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Play Off Race '24 thread (1 Viewer)

  • Thread starter alexccfc99
  • Start date Feb 13, 2024
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Governmac

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 13, 2024
  • #36
Robinshio said:
39% top 6 ?
Click to expand...

Yeah and 18% to finish specifically in 6th place.
 

covcity4life

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 13, 2024
  • #37
Astute said:
Their inconsistency will cost them again.

You need to win half your games just to stand still. They have some catching up to do. If they get 1 point from 2 games like we just did they will be out of the race.
Click to expand...
But my point was that this was what was said a few months ago lol

Can't keep saying something that isn't true until it becomes true.

I have no issue with people predicting they fall away

It was the stating of fact that they were out of it which just wasn't true that's all
 

Skyblueweeman

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 13, 2024
  • #38
matesx said:
next season is the season we go up
Click to expand...
You can't go up from the EPL mate.
 
Reactions: Johhny Blue, Astute and wingy
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SkyBlueMatt

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 13, 2024
  • #39
Skyblueweeman said:
You can't go up from the EPL mate.
Click to expand...

Super League
 
Reactions: Skyblueweeman

MusicDating

Euro 2016 Prediction League Champion!!
  • Feb 13, 2024
  • #40
 

SleepyGinger

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 13, 2024
  • #41
Finishing 5th would be ideal, I’d prefer our chances against Ipswich over 2 legs and then anything can happen in 90 mins at Wembley.
 
Reactions: Saddlebrains, skybluelee and MusicDating

SleepyGinger

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 13, 2024
  • #42
skybluecam said:
Preston won't make it. Currently significantly over performing their expected stats.
Click to expand...
This was the case at the start of the season then the results started to reflect it but they have improved recently and picked up some good results
 

Robinshio

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 13, 2024
  • #43
SleepyGinger said:
Finishing 5th would be ideal, I’d prefer our chances against Ipswich over 2 legs and then anything can happen in 90 mins at Wembley.
Click to expand...
assuming ipswich finish 4th which i expect, you may find whoever finishes 3rd will have a real come down - and may not have it in them for a play off fight
 
Reactions: SleepyGinger

SkyBlue_Bear83

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 13, 2024
  • #44
Worry that the fixtures will pile up and we will run out of steam
 

Skyblueweeman

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 13, 2024
  • #45
SkyBlue_Bear83 said:
Worry that the fixtures will pile up and we will run out of steam
Click to expand...
I get that feeling.

Winning the FA Cup is going to knock some steam out of our league efforts to be fair.
 
Reactions: Philosoraptor, San Francisco, Saddlebrains and 3 others

Astute

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 13, 2024
  • #46
What a lot of people forget/ignore is the sides below us have to keep playing each other.

Last season some thought I was off my rocker for saying we would be top 6 and might not even need anything from the last game. But 2 sides play each other. 1 wins 1 falls back or it's a draw which isn't good for either. Then they have to play teams above us. Or how about the games against the sides near the bottom fighting for survival.

The twists and turns haven't even started yet.

SB is right saying all sides from 14th upwards are in with a shout. But they need to at least keep up with the results of the top 6 or they will quickly fall away. So most sides will have to improve on recent form. The table now will look totally different by the end of the month.

I'll be happy if we're within striking distance with 2 games to go. But I think we will be safe by then. All we need us a little luck on the way.
 
Last edited: Feb 13, 2024

Astute

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 13, 2024
  • #47
Robinshio said:
assuming ipswich finish 4th which i expect, you may find whoever finishes 3rd will have a real come down - and may not have it in them for a play off fight
Click to expand...
Ipswich only have 9 points from their last 8 games. If they don't improve quickly the pressure will be on.
 

Astute

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 13, 2024
  • #48
covcity4life said:
But my point was that this was what was said a few months ago lol

Can't keep saying something that isn't true until it becomes true.

I have no issue with people predicting they fall away

It was the stating of fact that they were out of it which just wasn't true that's all
Click to expand...
Of course they're still in with a shout. But they have some difficult games coming up. In their next 7 games they have...

Middlesbrough H
Us A
Hull H
Southampton A
Plymouth A

To keep up with the pace they might have to win the other 2 games plus 3 of these.
 
Reactions: Skyblueweeman and covcity4life
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Legia Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 13, 2024
  • #49
Astute said:
Ipswich only have 9 points from their last 8 games. If they don't improve quickly the pressure will be on.
Click to expand...

They don't need to improve though. If they carry on that poor level of form until the end of the season they will still end up on 77 points which will comfortably find them in the playoffs. For us to match that we would have to accrue 2 points a game for the rest of the season, which is pretty unlikely, even if we do make it ourselves.

Edit - just read your post back and still unsure whether you mean the pressure on Ipswich is for autos or play offs. Regardless, I think they are under no pressure re. automatic promotion as no one expects that of them.
 

Astute

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 13, 2024
  • #50
Legia Sky Blue said:
They don't need to improve though. If they carry on that poor level of form until the end of the season they will still end up on 77 points which will comfortably find them in the playoffs. For us to match that we would have to accrue 2 points a game for the rest of the season, which is pretty unlikely, even if we do make it ourselves.

Edit - just read your post back and still unsure whether you mean the pressure on Ipswich is for autos or play offs. Regardless, I think they are under no pressure re. automatic promotion as no one expects that of them.
Click to expand...
We've been averaging over 2 points a game for a fair bit now. This run includes playing against the top 4 sides. They were clear in 2nd until recently. If they continue their run for the last 8 games and WBA and ourselves keep the pressure on them they will soon be looking over their shoulders.

You see some on here going on about what would happen if we have 4 or 5 of our best players injured at the same time. They don't have strength in depth like us.

Not saying it will happen but the possibility is there.
 
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thekidfromstrettoncamp

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 13, 2024
  • #51
So what do we want tonight Southampton ,Swansea, Cardiff and Rotherman to win and Norwich v Watford draw they would be a brilliant set of results.Mind you the odds of that will be high, but can dream.
 
W

wingy

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 13, 2024
  • #52
thekidfromstrettoncamp said:
So what do we want tonight Southampton ,Swansea, Cardiff and Rotherman to win and Norwich v Watford draw they would be a brilliant set of results.Mind you the odds of that will be high, but can dream.
Click to expand...
It's happened last year tbf, team's in the mix tripping over themselves while we just carried on doing our thing!
 

JAM See

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 13, 2024
  • #53
wingy said:
It's happened last year tbf, team's in the mix tripping over themselves while we just carried on doing our thing!
Click to expand...
Outside of us obviously, Millwall Vs Blackburn was my favourite result of last season. Just so funny.

You're right @wingy , teams in the mix will trip over themselves.

Just hope it's not us!
 
Reactions: wingy and thekidfromstrettoncamp
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thekidfromstrettoncamp

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 13, 2024
  • #54
On aside note see Kitching 40-1 first scorer not scored for us just maybe.
 
Last edited: Feb 13, 2024
Reactions: covcity4life

baldy

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 13, 2024
  • #55
Astute said:
Of course they're still in with a shout. But they have some difficult games coming up. In their next 7 games they have...

Middlesbrough H
Us A
Hull H
Southampton A
Plymouth A

To keep up with the pace they might have to win the other 2 games plus 3 of these.
Click to expand...

Boro at home followed by the USA? Wonder if Wright will be selected for that match too
 

Philosoraptor

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 13, 2024
  • #56
Thought I would drop this in here 'cause of Ipswich's current Titanic form.

Could it affect the 5th and 6th places in the promotion race?

Maybe, just maybe.

Edit- That lump off Festers rating going along. That was City.



Edit 2- Analysis of Ipswich's form best done whilst listening to..

 
Last edited: Feb 13, 2024
Reactions: Noble and wingy

bigfatronssba

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 13, 2024
  • #57
napolimp said:
View attachment 34012View attachment 34013

That is absolutely incredible, 2 completely different starting line-ups between last seasons play-off final, and the team which now sits in a play-off position 8 months later. The only constant being the management.
Click to expand...

This seasons squad is much better than last years overall. Much more balanced
 
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bigfatronssba

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 13, 2024
  • #58
Philosorapter said:
Thought I would drop this in here 'cause of Ipswich's current Titanic form.

Could it affect the 5th and 6th places in the promotion race?

Maybe, just maybe.

View attachment 34024
Click to expand...

Everyone else in the play offs will want to face Ipswich
 

Mucca Mad Boys

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 13, 2024
  • #59
thekidfromstrettoncamp said:
So what do we want tonight Southampton ,Swansea, Cardiff and Rotherman to win and Norwich v Watford draw they would be a brilliant set of results.Mind you the odds of that will be high, but can dream.
Click to expand...
3 draws would do very nicely. WBA will likely beat Cardiff but a surprise here would lead into our fixture very nicely.
Robinshio said:
just looked and lots of away games coming up 5 out of 7 - so away form is now crucial
That said WBA will be tough but crucial - all of the others look as though we could get something

Assuming we beat Maidstone its

Plymouth A
Stoke A
Preston H
WBA A
Rotherham H
Watford A
Huddersfield A

but depending where they push the Hull game, 5 of our last 8 would then be at home
Click to expand...
We’ve lost one game at home too. We’ve drew a lot, but we’ve turned over Leicester and drew to Southampton. So we are more than capable to get results against Leeds, Hull and Ipswich.

Our away games after WBA and Watford are very winnable too, with the exception of Southampton, they’re all lower table teams.

It’s a cliche, but one game at a time, and to echo Robins, if we can’t win, don’t lose!
 

Gibbo

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 13, 2024
  • #60
Sick Boy said:
Not expecting play-offs this season but expecting us to make a proper go of automatic promotion next year.
Click to expand...
For the opposite reason that this year is tough, next year may be slightly easier. All three relegated clubs last year were well established clubs and look to be he ones going back up. WBA and all of us are playing for the scraps. The likely relegated clubs this year will be the three promoted clubs (probably). One or maybe two of those could have a dodgy season back in tier 2. It does open up the door to the automatics.
 
Reactions: bulko
C

Cally Fedora

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 13, 2024
  • #61
In terms of the pressure this is a breeze. The real pressure is the scrap at the other end - as we all well know! Take 3 draws tonight.
 

Johhny Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 13, 2024
  • #62
Sky Blue Pete said:
I think it’s is unmatched I really do
Incredible work from Robjns Vivash and Lawrence and of course King deserves credit too
Click to expand...
Don’t forget the SBA
 
Reactions: Sky Blue Pete

Johhny Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 13, 2024
  • #63
Governmac said:
Someone on reddit simulated the remaining games 2000 times.

View attachment 34015
View attachment 34017
View attachment 34016

So we have an easy-ish run in and gives us a 18% to finish in 6th
Click to expand...

If it’s not approved by Philosoraptor I don’t believe it.
 
Reactions: wingy

Matt smith

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 13, 2024
  • #64
All revolves around whether we can keep our small squad fit

with sheaf Allen and potentially o hare out, leaves us short in quality and numbers
 
T

thekidfromstrettoncamp

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 13, 2024
  • #65
Bamford out, injured in the warm up wonder if it's his elbow.
 
T

thekidfromstrettoncamp

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 13, 2024
  • #66
Rotherham 1 up
 
Reactions: Matt smith and Sky Blue Harry H
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thekidfromstrettoncamp

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 13, 2024
  • #67
Leeds haven't took long.
 
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thekidfromstrettoncamp

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 13, 2024
  • #68
Leeds 2 now
 

Hobo

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 13, 2024
  • #69
There is going to be a lot of surprise results between now and the end of the season. Team in the top ten will have to play each other and take points off each other. It is approaching silly season when teams wake up to the relegation fight and get a few surprise results.

We are in a good position, we just have to try and pick up points. If we can stay in the play off bunch until after Easter we are in with a shout.
 

Ian1779

Well-Known Member
  • Feb 13, 2024
  • #70
I think it’s reasonable to think we could not lose again at home this season, so away form will be the difference.

Personally I think the top 6 will be as it is now.
 
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