I dont really buy into the bad luck theory because all teams can point to it and say they have had bad luck at some point. This is also not a finger pointing at AT or SISU - thats covered elsewhere.
But there are little things that add up over a season that with just a little application, work, intelligence, courage etc (call it what you will). Consider these (feel free to add to it)
- average number of home wins in the season presently 10 (rounded up) we have 8, just being average would have made a difference
- average number of away wins to date is 7 (rounded up) we have 1 - not being average but having the next worst number of away wins 3 would have made a difference
- we have had 9 penalties this season scored 5 - is it reasonable to assume we should have scored say 7 and possibly pocketed 4 more points ?
- Injuries, all teams have them but we seem to have picked up a lot, possibly more than we should - not good in such a small squad perhaps better attention to fitness and preparation would have helped?
- it seems increasingly common that players throw their dummy out and refuse to play but take the money. We couldnt afford that to happen for lots of reasons - thanks Freddy
- senior players in general having a poor season Baker, Bell, Clingan, McSheffery, McPake, etc. You would expect that to happen to some but not so many.
- the lack of clear leadership that drives a team through especially when the going gets tough
Yes there are major reasons centered on SISU, yes we can argue the merits or not of the manager but there are some very fine lines that we havent met that are very costly and some surely indicate under performance ?
When you look at it, small squad, lack of quality, inexperienced manager, little investment etc etc we were not far away from making it. Thats very frustrating
I dont really buy into the bad luck theory because all teams can point to it and say they have had bad luck at some point. This is also not a finger pointing at AT or SISU - thats covered elsewhere.
But there are little things that add up over a season that with just a little application, work, intelligence, courage etc (call it what you will) mean it might have been different. Consider these (feel free to add to it)
- average number of home wins in the season presently 10 (rounded up) we have 8, just being average would have made a difference
- average number of away wins to date is 7 (rounded up) we have 1 - not being average but having the next worst number of away wins 3 would have made a difference
- we have had 9 penalties this season scored 5 - is it reasonable to assume we should have scored say 7 and possibly pocketed 4 more points ?
- Injuries, all teams have them but we seem to have picked up a lot, possibly more than we should - not good in such a small squad perhaps better attention to fitness and preparation would have helped?
- it seems increasingly common that players throw their dummy out and refuse to play but take the money. We couldnt afford that to happen for lots of reasons - thanks Freddy
- senior players in general having a poor season Baker, Bell, Clingan, McSheffery, McPake, etc. You would expect that to happen to some but not so many.
- the lack of clear leadership that drives a team through especially when the going gets tough
Yes there are major reasons centered on SISU, yes we can argue the merits or not of the manager but there are some very fine lines that we havent met that are very costly and some surely indicate under performance ?
When you look at it, small squad, lack of quality, inexperienced manager, little investment etc etc we were not far away from making it. Thats very frustrating
Why is everyone so down on Clingan? The guy is not a leader but was playing with an injury and in my mind has been among our better recent performers. He just seems such an easy target. In a better side I think he would be better too and the quality around him is part of the problem imo.
I agree Norwood probably shows more quality but that imo is because he possesses more quality. If he wants to make it at United or even in the PL that's a given. I don't get where this notion that he is more passionate though as is constantly repeated on here unless saying on twitter how much you care is what we are to benchmark it by. Clingan is not the reason we are where we are, in fact quite the opposite I believe. I agree he hasn't performed as well as he did last campaign, but it's probably easier to express himself with some of the players he had around him then. I think he is getting most of the criticism because everyone expects him to step up and be a leader, but he never was a leader and should never have been given the armband in the first place.
Clingan has only played well for the last few games.
Funny that with his contract up and him wanting to impress new clubs.
But should they be classed as senior?
Not one is over 30, and non have ever been any good anyway!
So true. Many have gone on about the team "under performing" but where is the evidence? There just isn't any, never has been.
I think all of this just highlights the fine line between success and failure.
Ultimately, the club needs a catalyst to inspire that extra 5-10% that would make the huge difference.
If you take the gap between the teams that just avoid relegation, and those that just miss out on play-off places, it is probably in the order of twenty points. That's just 7 wins between success and failure.......which, over a season of 46 games, is not a lot to achieve, let alone hope for. Maybe it all boils down to confidence and motivation, for that extra push, be it in the last few minutes of each game, or in the last few games of the season, or the effort put into training (by management and players).
Good post !
Doh! Smacks head.How many away games lost in a row was it? If that was performing as expected, what isn't?
Doh! Smacks head.
Where is the evidence that City players are "under performing" when they have never ever delivered?
I know this has been difficult for some to get but our squad is full of very very average players with previous failure a constant theme. How, therefore, is it possible for anybody to reason that they have "under performed"?
Ludicrous.
And most people expected precious little, everybody within the game, with a modicum of understanding of the game, of physics, the rules of nature and the economic law of diminishing returns knew we couldn't realistically expect to OVER-PERFORM.You 'under perform' when you deliver less than was expected of you-my reasoning is that nobody expected us to do things on the road like lose 11 in a row; I suppose it depends on your interpretation of the word
Having supported this club since I was five (I'm now 63) we are now back where we started!
And most people expected precious little, everybody within the game, with a modicum of understanding of the game, of physics, the rules of nature and the economic law of diminishing returns knew we couldn't realistically expect to OVER-PERFORM.
And if you need an objective evaluation of the bleeding obvious have a look at the league table.
Sorry, Bristol City fan here, I know I have no real place on these boards but we have had worse injury problems than perhaps all teams in the division apart from maybe yourselves. When you add in the horrendous financial state that we are in following the disastrous Steve Coppell era it doesn't look so rosy after all.Really hits home how fortunate Bristol City have been when their survival is a result of Pompey's diabolical finances and our own cocktail of on and off field mismanagement. We've given them survival on a silver plate and that's very difficult to accept when we have dealt with handicaps not experienced by the rest of the division.
Sorry, Bristol City fan here, I know I have no real place on these boards but we have had worse injury problems than perhaps all teams in the division apart from maybe yourselves. When you add in the horrendous financial state that we are in following the disastrous Steve Coppell era it doesn't look so rosy after all.
And regarding Portsmouth, if we win against Barnsley we move above them and are safe even with Pompey having 10 points deducted, and you can only play against the field which you are given...
Sorry that you look like you're down, as I really wanted Barnsley and Forest to drop a little further...
Agree. The criticism of Clingan has both baffled and angered me this season. Way too much has been expected of him. I, for one, think he has had lots of good games and few poor ones. I watch him and don't see what people want from him. Consider the facts:Why is everyone so down on Clingan? The guy is not a leader but was playing with an injury and in my mind has been among our better recent performers. He just seems such an easy target. In a better side I think he would be better too and the quality around him is part of the problem imo.
We aren't. Gone to a third judicial review. Rumours that our backer is pulling out and that would leave us high and dry. I'm not going to compare situations but we got players back before Easter, and that coupled with some outstanding loan moves is the only reason why we stayed up.Ourselves and Portsmouth have the smallest squads, and we have been operating with ours all season long. The telling statistic was that you were able to call in 6 players to freshen up your team before Easter Monday, and were able to make further additions before the loan window shut. By contrast, we played a few players carrying knocks and have been at the bare bones stage practically all season long. It simply is not comparable-and if things are not looking so rosy, might I ask why you're building a new stadium? Appreciate it looks like I'm playing down your survival, but it seems clear to me-a properly run CCFC would be above you in the table.
All irrelevant anyway-we are where we are and that's that.
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