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General Election (1 Viewer)

  • Thread starter Liquid Gold
  • Start date Apr 18, 2017
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Astute

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 11, 2017
  • #3,081
Brighton Sky Blue said:
Because the cat is out of the bag. When the election was called Corbyn was down 20-25 points in the polls and in 6 weeks reduced that to 3. The polls also showed very large numbers of the public having a more positive opinion of him than before as they saw him campaigning on a national stage and liked it. Give this election another few weeks and we may well have won it.

Then we also have an electorate that by now is likely fed up of elections and referendums.
Click to expand...
There wasn't a cat and there wasn't a bag.

So you think that a new leader for the Tories wouldn't get more votes for them?
 

Astute

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 11, 2017
  • #3,082
Brighton Sky Blue said:
What are core Tory values, out of interest?
Click to expand...
Rob from the poor and give it to the rich.
 
Reactions: RegTheDonk, clint van damme, torchomatic and 4 others
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 11, 2017
  • #3,083
Astute said:
Tony....if May steps down like she should I can't see anything past Boris becoming their next leader.

He may be a buffoon. But a lot of the public like him.
Click to expand...

He does the clown act very well. Managing to con millions into thinking that Bullingdon Boris is a man of the people, he is of the same ilk as Dave and laughs at them behind closed doors.
 
Reactions: Sick Boy

Sick Boy

Super Moderator
  • Jun 11, 2017
  • #3,084
Brighton Sky Blue said:
He does the clown act very well. Managing to con millions into thinking that Bullingdon Boris is a man of the people, he is of the same ilk as Dave and laughs at them behind closed doors.
Click to expand...

Didn't he claim in an interview that the Tory manifesto included £350m a week for the NHS? From a Labour perspective, he would be ideal.
 
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 11, 2017
  • #3,085
Astute said:
There wasn't a cat and there wasn't a bag.

So you think that a new leader for the Tories wouldn't get more votes for them?
Click to expand...
The cat in the bag being the illusion of Tory competence. The party doesn't know what the hell it's doing and for all their whining now when May asked for an election they were all behind it and thought their majority was going up. The clown is their best hope but he will still be campaigning on a platform to fuck people over. Let's not forget he wrote essays for and against Brexit when the referendum was called.
 
Reactions: martcov

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 11, 2017
  • #3,086
Brighton Sky Blue said:
Because the cat is out of the bag. When the election was called Corbyn was down 20-25 points in the polls and in 6 weeks reduced that to 3. The polls also showed very large numbers of the public having a more positive opinion of him than before as they saw him campaigning on a national stage and liked it. Give this election another few weeks and we may well have won it.

Then we also have an electorate that by now is likely fed up of elections and referendums.
Click to expand...

Maintaining momentum during a lull isn't as easy as you make out.

Also do you seriously think the Tories are going to sit back and do nothing?

Consider this. The campaign was undoubtably the worst in British political modern history. A car crash with a leader who couldn't communicate. While Corbyn was handing out free tickets to university may was alienating core voters and then pretending she never did.

Yet and yet the Labour Party gained about 5 more seats than when Gordon brown conducted his dire campaign.

Corbyn will have to gain around 47% of the vote if the minor parties are not going to recover.

The Tories will appoint a new leader and they will make concessions to the manifesto and that will gain them momentum. No one can moan if they remain in power as ultimately the electorate delivered a result that wants a Tory led coalition focused on its policies.

Kevin Maguire on the politics show said he couldn't see how Corbyn would ever win and that some voters who never believed he'd win will change allegiance next time round.
 
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 11, 2017
  • #3,087
Sick Boy said:
Didn't he claim in an interview that the Tory manifesto included £350m a week for the NHS? From a Labour perspective, he would be ideal.
Click to expand...

The clown persona negates mistakes like that in the eyes of the public. He is their best hope of getting that majority back as the rest are wet lettuces like Mrs May.
 
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 11, 2017
  • #3,088
Grendel said:
Maintaining momentum during a lull isn't as easy as you make out.

Also do you seriously think the Tories are going to sit back and do nothing?

Consider this. The campaign was undoubtably the worst in British political modern history. A car crash with a leader who couldn't communicate. While Corbyn was handing out free tickets to university may was alienating core voters and then pretending she never did.

Yet and yet the Labour Party gained about 5 more seats than when Gordon brown conducted his dire campaign.

Corbyn will have to gain around 47% of the vote if the minor parties are not going to recover.

The Tories will appoint a new leader and they will make concessions to the manifesto and that will gain them momentum. No one can moan if they remain in power as ultimately the electorate delivered a result that wants a Tory led coalition focused on its policies.

Kevin Maguire on the politics show said he couldn't see how Corbyn would ever win and that some voters who never believed he'd win will change allegiance next time round.
Click to expand...

You are assuming that Labour won't do anything differently either. The PLP has seen that there is an appetite for a progressive populist and even the likes of Umunna have taken their hats off to Corbyn's attitude. A stronger front bench can be assembled and it can unite the party for once. Look at the seats Labour took from the Tories this time-not even Blair flipped Kensington or Canterbury and the vote share was higher than 2005.

If this Tory platform really was the most 'left' they could think if they are screwed. If they go further, Labour has won the policy argument.
 
Reactions: rondog1973, martcov and Sick Boy
S

SkyblueBazza

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 11, 2017
  • #3,089
Grendel said:
So he's done a u turn after 1 week. Power corrupts eh?
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Has he?

So have you...you inferred earlier that he had lied about another election. Now it's a u-turn.

Where has he said anything about calling for another election? If he has I'm unaware of it. I recall hearing him say that he wouldn't call for one. He hasn't called for one from what I can tell. He has predicted there will be one later this year or early next though.

Sent from my SM-G900F using Tapatalk
 
Reactions: torchomatic and Sick Boy
S

SkyblueBazza

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 11, 2017
  • #3,090
skybluetony176 said:
He doesn't import cheaper workers. His business just so happens to be in a sector that over the years has had more and more trouble employing people from the UK for the wages that sector traditionally pays and that gap has been filled by EU workers who will.

No doubt he made a mistake with his referendum vote.
Click to expand...
Exactly...exploitation!

Sent from my SM-G900F using Tapatalk
 

Astute

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 11, 2017
  • #3,091
Being higher than an unvoted for Gordon Brown isn't much of an achievement. That was a low point.
 
S

SkyblueBazza

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 11, 2017
  • #3,092
Astute said:
Rob from the poor and give it to the rich.
Click to expand...
To take off-shore or abroad

Sent from my SM-G900F using Tapatalk
 

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 11, 2017
  • #3,093
SkyblueBazza said:
Has he?

So have you...you inferred earlier that he had lied about another election. Now it's a u-turn.

Where has he said anything about calling for another election? If he has I'm unaware of it. I recall hearing him say that he wouldn't call for one. He hasn't called for one from what I can tell. He has predicted there will be one later this year or early next though.

Sent from my SM-G900F using Tapatalk
Click to expand...

He called for an election this morning - there can't be an election unless he actually wants one - the parliament act is still in force.
 

lifeskyblue

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 11, 2017
  • #3,094
Grendel said:
He called for an election this morning - there can't be an election unless he actually wants one - the parliament act is still in force.
Click to expand...

Yes it is but if a government loses a no confidence motion an election is called if it doesn't win another confidence motion within 14 days.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
Reactions: martcov

Sick Boy

Super Moderator
  • Jun 11, 2017
  • #3,095
Labour has a six-point lead over the Tories, new poll finds

Article from the Independent based on an article in the Sunday Mail.
 
Reactions: martcov

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 11, 2017
  • #3,096
lifeskyblue said:
Yes it is but if a government loses a no confidence motion an election is called if it doesn't win another confidence motion within 14 days.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Click to expand...

They won't lose a confidence motion though will they?
 

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 11, 2017
  • #3,097
Sick Boy said:
Labour has a six-point lead over the Tories, new poll finds

Article from the Independent based on an article in the Sunday Mail.
Click to expand...

I hate to break this to you but the election was last week.
 

chiefdave

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 11, 2017
  • #3,098
Grendel said:
You seem rather ignorant on British legislation.
Click to expand...
How so?
A motion of no confidence, or censure motion, is a motion moved in the House of Commons with the wording: 'That this House has no confidence in HM Government'. If such a motion is agreed to, and a new government with the support of a majority of MPs cannot be formed within a period of 14 calendar days, Parliament is dissolved and an early General Election is triggered.

A motion of no confidence is one of only two ways in which an early General Election may be triggered under the terms of the Fixed Term Parliaments Act 2011.
Click to expand...
 
Reactions: martcov, torchomatic, stupot07 and 1 other person

chiefdave

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 11, 2017
  • #3,099
Sick Boy said:
Didn't he claim in an interview that the Tory manifesto included £350m a week for the NHS? From a Labour perspective, he would be ideal.
Click to expand...
Yes he did, was asked about the £350m plastered on the Brexit bus and said it was correct and in the manifesto!

Is this really the best option for the Conservatives?
Boris Johnson attacks Jeremy Corbyn over terror vote, then is told he voted the same way
 

Sick Boy

Super Moderator
  • Jun 11, 2017
  • #3,100
Grendel said:
I hate to break this to you but the election was last week.
Click to expand...

I will take that as a no then and that you're a bottler.
 
Reactions: martcov and torchomatic

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 11, 2017
  • #3,101
Sick Boy said:
I will take that as a no then and that you're a bottler.
Click to expand...

Oh I'll take the bet if you like - I've not even said there won't be an election however if done deal is agreed with the unionists that will see them through the year.
 
S

SkyblueBazza

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 11, 2017
  • #3,102
Grendel said:
He called for an election this morning - there can't be an election unless he actually wants one - the parliament act is still in force.
Click to expand...
He didn't call for one at all.

And only the government can call it...not the leader of the opposition. He can ask all he likes it's up to the PM/Gov't to call it

Sent from my SM-G900F using Tapatalk
 

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 11, 2017
  • #3,103
chiefdave said:
How so?
Click to expand...

The unionists are hardly going to side with labour as indeed the independent won't and Tories won't vote against their own party so the only way it will happen is if the government cannot form any arrangement and then the Labour Party vote with it for an election rather than form a government of their own.
 

chiefdave

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 11, 2017
  • #3,104
Grendel said:
The unionists are hardly going to side with labour as indeed the independent won't and Tories won't vote against their own party so the only way it will happen is if the government cannot form any arrangement and then the Labour Party vote with it for an election rather than form a government of their own.
Click to expand...
You believe the Conservative MPs are so happy with Mays performance there is zero chance of any voting against her?
 

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 11, 2017
  • #3,105
chiefdave said:
You believe the Conservative MPs are so happy with Mays performance there is zero chance of any voting against her?
Click to expand...

It's no confidence in the government. An MP bringing down their own party? Good luck with that - no chance.
 

torchomatic

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 11, 2017
  • #3,106
Grendel said:
It's no confidence in the government. An MP bringing down their own party? Good luck with that - no chance.
Click to expand...

You've got a short memory. That is what May has just done.
 
Reactions: SkyblueBazza

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 11, 2017
  • #3,107
torchomatic said:
You've got a short memory. That is what May has just done.
Click to expand...

Maybe so but still they are the only party to be able to form a government.
 

torchomatic

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 11, 2017
  • #3,108
Grendel said:
Maybe so but still they are the only party to be able to form a government.
Click to expand...

True. For the short term anyway.
 

dutchman

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 11, 2017
  • #3,109
Astute said:
What makes you think Labour would win in a re-election?
Click to expand...

Corbyn won a moral victory. People who didn't vote for him last time will do next time. There will be a bandwagon effect.
 
Reactions: martcov

dutchman

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 11, 2017
  • #3,110
Grendel said:
Maybe so but still they are the only party to be able to form a government.
Click to expand...
That remains to be seen.
 

rob9872

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 11, 2017
  • #3,111
Astute said:
Being higher than an unvoted for Gordon Brown isn't much of an achievement. That was a low point.
Click to expand...
You see this I never understand. I didn't have a problem with Brown in charge and neither with May. I don't get this idea they were not elected. A party choose the leader not the electorate. My voting paper was for a choice of local candidates representing a party so it was Conservative v Labour and not May v Corbyn or Brown v Cameron.
 
Reactions: fernandopartridge, RegTheDonk and SkyblueBazza

dutchman

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 11, 2017
  • #3,112
Astute said:
What makes you think Labour would win in a re-election?
Click to expand...

Not just me it seems:
Why the Tories are terrified of another poll
"Conservative MPs believe Jeremy Corbyn has the momentum to win more seats if there is another poll soon."
 
Reactions: torchomatic

Sky Blue Pete

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 11, 2017
  • #3,113
Another good blog

Britain: The End of a Fantasy
 
Reactions: martcov

Sick Boy

Super Moderator
  • Jun 11, 2017
  • #3,114
Sky Blue Pete said:
Another good blog

Britain: The End of a Fantasy
Click to expand...

Saw that earlier, good read.
 
Reactions: martcov

clint van damme

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 11, 2017
  • #3,115
dutchman said:
Corbyn won a moral victory. People who didn't vote for him last time will do next time. There will be a bandwagon effect.
Click to expand...

as a Labour supporter I don't want another election. I want the torys to try and negotiate brexit in a minority government propped up by the DUP, it will finish them for years in this country.
 
Reactions: rondog1973 and Brighton Sky Blue
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