopefully get a point depending how they approach it. Still not there yet but with Rotherham's games in hand away at Brentford and Luton, we might not even need 50.

Derby tomorrow v Blackburn away ..both teams would like to win , Blackburn to end their fears and Derby to pull away from Rotherham...lose and they are in big trouble

 

[Brighton Sky Blue]

Derby tomorrow v Blackburn away ..both teams would like to win , Blackburn to end their fears and Derby to pull away from Rotherham...lose and they are in big trouble

Think we're probably best off with Blackburn winning that.