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General Election 2019 thread (2 Viewers)

  • Thread starter Philosoraptor
  • Start date Oct 29, 2019
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SkyBlueDom26

Well-Known Member
  • Dec 11, 2019
  • #5,741
Brighton Sky Blue said:
What's weird with you is that you ignore Ian predicting Labour will come through but go after those who have been predicting Tory wins from the start.
Click to expand...
It’s just bants some people literally have no humour, I say @Ian1779 is wrong all the time
 
D

Deleted member 5849

Guest
  • Dec 11, 2019
  • #5,742
SkyBlueDom26 said:
It’s just bants some people literally have no humour, I say @Ian1779 is wrong all the time
Click to expand...
You're a c**t.

#bantz
 
Reactions: clint van damme
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Dec 11, 2019
  • #5,743
SkyBlueDom26 said:
It’s just bants some people literally have no humour, I say @Ian1779 is wrong all the time
Click to expand...

Yeah they get annoyed when people make puns out of their names
 

SkyBlueDom26

Well-Known Member
  • Dec 11, 2019
  • #5,744
Deleted member 5849 said:
You're a c**t.

#bantz
Click to expand...


excuse me
 

SkyBlueDom26

Well-Known Member
  • Dec 11, 2019
  • #5,745
Brighton Sky Blue said:
Yeah they get annoyed when people make puns out of their names
Click to expand...

Dim Dim Dim ahhhhh so angry
 
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Dec 11, 2019
  • #5,746
SkyBlueDom26 said:
Dim Dim Dim ahhhhh so angry
Click to expand...

ConDom
Dim
Domass

Just bants though mate
 

SkyBlueDom26

Well-Known Member
  • Dec 11, 2019
  • #5,747
In all seriousness (bants aside!!!!!!!)it should be interesting tomorrow plenty of seats up for grabs
 

SkyBlueDom26

Well-Known Member
  • Dec 11, 2019
  • #5,748
Brighton Sky Blue said:
ConDom
Dim
Domass

Just bants though mate
Click to expand...
Domass I like that
 

lifeskyblue

Well-Known Member
  • Dec 11, 2019
  • #5,749
Brighton Sky Blue said:
YouGov's latest MRP polled over 100,000 people. I could understand if the polls were showing within margin of error or even 5% but none of them have. Time to face facts Corbyn should never have agreed to this election.
Click to expand...

Corbyn was bounced into the election and only agreed in the end cos that numbskull Swinson and wee Nicola thought it was in their parties’ interests and broke ranks with Labour. Swinson I think has got it spectacularly wrong and Sturgeon I don’t believe will wipe out the tories north of the border.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
Reactions: westcountry_skyblue

SkyBlueDom26

Well-Known Member
  • Dec 11, 2019
  • #5,750
Hopefully brexit party don’t fuck up the leave votes, love Nigel but he should pull out of some marginals that the conservatives could win
 

Liquid Gold

Well-Known Member
  • Dec 11, 2019
  • #5,751
Brighton Sky Blue said:
YouGov's latest MRP polled over 100,000 people. I could understand if the polls were showing within margin of error or even 5% but none of them have. Time to face facts Corbyn should never have agreed to this election.
Click to expand...
There are some interesting assumptions behind that data though. They are projecting 18-30 turnout to be well below 2017 levels and 65+ turnout to be higher than any time since the early 60s.
 

lifeskyblue

Well-Known Member
  • Dec 11, 2019
  • #5,752
Farage showed what a coward he really is by caving in to the demands of tories and his own rich backers. The positive aspect of this is I believe his spineless campaign has ended his political career and influence.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
D

Deleted member 5849

Guest
  • Dec 11, 2019
  • #5,753
lifeskyblue said:
Corbyn was bounced into the election and only agreed in the end cos that numbskull Swinson and wee Nicola thought it was in their parties’ interests and broke ranks with Labour. Swinson I think has got it spectacularly wrong and Sturgeon I don’t believe will wipe out the tories north of the border.
Click to expand...

It'd have been far more sensible to let Johnson own his deal for a bit.
 
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Dec 11, 2019
  • #5,754
lifeskyblue said:
Corbyn was bounced into the election and only agreed in the end cos that numbskull Swinson and wee Nicola thought it was in their parties’ interests and broke ranks with Labour. Swinson I think has got it spectacularly wrong and Sturgeon I don’t believe will wipe out the tories north of the border.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Click to expand...

I really think Swinson will lose her seat. Sturgeon will not flip enough of those pro-Brexit Scots who she alienates more by the day.
 

stupot07

Well-Known Member
  • Dec 11, 2019
  • #5,755
BBC are having an absolute mare....


Sent from my SM-G965F using Tapatalk
 
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Dec 11, 2019
  • #5,756
Liquid Gold said:
There are some interesting assumptions behind that data though. They are projecting 18-30 turnout to be well below 2017 levels and 65+ turnout to be higher than any time since the early 60s.
Click to expand...

Because the timing would seem to support the former assumption.
 

Liquid Gold

Well-Known Member
  • Dec 11, 2019
  • #5,757
Peter Oborne is voting for Labour and Corbyn.

Boris Johnson wants to destroy the Britain I love. I cannot vote Conservative | General election 2019 | The Guardian

This simulation has gone off the rails.
 

Johnnythespider

Well-Known Member
  • Dec 11, 2019
  • #5,758
stupot07 said:
BBC are having an absolute mare....


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Click to expand...
Good grief, really poor from the state broadcasting service
 
W

Walsgrave

Well-Known Member
  • Dec 11, 2019
  • #5,759
 
Reactions: skybluetony176

chiefdave

Well-Known Member
  • Dec 11, 2019
  • #5,760
SkyblueBazza said:
Fact is IF she was just trying to be first to report for her own ego she needs to be put through the mill. IF she is found to be deliberately breaching the rules she deserves to have the rulebook (coz it's no doubt humongous) thrown in her smug face & be dismissed
Click to expand...
There is no way any journalist, let alone one of her experience and seniority, doesn't know you can't do what she did. You can't even report on exit polls until after all voting ends.
 

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • Dec 11, 2019
  • #5,761
chiefdave said:
There is no way any journalist, let alone one of her experience and seniority, doesn't know you can't do what she did. You can't even report on exit polls until after all voting ends.
Click to expand...
What law has she broken?
 

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • Dec 11, 2019
  • #5,762
Ian1779 said:
Don’t think you’ll find anyone that says he will get a majority.... but then he doesn’t need one.
Click to expand...

There is little chance Corbyn will be allowed to stay in office in a minority government - Swinson will call the shots
 

Otis

Well-Known Member
  • Dec 11, 2019
  • #5,763
stupot07 said:
BBC are having an absolute mare....


Sent from my SM-G965F using Tapatalk
Click to expand...
I think she meant 'desires' didn't she.

But still, oops.
 

chiefdave

Well-Known Member
  • Dec 11, 2019
  • #5,764
fernandopartridge said:
The methodology they use isn't necessarily reflective of the electorate. I've said a Tory majority of <10. I've never met anybody who has been polled.
Click to expand...
Brighton Sky Blue said:
YouGov's latest MRP polled over 100,000 people. I could understand if the polls were showing within margin of error or even 5% but none of them have.
Click to expand...
Mentioned this last night but the weightings they are using seem way off to me. This tweet shows it well.
A 65% youth turnout last time dropping to 52% this time while the pensioner vote increases 10-15% seems off to me. Could be significant as those two age groups are the ones who largely support one party, the youth vote going to Labour and the pensioner vote to Conservative.

Given how tight some of the marginals are, a 1% swing can equate to 10 seats or even in some circumstances as many as 20 seats, either or both of those turnout predictions being wrong and the actual turnout being nearer the level of the last election could make a huge difference.
 
Reactions: Ian1779

chiefdave

Well-Known Member
  • Dec 11, 2019
  • #5,765
Grendel said:
What law has she broken?
Click to expand...
http://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukpga/1983/2
 

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • Dec 11, 2019
  • #5,766
chiefdave said:
http://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukpga/1983/2
Click to expand...

has she been arrested?
 
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Dec 11, 2019
  • #5,767
chiefdave said:
Mentioned this last night but the weightings they are using seem way off to me. This tweet shows it well.
A 65% youth turnout last time dropping to 52% this time while the pensioner vote increases 10-15% seems off to me. Could be significant as those two age groups are the ones who largely support one party, the youth vote going to Labour and the pensioner vote to Conservative.

Given how tight some of the marginals are, a 1% swing can equate to 10 seats or even in some circumstances as many as 20 seats, either or both of those turnout predictions being wrong and the actual turnout being nearer the level of the last election could make a huge difference.
Click to expand...

Labour has a majority for anyone under the age of 40. Reasons on a postcard
 
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Dec 11, 2019
  • #5,768
Grendel said:
has she been arrested?
Click to expand...

 
Reactions: clint van damme, stupot07 and Sky_Blue_Dreamer

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • Dec 11, 2019
  • #5,769
Brighton Sky Blue said:
Labour has a majority for anyone under the age of 40. Reasons on a postcard
Click to expand...

because most are gullible and when reap the benefits of capitalism vote Tory - your 75 year old Tory voter now was banning the bomb back in the day
 

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • Dec 11, 2019
  • #5,770
Brighton Sky Blue said:
Click to expand...

Dave says she’s broken the law so I assume the CPS are considering action

She hasn’t broken the law by the way
 

skybluetony176

Well-Known Member
  • Dec 11, 2019
  • #5,771
Brighton Sky Blue said:
Click to expand...
That bloke even looks a bit like Grendull. Too tall but other than that
 
Reactions: Brighton Sky Blue
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Dec 11, 2019
  • #5,772
Grendel said:
because most are gullible and when reap the benefits of capitalism vote Tory - your 75 year old Tory voter now was banning the bomb back in the day
Click to expand...

I'm earning comfortably above the average salary but still won't vote for them. How many 0s need to be in my pay packet before I change?
 

covmark

Well-Known Member
  • Dec 11, 2019
  • #5,773
Brighton Sky Blue said:
I'm earning comfortably above the average salary but still won't vote for them. How many 0s need to be in my pay packet before I change?
Click to expand...
And this is the issue with politics in this country. People entrenched in their voting habits.
You're basically saying you'd never ever vote Tory, no matter your personal situation.

I live in John Glens constituency. There is not a cat in hells chance he will lose. So what's the fucking point in me voting. (I will be voting btw)

Sent from my SM-G960F using Tapatalk
 
D

Deleted member 5849

Guest
  • Dec 11, 2019
  • #5,774
covmark said:
And this is the issue with politics in this country. People entrenched in their voting habits.
You're basically saying you'd never ever vote Tory, no matter your personal situation.
Click to expand...
Not Tory doesn't mean always voting one party.
 

chiefdave

Well-Known Member
  • Dec 11, 2019
  • #5,775
covmark said:
I live in John Glens constituency. There is not a cat in hells chance he will lose. So what's the fucking point in me voting. (I will be voting btw)
Click to expand...
Most people could say the same. Lets face it unless you live in one of a handful of marginals you might as well not bother voting.
 
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